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What the data says right now

One page, updated in place. These are the reads Muffed's analysis surfaces from the full 2026 data picture — not a news feed, and not a back catalogue of takes.

Minnesota is the NFL's last unbeaten team at 6-0 after beating Indianapolis 16-10, behind the league's stingiest defense.

6-0 · 74 points allowed · 1st of 30 defenses in EPA allowedVerified Oct 26, 2026

Through Sunday of Week 7 of 2026 the Vikings have allowed 74 points in 6 games, the fewest in the league, and their defense allows -0.193 expected points added (EPA) per play, 1st of the 30 teams that have finished the week. On defense a big negative is good. Blake Cashman had 2 sacks and 4 passes defended, Daniel Jones was sacked 4 times, and Harrison Smith's interception with 1:15 left ended the Colts' last drive.

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Tampa Bay ran 47 times for 261 yards and threw only 11 passes in a 43-13 win at Carolina, the second-most rushing yards by a team this season.

47 runs, 11 passes · 2nd of 212 team rushing gamesVerified Oct 26, 2026

Through Sunday of Week 7 of 2026 only Chicago's 291 in Week 1 tops it among 212 team games, and no other offense has run fewer than 18 pass plays in a game. Bucky Irving carried 24 times for 106 yards and 2 touchdowns. The defense held Carolina to -0.268 expected points added (EPA) per play, the best defensive game of the week, and Calijah Kancey returned a Bryce Young fumble 32 yards for a touchdown. Tampa Bay is 2-5.

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Cincinnati trailed Baltimore 13-0, then scored 35 straight points, and its 0.331 expected points added (EPA) per play led every Week 7 offense through Sunday.

1st of 26 Week 7 offenses · 10th of 212 team gamesVerified Oct 26, 2026

Through Sunday of Week 7 of 2026 Joe Burrow completed 22 of 30 for 292 yards and 4 touchdowns, and his 18.2 passing EPA was the most of any passer in the week. Tee Higgins caught 6 of 7 targets for 148 yards. The Bengals won 35-13, are 4-2, and their offense rose from 8th to 6th of the 30 teams that have finished the week.

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Seattle held Kansas City to 3 points in a 20-3 win, handing the Chiefs their first loss of 2026.

3 points, tied for the fewest of 212 team games · Seattle 2nd in EPA allowedVerified Oct 26, 2026

Through Sunday of Week 7 of 2026 the Chiefs are 5-1. Patrick Mahomes completed 19 of 33 for 165 yards with no touchdowns and 1 interception, and Kansas City's offense finished at -0.105 expected points added (EPA) per play. Seattle's defense allows -0.131 EPA per play on the season, 2nd of the 30 teams that have finished the week; on defense a big negative is good.

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Atlanta forced 4 turnovers and handed San Francisco its first loss, 29-20, as Bijan Robinson took the league rushing lead.

4 takeaways · Robinson 704 rushing yards, Walker 701Verified Oct 26, 2026

Through Sunday of Week 7 of 2026 Robinson has 704 rushing yards, 3 more than Kenneth Walker III's 701, after 20 carries for 63 yards and 5 catches for 59 more. Jessie Bates and Kendal Daniels each intercepted Brock Purdy, and Daniels added a fumble recovery with 57 seconds left. San Francisco is 6-1, Atlanta 3-4.

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Jaxon Smith-Njigba caught 9 passes for 150 yards against the Chiefs and leads the league by 231 receiving yards through Sunday of Week 7 of 2026.

867 yards · 231 ahead of Olave · 9 catches on 12 targetsVerified Oct 26, 2026

Through Sunday of Week 7 of 2026 he has 867 yards; Chris Olave is next at 636, and the lead stood at 137 after Week 6. His 8 receiving touchdowns also lead the league, 2 more than Christian Watson's 6. Four of his catches in the second quarter, when Seattle went up 10-0, gained 33, 27, 28 and 21 yards.

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The 13 Thursday and Sunday games of Week 7 averaged 0.058 expected points added (EPA) per offensive play, the highest of any week of 2026.

16 of 26 offenses above zero · Week 6 was -0.043Verified Oct 26, 2026

Through Sunday of Week 7 of 2026 the best full week had been Week 4 at 0.033, and Week 6 was the lowest at -0.043. EPA measures what each play did to a team's scoring odds. Of the 26 offenses that played, 16 finished above zero, against 10 of 28 in Week 6.

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Miami won for the first time this season, 28-25 at the Jets, as Malik Willis threw 2 touchdown passes and ran for another.

0-5 to 1-5 · 2nd of 26 Week 7 offensesVerified Oct 26, 2026

Through Sunday of Week 7 of 2026 the Dolphins are 1-5, and the Chargers, 0-6 on their bye, are the only winless team. Willis completed 14 of 21 for 208 yards without an interception, and Miami's offense finished 2nd of 26 in the week at 0.283 expected points added (EPA) per play. Up 21-17 in the fourth quarter, he hit Caleb Douglas on a short pass that went 63 yards for a touchdown, Douglas's 2nd of the day.

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Detroit beat Green Bay 20-17 on a 22-yard field goal with 1 second left, and its top receiver had the most receiving yards of Week 7 through Sunday.

