Brock Purdy 2026 Season Preview — the second-most accurate passer in football, at QB13 | Muffed
2026 NFL Season · Half-PPR Scoring · Monday, Jun 15
The Rundown
Brock Purdy graded as the second-most accurate quarterback in the NFL last season, and a top-six fantasy quarterback per game — in just nine games, because injuries cost him the rest. He's the fourteenth quarterback off the board, and San Francisco just handed him Mike Evans. The Muffed 2026 preview.
The 2025 season was excellent when he played and too short: nine games, nineteen-seven a game, QB6 per game, on twenty touchdowns against ten picks — though the missed time left him QB23 in total. The signature was a three-touchdown, two-rushing-score, thirty-seven point game against Chicago in Week 17. And the efficiency was elite: his completion percentage over expected ranked second in the league. The talent and the accuracy are real.
The arc is steady, ascending production: eleven-eight as a rookie starter, then eighteen-five, seventeen-eight, and nineteen-seven. Every healthy season has been a solid-to-strong QB1 line.
What the data says: he's more pocket passer than runner, so he lacks the elite rushing floor — that's the structural caution. But the accuracy is genuinely top-tier, the per-game production has been QB1-level every healthy year, and the price is built on a nine-game injury sample, not the player.
[[SITUATION]]
The situation, per the reports, needs the honest version, because the supporting cast changed twice: San Francisco did sign Mike Evans to be the number-one outside receiver — but George Kittle tore his Achilles in the January wild-card win and will miss training camp, with the September tenth opener in Australia "a chance" by his own telling, not a plan; and Brandon Aiyuk hasn't played since October 2024, with the reporting now expecting a release rather than a return. So the cast is Evans, a healthy McCaffrey, and depth. Purdy's own column is clean: the turf toe healed without surgery, he says it "feels great," and he spent June organizing player-run throwing sessions. A top-two-accuracy quarterback with a proven alpha added, at QB14, is the kind of price that only comes from a missed-games season.
The price: pick ninety-eight, the fourteenth quarterback. [pause] Verdict: LEAN — underpriced. The second-best accuracy in football, a QB6 per-game rate, McCaffrey and now Evans to throw to, priced QB14 on injury discount. The counter: he's a pocket passer without a rushing floor, last year's nine-game season is a real flag, and the pass-catching room is thinner than its reputation until Kittle's back. But the per-game production and the efficiency say this price is too low if he's healthy.
September watch: his health, the whole discount; the chemistry with Mike Evans, the ceiling-raiser; and Kittle's return timeline, the depth variable. [[CLOSE]] If he's one of your guys, this show exists for your whole roster — every player, every week, all season.
The Bottom Line
LEAN: UNDERPRICED — the NFL's second-most accurate passer and a QB6 per-game rate over an injury-shortened nine games, now with Mike Evans added, priced QB13. The injury discount is the opportunity.
This episode is built around one person's roster.
Sign up and get a weekly episode built around yours — player-by-player, in the voice of your smartest football friend.
Build your own — free →