# Muffed

> Muffed reads every play of every NFL game — the play-by-play, Next Gen Stats and FTN's charting — and publishes what it finds: live stat boards updated through the week, a written read on every team and every top player, and answers you can check. Every number is looked up, never remembered.

The same verified data is published in several forms: pages you can read, leaderboards you can quote, and written reads every game week — one for each team and one for each player, plus one Wednesday email with everything you follow. Every fantasy figure Muffed publishes is scored Half-PPR; the lookup surfaces (/ask and the MCP server) also answer in standard and full PPR when you ask for one, and always say which they used. See /methodology for how the data is sourced and checked.

## Current insights
[What the data says right now](https://muffed.ai/trends) — Muffed's current verified reads on the NFL, updated in place on one URL. Each insight is a single dated claim with its evidence and source attached. Not an article archive: the page is rewritten as the data moves rather than accumulating a backlog.

## Player pages
Every fantasy-relevant player in the library has a page with a 2025 season review, a 2026 outlook, and (in-season) weekly recaps: [All players](https://muffed.ai/players)

## Team pages
All 32 NFL teams have a page with a season review, a 2026 preview, and (in-season) weekly recaps: [All teams](https://muffed.ai/teams)

## Stat leaderboards
League-wide advanced-stat leaderboards from the same verified data the episodes use, updated as the data refreshes: [All leaderboards](https://muffed.ai/stats)
- [Rushing Yards Over Expected](https://muffed.ai/stats/rushing-yards-over-expected) — Running backs. rushing yards over expected.
- [Target Share](https://muffed.ai/stats/target-share) — Pass catchers. target share.
- [Running Back Receiving Efficiency](https://muffed.ai/stats/rb-receiving-efficiency) — Running backs, 25+ targets. receiving efficiency.
- [Completion Percentage Over Expected](https://muffed.ai/stats/completion-percentage-over-expected) — Quarterbacks. completion percentage over expected.
- [Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt](https://muffed.ai/stats/adjusted-net-yards-per-attempt) — Quarterbacks. adjusted net yards per attempt.
- [Quarterback Pressure Rate](https://muffed.ai/stats/quarterback-pressure-rate) — Quarterbacks. pressure rate.
- [Defensive Blitz Rate](https://muffed.ai/stats/defense-blitz-rate) — All 32 defenses. blitz rate. Earlier seasons at https://muffed.ai/stats/defense-blitz-rate/{season} for 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025.
- [Quarterbacks vs Man and Zone Coverage](https://muffed.ai/stats/man-vs-zone) — Quarterbacks. man and zone coverage splits.
- [Pass Rate Over Expected](https://muffed.ai/stats/pass-rate-over-expected) — All 32 offenses. pass rate over expected. Earlier seasons at https://muffed.ai/stats/pass-rate-over-expected/{season} for 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025.
- [Clean-Core Rating](https://muffed.ai/stats/clean-core) — Primary starters, all 32 teams. Clean-Core Rating.
- [Usage vs Production](https://muffed.ai/stats/market-vs-reality) — Fantasy-relevant players, 2025. usage gap.
- [Team Expected Points Added](https://muffed.ai/stats/team-epa) — All 32 teams. expected points added per play.
- [Quarterback EPA per Dropback](https://muffed.ai/stats/qb-epa) — Quarterbacks, 200+ dropbacks. expected points added per dropback. Earlier seasons at https://muffed.ai/stats/qb-epa/{season} for 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025.
- [QB Composite Rating](https://muffed.ai/stats/qb-composite) — Quarterbacks at this week's dropback floor. QB composite rating. Earlier seasons at https://muffed.ai/stats/qb-composite/{season} for 2022, 2023, 2024.
- [Air Yards Share](https://muffed.ai/stats/air-yards-share) — Pass catchers. air yards share.
- [Stacked Box Rate](https://muffed.ai/stats/stacked-box-rate) — Running backs. stacked box rate.
- [Regression Flags](https://muffed.ai/stats/regression-flags) — All 32 teams. pythagorean win delta.
- [Weighted Opportunity Rating](https://muffed.ai/stats/wopr) — Top 30 pass catchers. weighted opportunity rating.
- [Snap Share](https://muffed.ai/stats/snap-share) — Running backs, receivers and tight ends. snap share.
- [Pass-Snap Share](https://muffed.ai/stats/pass-snap-share) — Running backs, receivers and tight ends with 100+ pass snaps. pass-snap share.
- [Receiving Yards per Pass Snap](https://muffed.ai/stats/receiving-yards-per-pass-snap) — Running backs, receivers and tight ends with 100+ pass snaps. receiving yards per pass snap.
- [Availability](https://muffed.ai/stats/availability) — 2021-2025, rostered players. availability rate.
- [Tight End Receiving Efficiency](https://muffed.ai/stats/te-receiving-efficiency) — Tight ends, 50+ targets. tight end receiving efficiency.
- [Tight End Average Depth of Target](https://muffed.ai/stats/tight-end-adot) — Tight ends, 50+ targets. average depth of target.
- [Stat Stickiness](https://muffed.ai/stats/stat-stickiness) — Consecutive qualifying season pairs. year-over-year stickiness.
- [Play-Action Rate](https://muffed.ai/stats/play-action-rate) — All 32 offenses. play-action rate. Earlier seasons at https://muffed.ai/stats/play-action-rate/{season} for 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025.
