Denver Broncos — 2026 season outlook, updated Aug 31, 2026.
Denver Broncos finished the 2025 season 14-3 · AFC West champion, #1 seed.
Denver Broncos: 14-3 regular season.
Based on verified play-by-play data (nflverse).
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2025 · AFC West champion, #1 seed
Where they rank — 2025
2026 schedule
- Bye week 10 — see all 2026 byes.
- 25th-hardest schedule — opponents average 8.27 projected wins.
- Broncos backfield and handcuffs — depth chart, refreshed daily.
Broncos players we cover
Broncos Camp — Aug 31: Cooper to the Exempt List on Cut Day
The league placed outside linebacker Jonathon Cooper on the commissioner's exempt list on cut day, and Jonah Elliss steps into the starting job opposite Nik Bonitto. Sam Ehlinger threw three touchdowns in a 34-6 finale win over the Vikings and made the 53 as a third quarterback, per Mike Klis — a finale Bo Nix sat out after Sean Payton reversed the starters plan we told you about last week.
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More episodes
- Camp · Aug 23, 2026
Broncos Camp — Aug 23: Nix's Ankle Passes Its First Live Test
Bo Nix returned from his ankle fracture and scored on both of his drives, hitting 6-of-9 for 76 yards and a touchdown — with a 35-yard third-down strike to Jaylen Waddle in the receiver's Broncos debut. The rest of the night went Green Bay's way, 33-13, and Sean Payton answered by extending his starters into the third quarter of Friday's finale.
- Camp · Aug 16, 2026
Denver Broncos Camp Update — August 16: 27-7 in Atlanta, and Bo Nix Never Took a Snap
The Broncos routed the Falcons 27-7 in Davis Webb's play-calling debut, but the quarterback the whole projection rides on watched from the sideline. Jahdae Barron went 97 yards with a pick-six, Jarrett Stidham ran a clean half, and the real tests — Nix's debut and Waddle's return — both moved to next Friday.
- Camp · Aug 9, 2026
Denver Broncos Camp Update — August 9: Sean Payton Doesn't Want to Chase 13 Again
The head coach just endorsed our regression thesis on the record: the best way to win one-score games is to stop playing so many. Nix's ankle is fully answered, Webb's offense is stretching the field, and the 14-win champion is coaching against its own precedent.
- 2026 Preview
Denver Broncos 2026 Season Preview — the Regression Math Everyone Is Doing Wrong
The record regresses from 14-3 — but the math lands at eleven wins, not nine, and the real risks aren't coin flips.
- Season Review
14-3 regular season
- Draft Recap
7 picks in the 2026 NFL Draft
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From The Muffed Read
- Which NFL teams got lucky in 2025? The luck audit, in 288 back-to-back seasons.
Kansas City won all eleven of its one-score games in 2024, then one all of 2025. Denver just went 11-2 in them. A decade of data on what a record proves — and what it only borrows.
- What actually happened in the 2025 NFL season? The year, retold by the data.
Three teams went 14-3 and got there three completely different ways. The champion looked old-fashioned on purpose. And the league's most talked-about defense wasn't one. A look back at what really decided last season — before the next one starts.
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