2026 season · Quarterbacks, 71+ dropbacks through Week 6, 32 qualifiers

Quarterback EPA per Dropback Leaders

Name: Quarterback EPA per Dropback — 2026 NFL Leaders
Creator: Muffed
License: https://muffed.ai/methodology

Through Week 6 · Sunday, Sunday night and Monday night pending

Quarterback EPA per Dropback — 2026 NFL leaders, updated Oct 16, 2026. Brock Purdy (SF) led the league in expected points added per dropback at 0.42, ahead of 31 other qualifying players. Based on verified 2026 play-by-play data (nflverse); Half-PPR scoring. Through Week 6 of the 2026 season, with Sunday, Sunday night and Monday night still to come.

Who led the NFL in EPA per dropback in 2026?Who led the NFL in passer rating in 2026?Who led the NFL in scramble rate in 2026?

Expected points added per dropback asks what each pass attempt was worth; success rate asks how often the attempt simply worked, with no credit for the size of the gain. Read them together. A quarterback high in the first and low in the second lives on explosive plays and disappears for stretches; high in both is the profile of an offense that stays on schedule. The dropback is the honest denominator because it charges a passer for the snaps that never became throws — a sack and a scramble are both quarterback outcomes, and a passer whose per-attempt line looks tidy because he takes the sack instead of testing the coverage is exactly who this separates.

Quarterback EPA per Dropback, 2026 NFL season
#	Player	Δ WK	G	DB	EPA/DB	Success%	Total EPA	Scr%	Read
1	Brock PurdySF	No change	5	157	0.42	57.3%	65.5	7.6%	Read
2	Lamar JacksonBAL	No change	5	111	0.38	57.7%	41.6	9.0%	Read
3	Josh AllenBUF	No change	5	167	0.34	47.3%	57.0	9.6%	Read
4	Michael Penix Jr.ATL	Up 1 place, from 5	5	84	0.31	52.4%	26.1	2.4%	Read
5	Jared GoffDET	Up 1 place, from 6; did not play this week	5	207	0.28	50.2%	58.5	2.4%	Read
6	Trevor LawrenceJAX	Up 1 place, from 7	5	158	0.27	49.4%	42.4	3.2%	Read
7	Bryce YoungCAR	Up 1 place, from 8	4	175	0.23	46.3%	39.4	2.3%	Read
8	Patrick MahomesKC	Up 1 place, from 9	4	143	0.21	49.0%	29.3	5.6%	Read
9	Dak PrescottDAL	Up 1 place, from 10	5	211	0.19	50.2%	40.9	5.2%	Read
10	Jayden DanielsWAS	Up 1 place, from 11	5	100	0.19	45.0%	18.9	16.0%	Read
11	Drake MayeNE	Up 1 place, from 12	5	180	0.18	52.8%	32.7	9.4%	Read
12	Kirk CousinsLV	Up 1 place, from 13	5	183	0.16	48.6%	28.7	1.6%	Read
13	Joe BurrowCIN	Up 1 place, from 14; did not play this week	5	204	0.15	50.0%	30.0	2.9%	Read
14	C.J. StroudHOU	Up 1 place, from 15	5	202	0.13	48.5%	25.6	3.5%	Read
15	Matthew StaffordLAR	Up 1 place, from 16	5	225	0.12	48.4%	27.5	1.8%	Read
16	Jordan LoveGB	Up 1 place, from 17	5	197	0.11	43.1%	21.8	0.5%	Read
17	Deshaun WatsonCLE	Up 1 place, from 18	5	184	0.06	44.0%	10.5	8.7%	Read
18	Jalon DanielsTB	Up 1 place, from 19	5	71	0.05	45.1%	3.7	16.9%
19	Geno SmithNYJ	Up 1 place, from 20	5	173	0.04	45.7%	6.4	5.2%	Read
20	Jacoby BrissettARI	Up 1 place, from 21	5	214	-0.00	47.2%	-0.1	2.3%	Read
21	Jameis WinstonNYG	Up 1 place, from 22	5	149	-0.02	41.6%	-2.6	3.4%
22	Tyler ShoughNO	Up 1 place, from 23	5	224	-0.03	46.0%	-7.5	2.7%	Read
23	Jalen HurtsPHI	Up 1 place, from 24	5	179	-0.05	38.0%	-9.3	6.7%	Read
24	Kyler MurrayMIN	Up 3 places, from 27; did not play this week	5	122	-0.09	36.9%	-10.4	10.7%	Read
25	Aaron RodgersPIT	Up 3 places, from 28	5	201	-0.09	41.8%	-17.8	1.5%	Read
26	Sam DarnoldSEA	Up 3 places, from 29	6	167	-0.10	42.5%	-16.0	3.0%	Read
27	Bo NixDEN	Down 1 place, from 26	6	204	-0.10	37.8%	-20.6	2.5%	Read
28	Malik WillisMIA	Up 2 places, from 30; did not play this week	5	161	-0.12	39.1%	-19.5	10.6%	Read
29	Daniel JonesIND	Up 2 places, from 31	5	189	-0.16	40.7%	-29.7	2.1%	Read
30	Cam WardTEN	Up 2 places, from 32	5	177	-0.18	41.8%	-31.6	6.2%	Read
31	Justin HerbertLAC	Up 2 places, from 33	5	175	-0.21	37.7%	-37.2	9.1%	Read
32	Baker MayfieldTB	Up 2 places, from 34	5	118	-0.26	38.1%	-30.2	7.6%	Read

New to this stat? What expected points added per dropback means.