9 catches, 153 yards on 11 targets · Lions 4-2Verified Oct 26, 2026

Through Sunday of Week 7 of 2026 Detroit is 4-2. Amon-Ra St. Brown caught 9 of 11 targets for 153 yards, and Jake Bates kicked the winner. Jared Goff threw for 303 yards and 2 touchdowns, both to Jameson Williams. The run game gave little back: Jahmyr Gibbs carried 29 times for 116 yards, but Detroit's 32 runs averaged -0.415 expected points added (EPA) each, and Gibbs lost a fumble at the Green Bay 6.

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Kirk Cousins threw 2 touchdown passes in a 35-21 loss to the Rams and leads the league with 16 through Sunday of Week 7 of 2026.

16 touchdown passes · 14 after Week 6Verified Oct 26, 2026

Through Sunday of Week 7 of 2026 Brock Purdy and Joe Burrow are next with 15 each; Cousins shared the lead at 14 after Week 6. He completed 26 of 44 for 295 yards, but his passing expected points added (EPA) finished at -7.4 against a Rams defense that held Las Vegas to 21 points. The Raiders are 3-4.

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Yaya Diaby sacked Bryce Young 3 times in Tampa Bay's 43-13 win at Carolina, tying the most by any player in a game this season.

3 sacks, 3 tackles for loss · 4 games of 3 sacks this seasonVerified Oct 26, 2026

Through Sunday of Week 7 of 2026 only Will Anderson Jr., Kyler Gordon and David Bailey have also had 3 in a game. Diaby added 3 tackles for loss and 3 quarterback hits. Young was sacked 5 times and intercepted twice, and Carolina's passes averaged -0.501 expected points added (EPA) each.

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Luther Burden III caught all 4 of his targets for 130 yards in Chicago's 30-24 Thursday win over New England.

4 catches, 130 yards on 4 targets · Noel's 107 the next-mostVerified Oct 26, 2026

Through Sunday of Week 7 of 2026 the next-most receiving yards by a player on 4 or fewer targets in a game this season is Jaylin Noel's 107 in Week 6. Burden's 24-yard touchdown came on 3rd-and-17 with 21 seconds left in the first half. Caleb Williams completed 22 of 33 for 308 yards and 2 touchdowns, Chicago's passes averaged 0.377 expected points added (EPA) each, and the Bears are 5-2.

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The Giants' runs averaged 0.301 expected points added (EPA) each in a 27-21 overtime win at Houston, the best rushing game of Week 7 through Sunday.

34 runs, 188 yards, 4 touchdowns · 1st of 26 Week 7 run gamesVerified Oct 26, 2026

Through Sunday of Week 7 of 2026 the Giants are 4-2-1. Cam Skattebo ran 17 times for 124 yards, and his 42-yard run in overtime set up Devin Singletary's 30-yard touchdown that ended it. New York ran for 4 touchdowns in all; C.J. Stroud's 3-yard touchdown pass to Xavier Hutchinson had tied it 21-21 with 57 seconds left in regulation.

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Tony Pollard ran for 3 touchdowns, and Tennessee still lost 27-24 to Cleveland on a field goal with 3 seconds left.

25 carries, 129 yards, 3 touchdowns · Titans 1-6Verified Oct 26, 2026

Through Sunday of Week 7 of 2026 that ties the most rushing touchdowns by a player in a game this season, a mark reached 5 times. Pollard carried 25 times for 129 yards, and his 1-yard score tied it 24-24 with 61 seconds left. Deshaun Watson then found Harold Fannin Jr. for 36 yards, and Andre Szmyt kicked the winner from 32. Cleveland is 5-2, Tennessee 1-6.

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The Rams' defense climbed from 10th to 5th in expected points added (EPA) allowed per play after a 35-21 win at Las Vegas.

10th to 5th of 30 · Raiders' runs at -0.396 EPAVerified Oct 26, 2026

Through Sunday of Week 7 of 2026 the Rams allow -0.057 EPA per play, 5th of the 30 teams that have finished the week; on defense a big negative is good. The Raiders finished at -0.163, and their 17 runs averaged -0.396. Matthew Stafford completed 23 of 29 for 195 yards and 3 touchdowns, 2 of them to Davis Allen, and the Rams are 3-4.

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Chase Young had 1.5 sacks of Aaron Rodgers in New Orleans' 16-10 loss to Pittsburgh and is second in the league with 7.0 through Sunday of Week 7 of 2026.

7.0 sacks, 2nd in the league · 1.5 in Week 7Verified Oct 26, 2026

Through Sunday of Week 7 of 2026 only Will Anderson Jr. has more, at 7.5. Carl Granderson also had 1.5 for the Saints, and Rodgers was sacked 3 times; his 22 this season trail only Deshaun Watson's 25. Pittsburgh is 5-2 and New Orleans 2-5.

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Trey McBride caught 10 of 13 targets for 111 yards against Denver and leads the league with 59 catches through Sunday of Week 7 of 2026.

10 catches, 111 yards · 59 on the season, 1 aheadVerified Oct 26, 2026

Through Sunday of Week 7 of 2026 Jaxon Smith-Njigba is next at 58; CeeDee Lamb, at 48, plays Monday night. The catches did not carry Arizona: Denver won 30-16, its runs averaged 0.266 expected points added (EPA) each, and Bo Nix ran 7 times for 73 yards. Denver is 5-2 and Arizona 2-5.

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Source: nflverse play-by-play and NFL Next Gen Stats. Updated Oct 26, 2026. How we verify our data.

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