Geno Smith (QB, New York Jets) — 2026 fantasy outlook, updated Sep 28, 2026.

In 2025, Geno Smith finished QB24 at 11.6 Half-PPR points per game (173.9 total) across 15 games.

Based on verified 2025 play-by-play data (nflverse); Half-PPR scoring.

Week 3 — The Take

Smith completed 31 of 37 for 321 yards, three touchdowns and no interceptions, including a 23-yard touchdown to Garrett Wilson on fourth and six that, with a two-point throw, tied it 24–24 with 4:11 left. He was sacked five times, the last with 51 seconds left at the Detroit 28, fumbling to end the Jets' final drive, in a 31–24 loss to the Lions.

When Geno Smith's week moves the numbers, you'll know — every episode, in one weekly email.

One email a week, in season. Free, unsubscribe anytime.

Play fantasy? There's a version of this about your whole roster — follow your guys, free →

2026 — through Week 3
Scored Half-PPR
Pos. rank
—
Half-PPR / game
11.6
Last game
—
2025
QB24
11.6/g

Where he ranks — 2026

9 leaderboards

What these mean: completion percentage over expected · deep-ball expected points added per attempt · QB composite rating · expected points added per dropback · adjusted net yards per attempt · intended air yards · quarterback-fault sack rate · interception-worthy throw rate

Jets backfield and handcuffs — the depth chart behind him, refreshed daily.

More episodes

  • Week 2Sep 21, 2026

    Geno Smith — Week 2: Forty-One Throws, Four Sacks

    Smith completed 27 of 41 for 247 yards, one touchdown and no interceptions, and was sacked four times for 29 yards, twice on the first two snaps of overtime. He converted six third downs through the air, and an aborted snap and a 10-yard sack turned second and three at the Green Bay 33 into a punt, in a 20–17 overtime loss to the Packers.

  • Week 1Sep 14, 2026

    Geno Smith — Week 1: Nineteen of Twenty-Four, Nine After Halftime

    Smith completed nineteen of twenty-four for two hundred fifteen yards, no touchdowns, no interceptions and no sacks in his first game as a Jet, and nine of the twenty-four came after halftime for a hundred twenty-five yards. He threw to ten different Jets, and the one turnover scare was his own: an aborted snap on third and six in the first quarter that he recovered himself, in a 23–10 win over the Titans.

  • Camp · Aug 31, 2026Aug 31, 2026

    Geno Smith Camp Update — August 31: The Backup Room Is One Rookie

    The Jets kept two quarterbacks on the initial fifty-three: Geno Smith and rookie Cade Klubnik, per Jets X-Factor, after releasing Bailey Zappe and waiving Brady Cook on consecutive days. Smith did not play in the preseason finale, so his seven-for-seven series in Pittsburgh stands as his entire preseason game work.

  • Camp · Aug 23, 2026Aug 23, 2026

    Geno Smith Camp Update — August 23: A Perfect Series in Pittsburgh

    Geno Smith played one series in Friday's shutout of the Steelers and completed all seven passes for sixty-five yards and a touchdown, a week after a sore foot scratched him from the opener. The path there was deliberately managed, and the caveats are the opponent's rested starters and the sample of one drive.

  • Camp · Aug 16, 2026Aug 17, 2026

    Geno Smith Camp Update — August 16: A Late Scratch and a Sore Foot

    Geno Smith sat out the preseason opener as a late scratch with what an AP source called a sore foot, and the team called ankle soreness. He is day-to-day, the joint practices read both ways, and rookie Cade Klubnik led scoring drives in his place.

  • 2026 PreviewJul 3, 2026

    Geno Smith 2026 Season Preview — what repeats, what doesn't

    NO CALL — QB30 implies 11.6 a game for a QB who produced 11.6, to the decimal. The Seattle band says the right environment adds three or four points; the 17 interceptions say it might be the new baseline.

