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The Muffed Rams Show

Los Angeles Rams

Season reviews, draft recaps, and weekly episodes once the season kicks off — every Rams game retold by Muffed's AI football analyst.

Season ReviewMay 11, 2026

Rams 2025 Season in Review

12-5 regular season

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The Rams went 12 and 5, rode it into the NFC Championship Game, and fell 31 to 27 in Seattle — one win short of the Super Bowl. For stretches this was the most complete roster in football: an offense that scored at will, a defense that suffocated quarterbacks. The Cooper Kupp era ended, Davante Adams walked in, and Sean McVay barely missed a beat reshaping the passing tree around Puka Nacua. The shadow over all of it was special teams, which haunted four of their six losses and cost them the Week 16 game in Seattle that flipped them from the one-seed to the five — and set up the exact rematch that ended their year. Two trips to the Pacific Northwest, two heartbreakers. A juggernaut season that ended one room short of the party.

Put numbers on it. The Rams scored 30.5 points a game — the most in football — and paired it with a defense allowing right around 21. Scoring differential: nearly ten points a night across seventeen weeks. The offense generated plus 141.4 expected points added through the air — how much each snap improved their chances of scoring, a top-three number leaguewide — and another plus 11.5 on the ground. The defense gave back minus 47.4 through the air and minus 17.6 on the ground, and on defense the big negatives are the good ones. This was a steady train, not a fireworks show. They hit 27 or more in twelve different games, never bottomed out below 14, and only got punched in the mouth twice — the Week 13 trip to Carolina and the Week 16 collapse in Seattle. Boom without the bust.

Now let's talk about the passing offense. This was the engine — 276.9 yards a game, 46 touchdowns against just 8 interceptions, and a per-play passing expected points added of plus 0.23 that ranked in the 97th percentile leaguewide. Matthew Stafford put together a Most Valuable Player season at age 37: 4,707 yards, 46 touchdowns, completion percentage over expected of plus 1.7, and only 23 sacks absorbed behind a steady offensive line. The signature throw came in the Week 15 shootout with Detroit — second and 9 from the Lions' 41, tied at 30 in overtime, Stafford ripped a deep ball down the middle to Nacua, who took it 41 yards for the walk-off. The year in one snap. And it was remarkably consistent: multiple touchdowns in fourteen of seventeen games.

Now let's dig into the rushing offense. Volume looks ordinary — 128.4 yards a game, 4.97 a carry, plus 11.5 expected points added on the ground — but the context makes it sing. Kyren Williams went for 1,252 yards and 10 touchdowns as the lead back, and his rushing yards over expected per attempt of plus 0.64 means he created roughly two-thirds of a yard more than the average back on the same blocking. Where this unit earned its money was the red zone, converting 24 percent of trips into touchdowns at a 97th-percentile clip. Three different times — against the Texans, the Saints, and the Seahawks — Williams converted fourth-and-one at the goal line for a score. Bell-cow, short-yardage, sledgehammer identity. Week in, week out — not a hot streak.

Next up, the pass defense. Chris Shula's group finished with 47 sacks and 115 quarterback hits — that hits number sat in the 97th percentile leaguewide — and generated a 27 percent pressure rate while sending an average of only 2.1 rushers. They got home with four, and they got home often. Takeaway count of 26 landed in the 91st percentile; third-down stop rate of 63 percent was a top-quarter number. The signature moment came in the Week 11 home win over Seattle — third and 8 in the third quarter, Sam Darnold tried a quick out left, Jaylen Wallace jumped it, picked it, and took it 56 yards down to the Seahawks' 1-yard line. A minus 8.3 expected-points swing on a single snap. Steady too: opposing quarterbacks held under 20 passing points in eleven different games.

And the run defense. The Rams gave up 111.3 rushing yards a game at 4.38 a carry, with rushing expected points added allowed of minus 17.6 — negative is the goal — and just 8 rushing touchdowns surrendered all season, a bottom-of-the-league total in the best possible way. They sat in the 66th percentile in run defense expected points and were impressively consistent, holding 13 of 17 opponents under 130 rushing yards. The front anchored by Jared Verse set a stout edge from snap one. This wasn't a unit that pitched a shutout against the run — it took the run game off the table so the pass rush could pin its ears back. Mission accomplished.

