Drake Maye (QB, New England Patriots) — 2026 fantasy outlook, updated Sep 10, 2026.

In 2025, Drake Maye finished QB2 at 20.7 Half-PPR points per game (351.5 total) across 17 games.

Based on verified 2025 play-by-play data (nflverse); Half-PPR scoring.

Week 1 — The Take

Maye threw three interceptions in the fourth quarter of a game New England led ten to three at the start of it — the last from the Seattle sixteen with twenty-six seconds left — and finished twenty-three of thirty-three for a hundred seventy-eight yards, one touchdown, three sacks. His seven runs for forty-seven yards were worth plus seven point three expected points; his thirty-six pass plays were worth minus four point six. Four throws of twenty or more air yards, none complete, two intercepted.

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2026 — through Week 1
Scored Half-PPR
Pos. rank
Half-PPR / game
20.7
Last game
2025
QB2
20.7/g

Where he ranks2025

13 leaderboards

What these mean: completion percentage over expected · adjusted net yards per attempt · Clean-Core Rating · deep-ball expected points added per attempt · man and zone coverage splits · intended air yards · quarterback-fault sack rate · QB composite rating · interception-worthy throw rate · pressure rate

Compared with

Side-by-side verified 2025 production, and which side rests on inputs that repeat.

Patriots backfield and handcuffs — the depth chart behind him, refreshed daily.

More episodes

  • Camp · Aug 31, 2026Aug 31, 2026

    Drake Maye Camp Update — August 31: Last Man From the 2024 Draft Class

    Cutting cornerback Marcellas Dial left Drake Maye as the only player remaining from New England's eight-man twenty twenty-four draft class, per NBC Sports Boston. The team kept ten offensive linemen in front of him, adding tackle Walter Rouse by trade and losing Marcus Bryant to injured reserve, while the red-zone question from our last episode went unanswered because the starters never played.

  • Camp · Aug 23, 2026Aug 23, 2026

    Drake Maye Camp Update — August 23: Thirteen Straight at the Eagles

    Drake Maye went fifteen of eighteen against the Eagles' starting defense in Wednesday's joint practice, thirteen of them in a row, spread across nine receivers. The red zone was the honest wart of the two-day series, and Maye said so himself before dressing but not playing in Saturday's win.

  • Camp · Aug 16, 2026Aug 17, 2026

    Drake Maye Camp Update — August 16: 25 Dropbacks, One Sack, One Bad Ending

    Drake Maye dropped back twenty-five times against the Colts front in Tuesday's joint practice and was sacked once, threw three straight red-zone touchdowns, and then ended the day with an interception in the two-minute drill. The June accuracy thesis looks intact, warts included.

  • 2026 PreviewJun 15, 2026

    Drake Maye 2026 Season Preview — the most efficient passer in football, at QB4

    His 2025 season finished QB2 with 20.7 half-PPR points per game across all 17 games, built on passing efficiency metrics that ranked first in the league by both CPOE and ANY/A. Those efficiency marks are the kind that fluctuate year to year, so the durability of that finish depends on whether the volume and role underneath them hold.

    0:003:01

    Your episode · 3:01

    Show notes & transcript

    Drake Maye led the entire NFL in completion percentage over expected and in adjusted net yards per attempt last season. He finished as the number-two fantasy quarterback. He nearly won MVP. And he's the fourth quarterback off the board. The Muffed 2026 preview on the cleanest quarterback value on this board.

    The 2025 season was a sophomore explosion: 17 games, 20 and a half points a game, QB2 in fantasy, on 43 94 passing yards, 31 touchdowns against just eight interceptions, +450 yards and four scores on the ground. The signature was a five-touchdown, 32 point demolition of the Jets in Week 17. But the counting stats undersell it — the efficiency is the story. His completion percentage over expected was the best in the league, +9. His adjusted net yards per attempt was the best in the league. He wasn't a volume QB2; he was the most accurate and efficient passer in football.