The read — Week 5

Brock Purdy is still first at +0.42 expected points added (EPA) per dropback, down from +0.57, after -3.6 on 35 dropbacks in Seattle. Drake Maye had the week's biggest total: +29.6 on 38 dropbacks in a 45-17 win over the Raiders took him from 22nd to 12th. Josh Allen went from sixth to third on +20.1 in 29 dropbacks at the Rams, and Matthew Stafford from 19th to 16th on +18.5 in 56 dropbacks in that 37-34 loss to the Bills. Jameis Winston went from 32nd to 22nd on +14.7 in 60 dropbacks against the Commanders. Cam Ward had the week's worst, -17.5 on 41 dropbacks in a 26-3 loss to the Texans, and went from 27th to 32nd; Justin Herbert's -15.8 against the Broncos left him 33rd. Michael Penix Jr. appears at fifth on 84 dropbacks, and Lamar Jackson and Caleb Williams are second and fourth without a dropback this week. Drew Lock, second a week ago, no longer qualifies. The floor is 59 dropbacks: 34 quarterbacks clear it and 20 are above zero, two fewer than after Week 4. Nine of last week's top ten are still in it, and with Purdy's lead down to 0.04 at 157 dropbacks, the top of the order is open again.

Updated Oct 13, 2026

Earlier weeks on this board — 2026(3 weeks)

Week 4

Brock Purdy is still first at +0.57 expected points added (EPA) per dropback, down from +0.66, after +9.9 on 33 dropbacks against the Broncos. Bryce Young had the week's biggest total: +21.0 on 45 dropbacks against the Lions took him from 14th to ninth. Drake Maye went from 29th to 22nd on +15.9 in 43 dropbacks at Buffalo, and C.J. Stroud from 23rd to 18th on +15.9 in 33 against the Cowboys. Lamar Jackson went from fourth to third after +12.0 on 23 dropbacks against the Titans, and Jared Goff from 10th to eighth on +12.3 against the Panthers. Jacoby Brissett had the week's worst, -18.0 on 39 dropbacks against the Giants, and went from 16th to 25th; Daniel Jones's -13.4 against the Commanders left him 33rd. Jaxson Dart, second a week ago, no longer qualifies: Jameis Winston took the Giants' dropbacks and the floor is now 48. 34 quarterbacks clear it and 22 are above zero. Nine of last week's top ten are still in it, though Drew Lock and Caleb Williams are second and fourth without a dropback this week. The top means something at 122 dropbacks for Purdy; the middle, where 0.15 separates 11th from 20th, does not yet.

Week 3

Brock Purdy is still first at plus 0.66 expected points added per dropback, up from plus 0.56, after plus 25.2 against the Cardinals on 28 dropbacks: his second straight game above plus 25. Lamar Jackson went from ninth to fourth on plus 12.6 in 22 dropbacks against the Cowboys, Joe Burrow went from 23rd to 15th on plus 15.1 against the Steelers, and Patrick Mahomes enters the top ten at ninth after plus 12.3 against the Dolphins. Josh Allen went from third to fifth, plus 0.53 to plus 0.34, after minus 3.5 against the Chargers. Monday night against the Bears took Jalen Hurts from 14th to 24th: minus 14.1 on 30 dropbacks, plus 0.18 to minus 0.01. The floor is 36 dropbacks, 36 quarterbacks clear it, and 22 are above zero. Nine of last week's top ten are still in it; Bryce Young went from seventh to 14th after minus 5.8 against the Browns. Jaxson Dart is second on 38 dropbacks, two games in; Purdy has 89. The top means something; the middle, where 0.13 separates 11th from 20th, does not yet.

Week 2

Brock Purdy went from 11th to first at plus 0.56 expected points added per dropback, with the largest single game any quarterback on this board has had through two weeks: plus 26.4 expected points on 25 dropbacks, 1.06 apiece. Josh Allen is third at plus 0.53 with the highest total on the board through two weeks, plus 37.7. Jaxson Dart is still second at plus 0.55 per dropback; only five of his 38 dropbacks came Monday night before he left the Rams game, and Jameis Winston took the other 29 and enters at 32nd of 33 with minus 16.5 expected points. Trevor Lawrence led this board after Week 1 at plus 0.79; a Week 2 worth minus 4.1 on 31 dropbacks has him eighth at plus 0.27. The floor is 24 dropbacks, 33 quarterbacks clear it, and 21 are above zero. Eight of last week's top ten are still in the top ten, because sixty dropbacks is a sample in a way twenty carries is not. This board settles faster than the rushing ones, but two games is still two.

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