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Muffed on the Browns

Cleveland Browns

5-12 regular season

Cleveland Browns — 2026 season outlook, updated Oct 6, 2026.

Cleveland Browns finished the 2026 season 3-1.

Cleveland Browns: 5-12 regular season.

Based on verified play-by-play data (nflverse).

By the numbers — 2026

12 leaderboards

What these mean: screen pass rate · RPO rate · pass rate over expected · pythagorean win delta · expected points added per play · success rate · blitz rate · play-action rate · no-huddle rate · pre-snap motion rate · team air yards

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2026 — through Week 4
Record
3-1
Off. EPA
#17
−0.02/play
Def. EPA
#17
+0.02/play
Takeaways
4
#18 of 32

2026 schedule

Browns players we cover

8 players with a page

Week 4Oct 6, 2026

Browns 27, Steelers 24 — Week 4: Fifty-Six Yards With Fifteen Left

Cleveland beat Pittsburgh 27-24 at home on a 56-yard field goal with 15 seconds left, after the Steelers scored 14 in the fourth quarter to erase a 21-10 lead. Deshaun Watson's 35 pass plays were worth plus 9.2 expected points, and the defense sacked Aaron Rodgers five times and intercepted him twice.

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More episodes

  • Camp · Sep 3, 2026Sep 3, 2026

    Browns Camp — Sep 3: Cleveland Bought Veterans Anyway

    Cleveland kept building after the 53 was set: cornerback Toriano Pride Jr. claimed off Buffalo on Monday, cornerback Noah Igbinoghene and defensive end Sam Williams signed Tuesday with Kalia Davis to injured reserve — veteran experience bought for the league's second-youngest roster at the two spots the coach and the beat had called thin. Luke Floriea, three preseason touchdowns, got no practice-squad offer. Isaiah Bond is still in concussion protocol, the right guard job is still open, and the quarterback argument is where we left it.

  • Camp · Aug 31, 2026Aug 31, 2026

    Browns Camp — Aug 31: Watson Over Sanders, and the Beat Objects

    Todd Monken named Deshaun Watson the Week 1 starter over Shedeur Sanders on Monday, a call the beat's lead reporter disputed in print the next day. By Sunday the 53 was set around it: Dillon Gabriel on injured reserve three days after a three-touchdown half, rookie Taylen Green the No. 3 quarterback, Cedric Tillman waived, and the right guard job still open into game week.

  • Camp · Aug 23, 2026Aug 23, 2026

    Browns Camp — Aug 23: Sanders Hands Monken a Real Decision

    Sanders completed his first eight passes and went 9 of 11 for 74 and a touchdown in his first start, Watson followed with 5 of 12 for 35, an interception and boos from his own crowd, and Monken says the starter gets named early this week. The quarterback competition finally produced separation, and it ran in one direction.

  • Camp · Aug 16, 2026Aug 16, 2026

    Cleveland Browns Camp Update — August 16: Watson Started, and Nobody Won the Night

    Watson started in Chicago and played a steady, unspectacular half; Sanders threw a pick on a blistered hand; Gabriel threw one too. Monken says the competition continues and Sanders starts Saturday against the Bills. The quarterback question July promised is now playing out on film.

  • Camp · Aug 9, 2026Aug 10, 2026

    Cleveland Browns Camp Update — August 9: Deshaun Watson Took All the First-Team Reps Saturday

    The alternating-days quarterback competition broke pattern on Sanders' scheduled day with the ones — Watson ran everything, Sanders' reps cratered, and Todd Monken isn't talking until Monday. The most important undecided job in Cleveland may have just been decided in practice-plan form.

  • 2026 PreviewJul 6, 2026

    Cleveland Browns 2026 Season Preview — The Gap Team

    Cleveland had football's widest gap between its defense and its offense — then traded the defense's best player, lost its coordinator, and handed the offense to Baltimore's old play-caller with an unresolved quarterback room.

  • Season ReviewMay 11, 2026

    Browns 2025 Season in Review

    5-12 regular season

  • Draft RecapMay 11, 2026

    Browns — 2026 Draft Recap

    10 picks in the 2026 NFL Draft

  • Week 3Sep 28, 2026

    Browns 21, Panthers 18 — Week 3: Won It on Third and Ten

    Cleveland beat Carolina 21-18 at home on a 14-yard touchdown on third and 10 with 1:55 left, after a defense that allowed minus 5.8 expected points on 50 Carolina pass plays and stopped 11 of 15 third downs held the Panthers to one touchdown on 12 drives.

  • Week 2Sep 21, 2026

    Browns 23, Buccaneers 19 — Week 2: Four Third Downs on One Drive

    Cleveland won 23-19 at Tampa Bay after trailing or being tied until 3:57 remained, behind a passing game worth plus 10.4 expected points on 32 pass plays, a pass defense that ranked third of the 28 teams that have played Week 2, and a 68-yard touchdown drive that converted all four of its third downs.

  • Week 1Sep 13, 2026

    Browns 10, Jaguars 34 — Week 1: One Third Down in Eight, Five Sacks Taken

    Cleveland converted one of eight third downs in Jacksonville, took five sacks, turned it over twice in the first half, and trailed thirty-one to nothing before it scored. The defense that finished fifth in the league a year ago allowed four touchdown passes on twenty-four pass plays. Seven snaps inside the Jacksonville twenty produced no touchdowns; the one Browns touchdown was a forty-six-yard throw with two minutes left.

  • Week 3 · What RepeatsSep 30, 2026

    Browns, Week 3 — What Repeats: Six or Fewer in the Box, Every Run

    Cleveland showed six or fewer defenders in the box on all 23 of Carolina's designed runs, the only 100% light-box rate in the league in Week 3, and allowed 4.3 a run; Bryce Young was catchable on 28 of 47 throws (60%, not counting a spike) with 8 throwaways, while Cleveland's own motion rate jumped to 52% (10th) after 24% and 32%, and Deshaun Watson's catchable rate fell from 93% to 60%.

  • Week 2 · What RepeatsSep 24, 2026

    Browns, Week 2 — What Repeats: 28 of 30 Throws Were Catchable

    Deshaun Watson was catchable on 28 of 30 throws (93%, second in the league in Week 2) with none interception-worthy, a week after two, while Tampa Bay sent five or more rushers on 51% of dropbacks; the run game managed 1.8 yards per designed run with seven or more in the box on 15 of 18.

  • Week 1 · What RepeatsSep 16, 2026

    Browns, Week 1 — What Repeats: Cleveland Sent Five Three Times

    Cleveland sent five or more pass rushers on 3 of Jacksonville's 24 dropbacks, the second-lowest rate in the league in Week 1, and Trevor Lawrence put 20 of 23 throws in catchable spots with none interception-worthy; on the other side Deshaun Watson's 2 interception-worthy throws on 22 tied for the second-highest rate in the league, and the offense used motion on 24 percent of charted plays, the lowest in the league.

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