2026 season · Quarterbacks, 83+ dropbacks through Week 7, 34 qualifiers

Quarterback EPA per Dropback Leaders

Through Week 7 · Sunday, Sunday night and Monday night pending

Quarterback EPA per Dropback — 2026 NFL leaders, updated Oct 25, 2026. Lamar Jackson (BAL) led the league in expected points added per dropback at 0.38, ahead of 33 other qualifying players. Based on verified 2026 play-by-play data (nflverse); Half-PPR scoring. Through Week 7 of the 2026 season, with Sunday, Sunday night and Monday night still to come.

Expected points added per dropback asks what each pass attempt was worth; success rate asks how often the attempt simply worked, with no credit for the size of the gain. Read them together. A quarterback high in the first and low in the second lives on explosive plays and disappears for stretches; high in both is the profile of an offense that stays on schedule. The dropback is the honest denominator because it charges a passer for the snaps that never became throws — a sack and a scramble are both quarterback outcomes, and a passer whose per-attempt line looks tidy because he takes the sack instead of testing the coverage is exactly who this separates.

Related: Time to Throw · Aggressiveness

Quarterback EPA per Dropback, 2026 NFL season
#PlayerΔ WKGDBEPA/DBSuccess%Total EPAScr%Read
1Lamar JacksonBALNo change61110.3857.7%41.69.0%Read
2Brock PurdySFNo change61910.3654.5%69.37.8%Read
3Josh AllenBUFNo change; did not play this week62030.3347.8%67.28.4%Read
4Caleb WilliamsCHINo change71500.3251.3%47.69.3%Read
5Jared GoffDETNo change52070.2850.2%58.52.4%Read
6Trevor LawrenceJAXNo change; did not play this week62010.2750.2%54.03.5%Read
7Drake MayeNEUp 1 place, from 872500.2252.4%54.39.2%Read
8Bryce YoungCARDown 1 place, from 752180.2045.0%43.62.3%Read
9Patrick MahomesKCNo change51750.1850.3%31.65.7%Read
10Kirk CousinsLVNo change62240.1848.7%40.21.3%Read
11C.J. StroudHOUNo change62370.1649.0%38.73.4%Read
12Joe BurrowCINNo change52040.1550.0%30.02.9%Read
13Jayden DanielsWASNo change; did not play this week61450.1446.2%20.713.1%Read
14Michael Penix Jr.ATLNo change61250.1245.6%15.52.4%Read
15Dak PrescottDALNo change62680.1248.1%31.64.5%Read
16Jordan LoveGBNo change62410.1243.1%27.90.4%Read
17Matthew StaffordLARNo change62620.0848.1%20.91.5%Read
18Geno SmithNYJNo change62060.0647.6%12.34.4%Read
19Tyler HuntleyBALNo change6860.0244.2%1.38.1%
20Deshaun WatsonCLENo change62210.0143.0%2.99.9%Read
21Jacoby BrissettARINo change62490.0148.2%1.82.0%Read
22Tyler ShoughNONo change6256-0.0244.9%-4.03.1%Read
23Jalen HurtsPHINo change6179-0.0538.0%-9.36.7%Read
24Jameis WinstonNYGNo change6179-0.0840.8%-14.72.8%
25Kyler MurrayMINNo change5122-0.0936.9%-10.410.7%Read
26Sam DarnoldSEANo change6167-0.1042.5%-16.03.0%Read
27Bo NixDENNo change6204-0.1037.8%-20.62.5%Read
28Jalon DanielsTBNo change6123-0.1139.0%-13.513.0%
29Malik WillisMIANo change5161-0.1239.1%-19.510.6%Read
30Aaron RodgersPITNo change6253-0.1240.7%-31.61.2%Read
31Daniel JonesINDNo change6239-0.1441.0%-34.42.9%Read
32Cam WardTENNo change6200-0.1841.0%-35.16.0%Read
33Justin HerbertLACNo change; did not play this week6219-0.2436.1%-52.58.7%Read
34Baker MayfieldTBNo change6118-0.2638.1%-30.27.6%Read

New to this stat? What expected points added per dropback means.

The read — Week 6

Lamar Jackson is first at +0.38 expected points added (EPA) per dropback through six weeks without a dropback this week: Tyler Huntley had 38 for +5.4 in the Ravens' 13-10 loss in Cleveland, and Brock Purdy went from first to second, +0.42 to +0.36, after +3.8 on 34 dropbacks against the Commanders. C.J. Stroud had the week's best total, +13.1 on 35 dropbacks in a 34-31 win in Jacksonville, and went from 15th to 11th; Trevor Lawrence, on the other side of it, went from seventh to sixth on +11.5 in 43 dropbacks. Kirk Cousins went from 13th to 10th on +11.5 in 41 dropbacks against the Bills, and Drake Maye from 12th to eighth on +7.8 in 35 against the Jets. Michael Penix Jr. went from fifth to 14th after -10.6 on 41 dropbacks against the Bears, and Dak Prescott from 10th to 15th after -9.3 on 57 in Green Bay. Jalon Daniels had the week's worst, -17.2 on 52 dropbacks against the Steelers, and went from 19th to 28th; Justin Herbert's -15.3 in Kansas City left him 33rd. The floor is 71 dropbacks: 34 quarterbacks clear it, Huntley appears at 19th on 86, Tyson Bagent no longer qualifies, and 21 are above zero, one more than after Week 5. Eight of last week's top ten are still in it. Jackson and Purdy are 0.01 apart, and Jackson has 80 fewer dropbacks.

