Jared Goff

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• Camp · Aug 23, 2026Aug 23, 2026

  Jared Goff Camp Update — August 23: Another Saturday Off, Line Still Unseen

  Goff sat Detroit's seventeen to thirteen win over Washington, so the rebuilt offensive line protecting him still has no live film with him behind it. The week's line news cut both ways: praise for rookie Blake Miller's run blocking, more churn at center.

• Camp · Aug 16, 2026Aug 17, 2026

  Jared Goff Camp Update — August 16: The Rebuilt Line Is Still Unseen

  Goff sat the preseason opener, as Dan Campbell promised in advance, so the new offensive line protecting him remains a projection. The first real evidence arrives August 22 against Washington.

• 2026 PreviewJul 2, 2026

  Jared Goff 2026 Season Preview — what repeats, what doesn't

  NO CALL — QB15 fairly prices a QB9-to-12 track record; a rebuilt line and a new play-caller are the only real unknowns.

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  Show notes & transcript

  Jared Goff costs pick one-oh-three as the fifteenth quarterback, and 10 years of data say that price is about right. The catch: the five men who made his numbers possible got replaced in one offseason.

  The season he had reads like most Goff seasons, which is the point. 17 games, 4564 passing yards, 34 touchdowns against eight interceptions — 17.5 fantasy points a game on the standard four-point passing scoring we use for quarterbacks, which is his Half-PPR number too. 19 carries all season — the profile is arm and timing, nothing else. Twelfth among quarterbacks per game, ninth in total points. Detroit went nine and eight and missed the playoffs by a tiebreaker's width. The completion rate was 68 percent, and the verified layer scores Detroit as the first team out of the NFC field.

  The career is the flattest line in this range of the draft board. This is year 11, and his four Detroit seasons have landed at 16-seven, 17-oh, 19-oh, and 17-five points a game. No quarterback near this price has a four-year floor that tight. Even the one down year in the decade — 13-nine in his first Detroit season — was followed by four straight years all north of 16 and a half.

  What repeats? For quarterbacks our library mostly warns about the top of the board — top-six seasons built on rushing repeat at 61 percent, pocket-passer top-sixes at 24. Goff isn't priced for top-six, so the trap doesn't apply; nobody is asking pick one-oh-three to buy a league-winner. The pattern that matters here is boring: volume plus accuracy in a fixed system, four years running. The stability IS the product. What the library cannot model is the system changing — and it just did.

  Here's what changed, all of it dated. Detroit fired coordinator John Morton after one season — Dan Campbell had taken over play-calling mid-year, per NFL.com — and hired Drew Petzing in January to call the offense, per ESPN's Jeremy Fowler. Mike Kafka joins as passing-game coordinator, per SI — a second new voice in the quarterback room. The offensive line was rebuilt wholesale: Penei Sewell moved to left tackle, and Decker, Ragnow, Zeitler, and Glasgow are all gone, per Yardbarker's offseason line review; first-round pick Blake Miller took first-team right-tackle reps at veteran minicamp, per the team site. The backfield swapped David Montgomery to Houston for a trade return and signed Isiah Pacheco on a one-year deal, per NFL.com. The receivers he trusts — St. Brown, Williams, Gibbs, LaPorta — all return. The March restructure freed 32 million in cap without changing his pay, per the Detroit News — housekeeping, not a signal.

  The price: QB15 at pick one-oh-three for a QB9-to-QB12 track record. That's a small discount for a large amount of change. QB15 in single-quarterback leagues is a streamer-plus price — it assumes less than his floor has delivered any year this decade. Our verdict: no call. The production history and the price agree almost exactly, and the moving parts cut both ways — we won't pretend the data knows what a new line and a new play-caller do to a rhythm passer. That's the caveat, out loud: his stability was built on protection and timing, and both are now a projection.

  Watch the sack rate in September — Goff's whole profile lives upstream of it — and whether the rookie wins right tackle outright. New-line chemistry is measured in hits absorbed, and rhythm passers inherit scheme more than they carry it. If he's one of your guys, this show exists for your whole roster — every player, every week, all season.

• 2025 ReviewMay 11, 2026

  Jared Goff 2025 Season in Review

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  Jared Goff finished 2025 as the number 9 quarterback in total fantasy points and the number 12 quarterback in points per game — a solid floor, but not the ceiling Detroit's offensive reputation suggests on draft day. The identity is clear: steady, efficient, point-producing quarterback play inside one of the league's best passing offenses, just without the rushing juice that lifts the names above him. Goff played all 17 games, threw 34 touchdowns — second-most in football — against only eight interceptions, while Detroit went 9 and 8 and missed the playoffs as the top NFC team on the outside. He's a passer's passer in a fantasy landscape that rewards legs. That's the entire story of his ranking.

  Now let's dig into the numbers, because they explain exactly where Goff landed. He completed 68 percent of his 578 attempts for 4,564 yards, and his adjusted net yards per attempt of 7.5 ranked third among qualified passers — genuinely elite real-football efficiency. His completion percentage over expected of plus 1.6 ranked fourteenth — good, not special, which tracks for a quarterback who lives on rhythm and structure rather than off-platform magic. He averaged 17.5 fantasy points per game on a remarkably steady floor: 10 of his 17 games landed between 12 and 21 points, with five ceiling weeks above 24. The booms came when Detroit got into shootouts — 34 points against the Bears in Week 2, 26.5 against Pittsburgh, 25.5 in the Rams loss — and the floor held everywhere except Week 17 in Minnesota, when he got muffed for 2.1 points on a two-interception clunker. Add in just 45 rushing yards on the year and zero rushing touchdowns, and his entire fantasy output has to come through the air. That's why a top-three efficiency season still only nets a back-end starting quarterback finish.

  The single play that captures Goff's 2025 came in Week 9 against the Vikings — fourth and four from the Minnesota 40, scoreless game, first quarter. Out of shotgun, Goff stepped up and dropped a 20-yard strike down the middle to Sam LaPorta, who took it the rest of the way for a 40-yard touchdown worth more than six expected points. That's Goff in a sentence: clean pocket, confident throw, big result on a key down. He converted, he scored, he moved the offense — and Detroit still lost 27 to 24. The fantasy production was there all year. The wins, and the rushing upside that would have pushed him into the top six, were not.