Chicago Bears — 2026 season outlook, updated Oct 14, 2026.
Chicago Bears finished the 2026 season 3-2.
Chicago Bears: 11-6 regular season.
Based on verified play-by-play data (nflverse).
By the numbers — 2026
Follow the Bears. The team's weekly read, in your inbox when it publishes.
2026 schedule
- Bye week 10 — see all 2026 byes.
- 12th-hardest schedule — opponents average 8.62 projected wins.
- Bears backfield and handcuffs — depth chart, refreshed daily.
Bears players we cover
Bears 7, Packers 31 — Week 5: Five Turnovers, One Touchdown
Chicago lost 31-7 at Green Bay after three interceptions and two lost fumbles, with only 24 of 40 throws catchable, while Jordan Love completed 12 of 14 play-action throws for 245 yards against its defense.
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More episodes
- Camp · Sep 3, 2026
Bears Camp — Sep 3: Sanborn and Lynch Are Back on the 53
Chicago undid two of its own cuts on Tuesday, signing linebacker Jack Sanborn and defensive lineman James Lynch back to the 53 two days after releasing them, with Coby Bryant and Hayden Large to injured reserve. Ryan Poles would not guarantee Kyler Gordon plays for the Bears again, and a day later a rehab video showed him sprinting. Jaylon Johnson was full-go Wednesday.
- Camp · Aug 31, 2026
Bears Camp — Aug 31: Gordon Out at Least Four Games
Kyler Gordon stayed on the physically-unable-to-perform list at Sunday's cutdown — out at least the first four games — and the same day the Bears traded Gervon Dexter Sr. to the Falcons for cornerback Clark Phillips III. Both tackles who lost the August battle are gone, Tyson Bagent went 16-of-17 in a 24-15 finale win, and Jaylon Johnson's right arm is the new Week 1 question.
- Camp · Aug 23, 2026
Bears Camp — Aug 23: Williams Can't Shake Cincinnati's Rush
Cincinnati's pass rush owned the Bears' week — Caleb Williams closed Thursday's joint practice with consecutive sacks and an interception, then the starters opened Saturday's 27-9 loss with 28 passing yards and a stalled drive. Braxton Jones took the left tackle job back by simply returning, Kyle Monangai's knee is week-to-week, and the Kyler Gordon question now points straight at cut day.
- Camp · Aug 16, 2026
Chicago Bears Camp Update — August 16: Burden Is Out for the Preseason, Not the Opener
The Burden diagnosis landed Monday — groin, done for the preseason, expected for the opener — and Ben Johnson says his concern level is "none." The Bears then beat Cleveland 34-10 with the starters watching, while the depth chart added a safety to surgery and left tackle stayed an open question.
- Camp · Aug 9, 2026
Chicago Bears Camp Update — August 9: Luther Burden Limped Off and Didn't Return
The second-year receiver the passing game is being built around left Saturday's practice favoring his groin — the third time in a week camp has bruised him. Caleb Williams is getting sharper by the day, and the depth underneath both of them is exactly as thin as July said the regression tax would find.
- 2026 Preview
Chicago Bears 2026 Season Preview — Priced Like a Fluke
The market has the reigning NFC North champion third in its own division — our regression flags are real, but a division winner with the league's best offense-adjacent floor and both play-callers back isn't a fluke, it's a good team due a tax.
- Season Review
11-6 regular season
- Draft Recap
7 picks in the 2026 NFL Draft
- Week 4
Bears 23, Jets 12 — Week 4: Seven Third Downs, Seven Stops
Chicago beat the Jets 23-12 at home, ran 86 pass and rush plays to New York's 32, and stopped the Jets on all seven of their third downs, while its pass defense held 18 Jets pass plays to minus 4.9 expected points with three sacks.