    The arc is a vertical line. As a rookie in 2024 he was a 13-and-a-half-point quarterback finding his footing. In year two he jumped to 20-and-a-half and the QB2 finish. That's not a fluke spike on one number — it's a young quarterback whose underlying accuracy says the leap is real, not borrowed.

    Now the part that informs the call honestly. Our quarterback work says the safest fantasy floors belong to rushing quarterbacks, and Maye isn't quite that — about 20 percent of his points came from his legs, useful but short of the elite rushing-floor tier. So we won't pretend he has Lamar's structural floor. What he has instead is the thing that's hardest to fake: accuracy and efficiency that both led the league. That's a skill signal, not luck waiting to regress. The fair caution is simply that a sophomore QB2 finish isn't guaranteed to repeat, and quarterback is a position you can wait on.

    The situation, per the reports, only adds to it: New England traded for A.J. Brown on June first, giving Maye the true number-one receiver the offense lacked — and the first evidence arrived fast, a Maye-to-Brown touchdown in 11-on-elevens at June minicamp, mutual praise on the record, and private throwing sessions planned before camp. It's year two in Josh McDaniels' offense, with the stated project being cutting the negative plays, and it's all happening on the reigning AFC champions — this team played in the Super Bowl five months ago. An ascending quarterback got a better weapon and a deeper team around him.

    The price: pick 55, the fourth quarterback. Verdict: LEAN — underpriced. He finished QB2 on the best passing accuracy in football and added an alpha receiver, and he's priced behind three other quarterbacks. The counter, fairly: it's a one-quarterback-league spot you can wait on, and you're partly betting a second-year breakout repeats. But everything under the hood says it should — this is the rare case where the efficiency, not just the points, says the price is too low.

    September watch: whether the accuracy holds with a new alpha in the route tree — the CPOE is the whole thesis; and the Brown chemistry, the ceiling-raiser. If he's one of your guys, this show exists for your whole roster — every player, every week, all season.

  • 2025 ReviewMay 11, 2026

    Drake Maye 2025 Season in Review

    0:002:50

    Your episode · 2:50

    Show notes & transcript

    Drake Maye finished 2025 as the number 2 quarterback in total PPR scoring and number 2 in PPR per game. That's not a sophomore leap — that's a full-blown ascension. Maye quarterbacked the Patriots to a 14-3 record, an AFC East title, and a Super Bowl appearance as the engine of the number 1 passing offense in football by expected points added. He was efficient. He was steady. He ran enough to give you a fantasy floor on the rare days the passing game stalled, and he played all 17 games. For a player coming off a rookie year where the questions were about supporting cast and protection, Maye answered every one of them on the field.

    Now let's dig into the numbers, because the story is efficiency on real volume. Maye completed 72 percent of his throws on 492 attempts for 4,394 yards, 31 touchdowns, and just 8 picks — and his completion percentage above expectation of plus 9.1 led every qualified passer in the league. His adjusted net yards per attempt of 8.3 also ranked first among qualified starters, and his 31 passing touchdowns were third-most in the NFL. Add 450 rushing yards and 4 scores on 103 carries — roughly 26 rushing yards a game baked into the floor. And the floor was real: Maye averaged 20.7 PPR per game and only dipped below 15 once all year, in that Week 5 Buffalo win where he threw for 273 yards but didn't find the end zone. The ceiling games came in bunches too — 32.4 in the Week 17 Jets game on five passing touchdowns, plus 26-plus performances against Miami, New Orleans, and Cleveland. Steady-floor quarterbacking with genuine spike weeks, not a boom-or-bust roller coaster.

    One play captured the season. Second quarter at Tampa Bay in Week 10, first and 10 from the Patriots' own 28, down 7-nothing. Maye took the snap, dropped, and hit Javon Williams on a short right throw that turned into a 72-yard touchdown — worth plus 5.7 expected points added on a single snap. That's the Maye season in miniature: a clean throw, a designed concept that broke the game open, and an offense that turned average field position into seven points before the defense could blink. The number 2 fantasy quarterback finish wasn't a fluke of garbage time or a single hot month — it was 17 weeks of one of the most efficient passing seasons in football.

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