- [Pre-Snap Motion Rate](https://muffed.ai/stats/motion-rate) — All 32 offenses. pre-snap motion rate. Earlier seasons at https://muffed.ai/stats/motion-rate/{season} for 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025.
- [Drop Rate](https://muffed.ai/stats/drop-rate) — Receivers and tight ends. drop rate. Earlier seasons at https://muffed.ai/stats/drop-rate/{season} for 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025.
- [Contested Catch Rate](https://muffed.ai/stats/contested-catch-rate) — Receivers and tight ends. contested catch rate. Earlier seasons at https://muffed.ai/stats/contested-catch-rate/{season} for 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025.
- [Interception-Worthy Throw Rate](https://muffed.ai/stats/interception-worthy-rate) — Quarterbacks. interception-worthy throw rate. Earlier seasons at https://muffed.ai/stats/interception-worthy-rate/{season} for 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025.
- [Quarterback-Fault Sack Rate](https://muffed.ai/stats/qb-fault-sack-rate) — Quarterbacks. quarterback-fault sack rate. Earlier seasons at https://muffed.ai/stats/qb-fault-sack-rate/{season} for 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025.
- [Quarterback Intended Air Yards](https://muffed.ai/stats/intended-air-yards) — Quarterbacks, 200+ attempts. intended air yards. Earlier seasons at https://muffed.ai/stats/intended-air-yards/{season} for 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025.
- [Team Air Yards and Passing Volume](https://muffed.ai/stats/team-air-yards) — All 32 offenses. team air yards. Earlier seasons at https://muffed.ai/stats/team-air-yards/{season} for 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025.
- [Receiver Separation and Cushion](https://muffed.ai/stats/receiver-separation) — Receivers and tight ends, Next Gen Stats qualified. average separation. Earlier seasons at https://muffed.ai/stats/receiver-separation/{season} for 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025.
- [Wide Receiver Receiving Efficiency](https://muffed.ai/stats/wr-receiving-efficiency) — Wide receivers, 50+ targets. receiving efficiency.
- [Team Success Rate and Explosive Play Rate](https://muffed.ai/stats/team-success-explosive) — All 32 teams, offense and defense. success rate. Earlier seasons at https://muffed.ai/stats/team-success-explosive/{season} for 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025.
- [Goal-Line Usage](https://muffed.ai/stats/goal-line-usage) — Any player with 5+ inside-10 chances. inside-10 opportunity share. Earlier seasons at https://muffed.ai/stats/goal-line-usage/{season} for 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025.
- [Quarterback Deep Ball](https://muffed.ai/stats/deep-ball) — Quarterbacks, 200+ attempts. deep-ball expected points added per attempt. Earlier seasons at https://muffed.ai/stats/deep-ball/{season} for 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025.
- [Team Pace](https://muffed.ai/stats/team-pace) — All 32 offenses. neutral-script seconds per play. Earlier seasons at https://muffed.ai/stats/team-pace/{season} for 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025.
- [Screen Pass Rate](https://muffed.ai/stats/screen-pass-rate) — All 32 offenses. screen pass rate. Earlier seasons at https://muffed.ai/stats/screen-pass-rate/{season} for 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025.
- [No-Huddle Rate](https://muffed.ai/stats/no-huddle-rate) — All 32 offenses. no-huddle rate. Earlier seasons at https://muffed.ai/stats/no-huddle-rate/{season} for 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025.
- [RPO Rate](https://muffed.ai/stats/rpo-rate) — All 32 offenses. RPO rate. Earlier seasons at https://muffed.ai/stats/rpo-rate/{season} for 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025.
- [Light Box Rate](https://muffed.ai/stats/light-box-rate) — Running backs. light box rate. Earlier seasons at https://muffed.ai/stats/light-box-rate/{season} for 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025.
- [Quarterbacks vs the Blitz](https://muffed.ai/stats/qb-vs-blitz) — Quarterbacks. blitz rate faced. Earlier seasons at https://muffed.ai/stats/qb-vs-blitz/{season} for 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025.
- [Throwaway Rate](https://muffed.ai/stats/throwaway-rate) — Quarterbacks. throwaway rate. Earlier seasons at https://muffed.ai/stats/throwaway-rate/{season} for 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025.
- [Catchable Throw Rate](https://muffed.ai/stats/catchable-throw-rate) — Quarterbacks. catchable throw rate. Earlier seasons at https://muffed.ai/stats/catchable-throw-rate/{season} for 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025.
- [Out-of-Pocket Rate](https://muffed.ai/stats/out-of-pocket-rate) — Quarterbacks. out-of-pocket rate. Earlier seasons at https://muffed.ai/stats/out-of-pocket-rate/{season} for 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025.
- [Time to Throw](https://muffed.ai/stats/time-to-throw) — Quarterbacks. average time to throw. Earlier seasons at https://muffed.ai/stats/time-to-throw/{season} for 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025.
- [Aggressiveness](https://muffed.ai/stats/aggressiveness) — Quarterbacks. aggressiveness. Earlier seasons at https://muffed.ai/stats/aggressiveness/{season} for 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025.

