Jalen Hurts 2026 Season Preview — the floor is the tush push, fairly priced | Muffed

Jalen Hurts won a Super Bowl, lost his number-one receiver this offseason, and is priced as the seventh quarterback off the board. The passing might dip; the part of his game that drives fantasy value won't. The Muffed 2026 preview.

The 2025 season was a step down from his peak but still QB7: sixteen games, eighteen-eight a game, on thirty-two hundred passing yards, twenty-five touchdowns, just six interceptions, plus four hundred twenty-one rushing yards and eight rushing scores. The signature was a thirty-one point game against Dallas — one passing touchdown, two on the ground — the exact shape of his value. Accurate, too: his completion percentage over expected ranked tenth.

The arc is a strong run with a recent ceiling: a twenty-five-a-game MVP-level peak in 2022, then twenty-one, twenty-one, and eighteen-eight. The passing volume has drifted down, but the floor has stayed remarkably firm.

Here's why the floor holds, and it's the pattern that matters most at the position. Quarterbacks who get a quarter or more of their fantasy points from rushing repeat as top-six at sixty-one percent, versus twenty-four for pocket passers — and Hurts, with a thirty-percent rushing share and eight rushing touchdowns, lives in that safe tier. The goal-line rushing role is the stickiest, most defense-proof source of points in fantasy. The passing can fluctuate; the legs and the tush push don't.

[[SITUATION]]

The situation, per the reports, is real churn: A.J. Brown was traded to New England, DeVonta Smith becomes the clear number one, and a new coordinator, Sean Mannion, is installing a more under-center, play-action scheme. Losing Brown caps the passing ceiling; none of it touches the rushing floor that anchors his value.

The price: pick seventy-two and a half, QB7. Verdict: NO CALL — the most defense-proof floor outside the very top of the position, priced right around where it should be. The counter that keeps it from a buy: losing Brown and changing schemes adds real downside to the passing, and at quarterback you can get most of this production later. The counter that keeps it from a fade: the rushing floor is genuinely elite, and that's what you're paying QB7 for. Pay it for the floor, not the ceiling.

September watch: the rushing and goal-line volume — the engine; and the passing efficiency without Brown in the new Mannion scheme. Your guys, every week. Next preview's queued.