Updated Oct 21, 2026

Earlier weeks on this board — 2026(4 weeks)

Week 5

Brock Purdy is still first at +0.42 expected points added (EPA) per dropback, down from +0.57, after -3.6 on 35 dropbacks in Seattle. Drake Maye had the week's biggest total: +29.6 on 38 dropbacks in a 45-17 win over the Raiders took him from 22nd to 12th. Josh Allen went from sixth to third on +20.1 in 29 dropbacks at the Rams, and Matthew Stafford from 19th to 16th on +18.5 in 56 dropbacks in that 37-34 loss to the Bills. Jameis Winston went from 32nd to 22nd on +14.7 in 60 dropbacks against the Commanders. Cam Ward had the week's worst, -17.5 on 41 dropbacks in a 26-3 loss to the Texans, and went from 27th to 32nd; Justin Herbert's -15.8 against the Broncos left him 33rd. Michael Penix Jr. appears at fifth on 84 dropbacks, and Lamar Jackson and Caleb Williams are second and fourth without a dropback this week. Drew Lock, second a week ago, no longer qualifies. The floor is 59 dropbacks: 34 quarterbacks clear it and 20 are above zero, two fewer than after Week 4. Nine of last week's top ten are still in it, and with Purdy's lead down to 0.04 at 157 dropbacks, the top of the order is open again.

Week 4

Brock Purdy is still first at +0.57 expected points added (EPA) per dropback, down from +0.66, after +9.9 on 33 dropbacks against the Broncos. Bryce Young had the week's biggest total: +21.0 on 45 dropbacks against the Lions took him from 14th to ninth. Drake Maye went from 29th to 22nd on +15.9 in 43 dropbacks at Buffalo, and C.J. Stroud from 23rd to 18th on +15.9 in 33 against the Cowboys. Lamar Jackson went from fourth to third after +12.0 on 23 dropbacks against the Titans, and Jared Goff from 10th to eighth on +12.3 against the Panthers. Jacoby Brissett had the week's worst, -18.0 on 39 dropbacks against the Giants, and went from 16th to 25th; Daniel Jones's -13.4 against the Commanders left him 33rd. Jaxson Dart, second a week ago, no longer qualifies: Jameis Winston took the Giants' dropbacks and the floor is now 48. 34 quarterbacks clear it and 22 are above zero. Nine of last week's top ten are still in it, though Drew Lock and Caleb Williams are second and fourth without a dropback this week. The top means something at 122 dropbacks for Purdy; the middle, where 0.15 separates 11th from 20th, does not yet.

Week 3

Brock Purdy is still first at plus 0.66 expected points added per dropback, up from plus 0.56, after plus 25.2 against the Cardinals on 28 dropbacks: his second straight game above plus 25. Lamar Jackson went from ninth to fourth on plus 12.6 in 22 dropbacks against the Cowboys, Joe Burrow went from 23rd to 15th on plus 15.1 against the Steelers, and Patrick Mahomes enters the top ten at ninth after plus 12.3 against the Dolphins. Josh Allen went from third to fifth, plus 0.53 to plus 0.34, after minus 3.5 against the Chargers. Monday night against the Bears took Jalen Hurts from 14th to 24th: minus 14.1 on 30 dropbacks, plus 0.18 to minus 0.01. The floor is 36 dropbacks, 36 quarterbacks clear it, and 22 are above zero. Nine of last week's top ten are still in it; Bryce Young went from seventh to 14th after minus 5.8 against the Browns. Jaxson Dart is second on 38 dropbacks, two games in; Purdy has 89. The top means something; the middle, where 0.13 separates 11th from 20th, does not yet.

Week 2

Brock Purdy went from 11th to first at plus 0.56 expected points added per dropback, with the largest single game any quarterback on this board has had through two weeks: plus 26.4 expected points on 25 dropbacks, 1.06 apiece. Josh Allen is third at plus 0.53 with the highest total on the board through two weeks, plus 37.7. Jaxson Dart is still second at plus 0.55 per dropback; only five of his 38 dropbacks came Monday night before he left the Rams game, and Jameis Winston took the other 29 and enters at 32nd of 33 with minus 16.5 expected points. Trevor Lawrence led this board after Week 1 at plus 0.79; a Week 2 worth minus 4.1 on 31 dropbacks has him eighth at plus 0.27. The floor is 24 dropbacks, 33 quarterbacks clear it, and 21 are above zero. Eight of last week's top ten are still in the top ten, because sixty dropbacks is a sample in a way twenty carries is not. This board settles faster than the rushing ones, but two games is still two.

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