## Named metrics
- [Clean-Core Rating (CCR)](https://muffed.ai/stats/clean-core) — a quarterback's expected points added per dropback in clean conditions only: no pressure, early down, no blitz, outside the red zone. Published with the stability gap against his volatile-situation number. Descriptive, not predictive — we tested whether clean-core production repeats better than overall EPA and found it does not; the null result and its method are on the page.
- [Usage vs Production / the usage gap](https://muffed.ai/stats/market-vs-reality) — 2025 positional snap-share rank against positional finish. The usage gap is finish minus snap rank: negative means he outproduced his snaps on efficiency, which historically repeats least. nflverse-derived; no draft-position data.

## Schedule and draft reference
- [2026 bye weeks](https://muffed.ai/schedule/bye-weeks) — every team's bye, by week and A-Z.
- [2026 strength of schedule](https://muffed.ai/schedule/strength-of-schedule) — forward-looking, built from market win totals rather than last season's records.
- [Running back handcuffs](https://muffed.ai/handcuffs) — all 32 backfields: starter, direct handcuff, depth chart, and verified efficiency.

## Glossary
[What the stats mean](https://muffed.ai/glossary) — plain-English definitions of the advanced metrics above, each with a live leaderboard of current leaders.

## Methodology
[How Muffed verifies its data](https://muffed.ai/methodology) — nflverse sourcing, the recompute-everything gate, refresh cadence, and the scoring conventions.

## Query the data directly
[Ask the data](https://muffed.ai/ask) — query the verified panel by metric and season. Every figure comes back with the rank its source gave it.

## Use Muffed in your AI
Ask Claude or ChatGPT football questions and get these verified figures back, with sources. Muffed runs a free MCP server — no account, no API key.

MCP endpoint: https://muffed.ai/api/mcp

[Setup and tool list](https://muffed.ai/mcp) — 13 read-only tools, including verify_claim, which checks a stated figure against the panel and returns the real one if it disagrees. Muffed publishes no projections, start/sit calls, draft grades or picks in any of them.

## Set up a league
[Create a free league hub](https://muffed.ai/league) — every team in a Sleeper league gets a page of its own guys, with a written read on each one every game week.

## Strongest evergreen pages
Player pages and a division-spanning sample of team pages:
- [Jahmyr Gibbs (RB, DET)](https://muffed.ai/players/jahmyr-gibbs-det)
- [Bijan Robinson (RB, ATL)](https://muffed.ai/players/bijan-robinson-atl)
- [Ja'Marr Chase (WR, CIN)](https://muffed.ai/players/jamarr-chase-cin)
- [Puka Nacua (WR, LAR)](https://muffed.ai/players/puka-nacua-lar)
- [Christian McCaffrey (RB, SF)](https://muffed.ai/players/christian-mccaffrey-sf)
- [Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR, SEA)](https://muffed.ai/players/jaxon-smith-njigba-sea)
- [Jonathan Taylor (RB, IND)](https://muffed.ai/players/jonathan-taylor-ind)
- [Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR, DET)](https://muffed.ai/players/amon-ra-st-brown-det)
- [James Cook (RB, BUF)](https://muffed.ai/players/james-cook-buf)
- [Justin Jefferson (WR, MIN)](https://muffed.ai/players/justin-jefferson-min)
- [Buffalo Bills](https://muffed.ai/teams/BUF)
- [Baltimore Ravens](https://muffed.ai/teams/BAL)
- [Kansas City Chiefs](https://muffed.ai/teams/KC)
- [Dallas Cowboys](https://muffed.ai/teams/DAL)
- [Philadelphia Eagles](https://muffed.ai/teams/PHI)
- [Detroit Lions](https://muffed.ai/teams/DET)
- [Green Bay Packers](https://muffed.ai/teams/GB)
- [San Francisco 49ers](https://muffed.ai/teams/SF)

Full catalog: [/llms-full.txt](https://muffed.ai/llms-full.txt)