Completion Percentage Over Expected Leaders
Completion Percentage Over Expected — 2025 NFL leaders, updated Jul 26, 2026. Drake Maye (NE) led the league in completion percentage over expected at +9.1, ahead of 35 other qualifying players. Based on verified 2025 play-by-play data (nflverse); Half-PPR scoring.
Raw completion percentage rewards a quarterback for throwing short. Completion percentage over expected does not: it models how likely each individual throw was to be completed given depth, pressure and receiver separation, then measures the passer against that. A plus number means he is completing throws other quarterbacks would miss.
| # | Player | Att | Comp% | xComp% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drake MayeQB · NE | 492 | 72.0% | 62.8% | +9.1 |
| 2 | Brock PurdyQB · SF | 284 | 69.4% | 64.3% | +5.1 |
| 3 | Dak PrescottQB · DAL | 600 | 67.3% | 62.9% | +4.4 |
| 4 | Sam DarnoldQB · SEA | 477 | 67.7% | 63.4% | +4.3 |
| 5 | Jordan LoveQB · GB | 439 | 66.3% | 62.5% | +3.8 |
| 6 | Daniel JonesQB · IND | 384 | 68.0% | 64.6% | +3.4 |
| 7 | Jacoby BrissettQB · ARI | 485 | 65.0% | 61.6% | +3.4 |
| 8 | Justin HerbertQB · LAC | 512 | 66.4% | 63.1% | +3.3 |
| 9 | Marcus MariotaQB · WAS | 227 | 61.2% | 57.9% | +3.3 |
| 10 | Jalen HurtsQB · PHI | 454 | 64.8% | 61.7% | +3.1 |
| 11 | Spencer RattlerQB · NO | 257 | 67.7% | 64.7% | +3.0 |
| 12 | Mac JonesQB · SF | 289 | 69.5% | 66.6% | +3.0 |
| 13 | Joe BurrowQB · CIN | 259 | 66.8% | 64.7% | +2.1 |
| 14 | Jared GoffQB · DET | 578 | 68.0% | 66.4% | +1.6 |
| 15 | Josh AllenQB · BUF | 460 | 69.3% | 67.8% | +1.5 |
| 16 | Matthew StaffordQB · LAR | 597 | 65.0% | 63.5% | +1.5 |
| 17 | Geno SmithQB · LV | 448 | 67.4% | 66.6% | +0.8 |
| 18 | C.J. StroudQB · HOU | 423 | 64.5% | 63.8% | +0.8 |
| 19 | Tyler ShoughQB · NO | 327 | 67.6% | 66.9% | +0.6 |
| 20 | Joe FlaccoQB · CIN | 416 | 60.3% | 60.6% | -0.3 |
| 21 | Bryce YoungQB · CAR | 478 | 63.6% | 63.9% | -0.3 |
| 22 | Tua TagovailoaQB · MIA | 384 | 67.7% | 68.0% | -0.3 |
| 23 | Aaron RodgersQB · PIT | 498 | 65.7% | 67.0% | -1.4 |
| 24 | Baker MayfieldQB · TB | 543 | 63.2% | 64.8% | -1.6 |
| 25 | Justin FieldsQB · NYJ | 204 | 62.8% | 64.4% | -1.7 |
| 26 | Kirk CousinsQB · ATL | 269 | 61.7% | 63.6% | -1.9 |
| 27 | Jaxson DartQB · NYG | 339 | 63.7% | 65.8% | -2.0 |
| 28 | Bo NixQB · DEN | 612 | 63.4% | 65.5% | -2.1 |
| 29 | Lamar JacksonQB · BAL | 302 | 63.6% | 65.8% | -2.2 |
| 30 | Trevor LawrenceQB · JAX | 560 | 60.9% | 63.6% | -2.7 |
| 31 | Patrick MahomesQB · KC | 502 | 62.8% | 65.7% | -2.9 |
| 32 | Cameron WardQB · TEN | 540 | 59.8% | 62.9% | -3.0 |
| 33 | Michael PenixQB · ATL | 276 | 60.1% | 63.3% | -3.2 |
| 34 | Shedeur SandersQB · CLE | 212 | 56.6% | 60.2% | -3.6 |
| 35 | J.J. McCarthyQB · MIN | 243 | 57.6% | 62.8% | -5.2 |
| 36 | Caleb WilliamsQB · CHI | 568 | 58.1% | 65.0% | -6.9 |
New to this stat? What completion percentage over expected means.
More leaderboards
- Rushing Yards Over Expected
- Target Share
- Running Back Receiving Efficiency
- Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt
- Quarterback Pressure Rate
- Defensive Blitz Rate
- Quarterbacks vs Man and Zone Coverage
- Pass Rate Over Expected
- Market vs Reality
- Team Expected Points Added
- Quarterback EPA per Dropback
- Air Yards Share
- Stacked Box Rate
- Regression Flags
- Weighted Opportunity Rating
- Snap Share
- Availability
- Tight End Receiving Efficiency
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