    ▾
    0:003:46

    Your episode · 3:46

    Show notes & transcript

    The quarterback who was sacked 55 times last season now plays for the team that drafted him 13 years ago. Geno Smith, back with the Jets, goes at pick one-77 — quarterback 30 — and here is the eeriest fact in this batch: the value at that slot last season was 11.6 points a game. His average last season was 11.6 points a game. To the decimal.

    The season, on quarterback scoring — the standard four-point-passing convention, identical to Half-PPR for quarterbacks: 15 games for a three-and-14 Raiders team. 302 of 448 — 67 percent — for 3025 yards, 19 touchdowns, and 17 interceptions, the most in football. The 55 sacks were also the most any quarterback took. 11.6 points a game, thirtieth among quarterbacks per game, 20-fourth in total. The completion percentage says the passer is intact; the turnover and sack lines say the situation was a compactor.

    The career context matters here: his three full Seattle seasons ran 15-one to 17-nine points a game — a legitimate starter's band, sustained across three years — before Las Vegas happened. The drop from 15-six to 11-six coincided precisely with the roster around him changing, which is not proof of anything, but it's the pattern a bounce-back argument would want.

    The pattern beat is brief: nothing in our library reaches him. Rushing floor? Six percent of his points came on the ground. Touchdown inflation? 19 17 is the opposite problem. No quarterback aging cohort exists, and we won't borrow one. What the library prices is the environment, and the environment just changed completely.

    The move, dated and directional: Las Vegas traded him to New York on March tenth — Smith plus a seventh-round pick for a sixth, with the Raiders paying 16.2 million of his 19-and-a-half-million final year, per PFT — a deal forced by an eight-million-dollar guarantee about to vest, per CBS. Vegas then drafted Fernando Mendoza first overall. In New York: Aaron Glenn enters year two with Frank Reich installed as coordinator, per the team site, and Glenn named Smith the starter on arrival. The June minicamp reports were warm — command of Reich's offense, deep completions to a healthy Garrett Wilson, per the team site. The supporting cast is young and rehabbed: Wilson led the team in receiving yards last season despite playing seven games; Adonai Mitchell and Mason Taylor return; the Jets spent first-rounders on tight end Kenyon Sadiq and receiver Omar Cooper. Justin Fields was traded to Kansas City in March. One more item belongs in this file, because we don't edit files: in late June a woman identifying as his ex-girlfriend accused him of assault in a 911 call. Police responded; as of this recording there has been no arrest and no charges filed, and the league has said only that it is aware, per ESPN and NBC Sports. If that changes, this preview changes.

    The price: QB30 at pick one-77, implying 11.6 a game, for a quarterback who produced 11.6 a game. Our verdict: no call — the market did the math to the decimal, and we checked twice because we didn't believe it either. The caveat, spoken both ways: the Seattle band says the right environment gets three or four more points a game out of this same passer, and a Reich offense with a healthy Wilson might be that environment — or the 17 picks were the new baseline wearing the old completion percentage, in which case QB30 is exactly where this ends.

    Watch the sack count in September — 55 was a system failure, and the fastest tell on the new one — and Wilson's snap count, because the whole bounce-back case runs through one knee. The price has no opinion; that's what makes it right. If he's one of your guys, this show exists for your whole roster — every player, every week, all season.

Who else are you watching?

Follow every guy you care about — across all your leagues — and they all land in one email each week. Free.

Every Jets game, storied weekly.

The Muffed Jets Show — free, in your podcast app.

More about the show →

In a Sleeper league? One link sets up everyone in it →

Ask this data a question

Every figure on this page comes out of Muffed's verified panel — and you can query the whole thing in plain English. No account, no key. Ask the data →

Use Muffed in your AI

Ask Claude or ChatGPT football questions and get these verified figures back, with sources. Add https://muffed.ai/api/mcp — free, no account, no API key.

Add to Claude · Set up in ChatGPT · How it works →

Every figure on this page is recomputed from public play-by-play, not copied from a box score — how we verify every number.