Dalton Kincaid 2025 Season in Review

Dalton Kincaid finished 2025 as the number 20 tight end in total PPR scoring and the number 14 tight end in PPR per game among players with at least six games. That gap tells you the headline in one breath: when he played, he was a usable starter at a thin position — but he only suited up for twelve of Buffalo's seventeen games. A part-time fantasy asset on a full-time-good offense. Josh Allen trusted him in the red zone, but never made him the focal point in an attack where Khalil Shakir led the team in catches and Allen himself ran for fourteen touchdowns. Less a breakout, more a narrow role carved out in stone.

Now let's dig into the numbers. Kincaid caught 39 balls for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns on 49 targets across those 12 games — 10.5 PPR points per game on a boom-or-bust profile, not a steady floor. His average target share sat at 15 percent and his average air yards share at 21 percent, meaning when Buffalo went downfield, he got a meaningful slice of the shots even with modest raw volume. The efficiency story is the 5 scores on 49 targets: more than one in every ten targets ended in the end zone, an elite touchdown rate for a tight end and the single biggest reason his per-game number held up. Consistency was the problem. He hit a 22.1-point ceiling against the Chiefs in Week 9 and 17.6 against the Dolphins in Week 3 — then cratered to 3.3 at Carolina, 5.7 in the Miami rematch, and a flat zero on no catches at Cleveland in Week 16. He cleared 14 PPR points four times and finished under 10 in seven of his twelve outings. Touchdown variance, not weekly reliability.

The play that captures the season came on the opening drive against Kansas City in Week 9 — third and 8 from the Chiefs' 23, scoreless game, and Allen dropped a deep ball down the right side for a 23-yard touchdown. One snap. A third-down conversion, an explosive, and a score, all rolled together. That was Kincaid's fantasy year in miniature: when his number got called in a high-leverage spot, he swung the week — but those snaps came in bursts, not on a schedule you could set your watch to.