Jared Goff

Lions · QBPPR ADP #105

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2025 · Player Season Review
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Show notes

Jared Goff finished 2025 as the number 9 quarterback in total fantasy points and the number 12 quarterback in points per game — a solid floor, but not the ceiling Detroit's offensive reputation suggests on draft day. The identity is clear: steady, efficient, point-producing quarterback play inside one of the league's best passing offenses, just without the rushing juice that lifts the names above him. Goff played all 17 games, threw 34 touchdowns — second-most in football — against only eight interceptions, while Detroit went 9 and 8 and missed the playoffs as the top NFC team on the outside. He's a passer's passer in a fantasy landscape that rewards legs. That's the entire story of his ranking.

Now let's dig into the numbers, because they explain exactly where Goff landed. He completed 68 percent of his 578 attempts for 4,564 yards, and his adjusted net yards per attempt of 7.5 ranked third among qualified passers — genuinely elite real-football efficiency. His completion percentage over expected of plus 1.6 ranked fourteenth — good, not special, which tracks for a quarterback who lives on rhythm and structure rather than off-platform magic. He averaged 17.5 fantasy points per game on a remarkably steady floor: ten of his 17 games landed between 12 and 21 points, with five ceiling weeks above 24. The booms came when Detroit got into shootouts — 34 points against the Bears in Week 2, 26.5 against Pittsburgh, 25.5 in the Rams loss — and the floor held everywhere except Week 17 in Minnesota, when he got muffed for 2.1 points on a two-interception clunker. Add in just 45 rushing yards on the year and zero rushing touchdowns, and his entire fantasy output has to come through the air. That's why a top-three efficiency season still only nets a back-end starting quarterback finish.

The single play that captures Goff's 2025 came in Week 9 against the Vikings — fourth and four from the Minnesota 40, scoreless game, first quarter. Out of shotgun, Goff stepped up and dropped a 20-yard strike down the middle to Sam LaPorta, who took it the rest of the way for a 40-yard touchdown worth more than six expected points. That's Goff in a sentence: clean pocket, confident throw, big result on a key down. He converted, he scored, he moved the offense — and Detroit still lost 27 to 24. The fantasy production was there all year. The wins, and the rushing upside that would have pushed him into the top six, were not.

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