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Draft RecapMay 11, 2026

Rams — 2026 Draft Recap

5 picks in the 2026 NFL Draft

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Welcome back to Muffed. The Los Angeles Rams' 2026 draft class comes with a real headline: five picks — the lowest haul this front office has carried in years — and they spent the thirteenth overall on a quarterback. Ty Simpson out of Alabama is the succession plan and the frame of the entire class. Around him: a tight end in the second, an offensive lineman in the third, a receiver and a defensive tackle on day three. The theme is unmistakable — offense-first, future-facing, layered onto a roster that already runs deep. Les Snead said it plainly: no glaring needs, best player available, with one eye on the next two or three years.

Start with Simpson, because the entire class orbits him. He threw for 3,567 yards and 28 touchdowns against just 5 picks — second in the SEC in yards, fifteenth nationally, second in the conference in touchdowns. His predicted points added, the college equivalent of NFL expected points added, came in at plus zero point three two per play and plus 177.97 on the season, with 93 rushing yards and two scores tacked on. And here's the kicker: the Rams' 2025 passing game already produced plus 141.38 in total passing expected points added and 46 touchdowns through the air. This isn't a panic pick. It's a runway pick. The front office traced Simpson back to July at the Manning Passing Academy, and what kept surfacing was the intelligence piece — a quarterback who can sit in Sean McVay's system and process one-two-three reads with backside throws built in. The tape they kept circling was the Auburn game: 130 yards under heavy pressure, clutch throws in a messy environment. The tell from the press conference? They openly admitted they don't know if it's one year, two, or three before he plays. They picked him anyway. When you find the fit, you take him.

The second-round pick reinforces what this offense is becoming. Max Klare, tight end from Ohio State, posted a plus zero point four four predicted points added per play on 43 catches for 448 yards and 2 scores — and that efficiency number is the headline, because plus zero point four four per play is elite-route-runner territory. Nicole Blake spoke directly to it: the move to thirteen personnel — one back, three tight ends — happened organically last season, and the Rams expect to keep activating multiple tight ends in pass situations. Klare played across personnel groupings at both Purdue and Ohio State, so the formation projection is already on tape. In a draft that set a record for tight ends taken on day two, Los Angeles landed one of the most efficient route-runners in the class.

The receiver came later, but the front office tipped its hand. Sixth round, pick 197, CJ Daniels out of Miami — and the Rams traded up roughly ten spots to get him. His Relative Athletic Score, a zero-to-ten grade benchmarking combine and pro-day testing against every player at the position since 1987, came in at 6.30. Solidly average athletically. But his seven receiving touchdowns ranked second in his conference, and a team area scout had been calling Daniels a Ram since September. Strong hands, high catch rate, sharp routes. That's the profile they paid up for.

On the offensive line, the Rams used pick 93 on Keagen Trost from Missouri — a twenty-five-year-old developmental piece for a unit that allowed just 23 sacks in 2025 and generated plus 141 in passing expected points added. They weren't drafting for a fire. They were drafting for the succession logic Snead laid out: contracts coming up after this season, bodies you believe in two and three years out.

Then the lone defensive pick: Tim Keenan III, defensive tackle from Alabama, seventh round, pick 232. The 2025 Rams run defense held opponents to minus 17.57 in rushing expected points added allowed and just 8 rushing scores all year — so this isn't an emergency fix, it's a flier. Keenan's college line: 16 tackles, 3 for loss, 2 sacks. His Relative Athletic Score came in at 2.74 — genuinely below the bar, bottom-tier testing for the position. A late-round body for the rotation. Nothing more.

Pick of the draft has to be Simpson, and the case isn't that he was the most polished name on the board — it's that he's the rarest. You can argue Klare on pure per-play efficiency. You can argue the value bump on Daniels in round six. But quarterback in McVay's system isn't plug-and-play, and the Rams said the building had collective buy-in on Simpson in a way that rarely happens at the position. Fifteen career starts is a thin sample, and the front office acknowledged people weigh that differently. They didn't. Drafting a top-fifteen quarterback while your incumbent is still playing at a high level is the ultimate long-game move, and getting that decision right dwarfs anything else in this class.

The biggest thing to watch in 2026: this class is built almost entirely on offense, layered onto a unit that already produced plus 141 in passing expected points added and 46 touchdowns through the air last year. The stress test isn't whether Simpson plays right away — it's whether the defense, which got exactly one seventh-round dart, holds up while the offense gets younger and deeper at the skill spots. Los Angeles bet on continuity on defense and runway on offense. If Simpson is the guy, this class ages into one of the most important drafts of the McVay era. If he's not, it's a lot of weight on a tight end and a sixth-round receiver.

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