- Week 3
Bears 27, Eagles 7 — Week 3: Three Turnovers, Never Trailed
Chicago beat Philadelphia 27-7 on Monday night with Case Keenum taking every snap at quarterback, led for the final 54 minutes, and held the Eagles to -20.1 expected points on 28 pass plays — the best per-play pass-defense game of any team's 96 this season — with two interceptions, two sacks and a fumble recovery.
- Week 2
Bears 3, Vikings 9 — Week 2: Fifteen Red Zone Snaps, No Points
Chicago lost 9-3 at home to Minnesota one week after scoring 59: the offense ran 15 red-zone snaps for 21 yards and no points, fumbled at the Minnesota 1, had a 23-yard field goal blocked and was sacked on fourth down on the final play, while the defense allowed 262 yards, third-fewest of the 28 teams that have played Week 2.
- Week 1
Bears 59, Panthers 37 — Week 1: Eight Touchdowns and 291 on the Ground
Chicago scored eight touchdowns in Charlotte, six of them on the ground, and ran for two hundred ninety-one yards on thirty-nine rushing plays. Tied thirty-one to thirty-one with nine minutes left in the third quarter, the Bears scored twenty-eight of the next thirty-four points. The defense allowed thirty-seven points and three hundred sixty-one passing yards, which is the other half of the ledger.
- Week 3 · What Repeats
Bears, Week 3 — What Repeats: Three Balls Offered, Two Taken
Chicago's defense forced 3 interception-worthy balls on Philadelphia's 26 throws and intercepted 2, one of the four highest rates in the league this week, while sending five or more rushers on 16 of 31 dropbacks (52 percent, second) and holding opposing passers under last season's catchable rate for a third straight week; on offense Case Keenum threw no interception-worthy ball on 34 throws and left the pocket on 5 of 35 dropbacks, and the run game gained 3.8 per designed run against a box that had emptied back to last year's.
- Week 2 · What Repeats
Bears, Week 2 — What Repeats: Seven in the Box, Five Rushing
Minnesota sent five or more pass rushers on 31 of Chicago's 41 dropbacks (76%, the most any offense faced this week, against 31% last season) and showed a light box on only 7 of 28 designed runs, averaging seven in the box; the Bears' motion rate fell to 29% (30th) from 46% last season, play-action fell to 22%, and receivers dropped 3 of 23 catchable balls after none in Week 1.
- Week 1 · What Repeats
Bears, Week 1 — What Repeats: Williams Put Zero Up for Grabs
The charting from Charlotte says Caleb Williams put 22 of 29 throws in a catchable spot — 76%, tied for ninth in the league this week, against 66% across all of 2025 — with none of the 29 charted interception-worthy, into a Carolina defense that sent five or more rushers on 37% of Chicago's dropbacks. The run game gained 232 yards on 32 designed runs against a box that averaged 6.4 defenders.
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From The Muffed Read
- What repeated from Week 1 to Week 2? Chicago's 3, the Rams' 28, Carolina's defense and Jalen Coker's target share, run back through Issue 5's ruler.
Chicago scored 59, then 3. The Rams scored 7, then 28. Carolina allowed 59, then 3. The loud numbers flipped. The usage held — for Coker, for Walker, and for the ruler.
- Which Week 1 results should you believe? Chicago's 59, the Rams' 7, Kansas City's defense and the Week 1 hero, run through Issue 5's ruler.
Seven of last year's fourteen playoff teams lost their opener. A 6–11 team beat a 14–3 team by three touchdowns. Two weeks ago this newsletter built a ruler for exactly this. Here's what it says.
- Which NFL teams got lucky in 2025? The luck audit, in 288 back-to-back seasons.
Kansas City won all eleven of its one-score games in 2024, then one all of 2025. Denver just went 11-2 in them. A decade of data on what a record proves — and what it only borrows.
- What actually happened in the 2025 NFL season? The year, retold by the data.
Three teams went 14-3 and got there three completely different ways. The champion looked old-fashioned on purpose. And the league's most talked-about defense wasn't one. A look back at what really decided last season — before the next one starts.
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