Deep ball rate
A deep ball is a pass aimed 20 or more air yards past the line of scrimmage, caught or not. Deep ball rate is the share of a quarterback's attempts that went that far. The 2025 league average was 11.6 percent; Marcus Mariota threw deep most often at 17.4 percent and Jared Goff least at 6.7 percent.
Air yards are the distance from the line of scrimmage to where a pass was aimed. A throw of 20 or more is a deep ball, and it stays one whether it is caught, dropped, overthrown or intercepted — the definition is about where the ball was sent, not what came back. Deep ball rate divides those attempts by all of a passer's attempts. Sacks are left out of both halves, because a sack has no air yards and was never an attempt.
Quarterback Deep Ball — 2026 leaders
| # | Player | Deep Att | Deep Cmp% | EPA/Att | Deep Yds | Deep Rate | Listen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joe Burrow | 7 | 71.4% | 2.51 | 132 | 6.8% | |
| 2 | Geno Smith | 11 | 63.6% | 1.99 | 205 | 10.6% | |
| 3 | Drew Lock | 5 | 60.0% | 1.97 | 127 | 10.4% | |
| 4 | Carson Wentz | 3 | 66.7% | 1.71 | 69 | 7.5% | |
| 5 | Jared Goff | 6 | 66.7% | 1.66 | 90 | 5.5% | |
| 6 | Josh Allen | 15 | 40.0% | 1.17 | 235 | 17.2% | |
| 7 | Trevor Lawrence | 9 | 44.4% | 1.15 | 122 | 11.1% | |
| 8 | Jalen Hurts | 11 | 54.5% | 1.12 | 194 | 12.6% | |
| 9 | Deshaun Watson | 5 | 40.0% | 1.10 | 71 | 6.0% | |
| 10 | Sam Darnold | 3 | 66.7% | 1.07 | 46 | 6.4% |
Why it matters
It separates two things a passing line runs together. Completion percentage collapses when a quarterback throws deep — the 2025 league average on 20-plus air yards was 36.2 percent against 64.6 percent on all throws — so a passer who goes deep often looks less accurate for reasons that have nothing to do with accuracy. Reading the rate next to the result is what makes the comparison fair, and expected points added per deep attempt is the honest scoreboard, because a deep incompletion costs an offense almost nothing while a deep completion is frequently the whole drive. Drake Maye led 2025 at 1.01 expected points added per deep attempt on 70 attempts, completing half of them for 1,093 yards.
The counter
How often a quarterback throws deep is mostly his coordinator's decision and his receivers' speed, not a skill he owns. A high rate is a description of an offense, not a compliment to a passer, which is why the rate belongs beside the outcome columns rather than inside them.
More football stats explained
- EPA (expected points added)
- EPA per dropback
- Success rate
- CPOE (completion percentage over expected)
- ANY/A (adjusted net yards per attempt)
- RYOE (rushing yards over expected)
- Target share
- Air yards share
- WOPR (weighted opportunity rating)
- aDOT (average depth of target)
- YAC over expected
- Separation
- Pressure rate
- Blitz rate
- Man and zone coverage splits
- PROE (pass rate over expected)
- Stacked box rate
- Half-PPR (and how it differs from full PPR)
- The usage gap (snaps versus production)
- Pythagorean wins
- Stickiness (what repeats and what does not)
- Snap share
- Pass-snap share
- YPRR (yards per route run)
- Availability (the “stayed” rate)
- Handcuff
- Play-action rate
- Pre-snap motion rate
- Drop rate
- Contested catch rate
- Interception-worthy throws
- Quarterback-fault sacks
- Intended air yards (IAY)
- QB Composite Rating
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