Lamar Jackson

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• Camp · Aug 23, 2026Aug 23, 2026

  Lamar Jackson Camp Update — August 23: Flores Won Both Days

  Lamar Jackson's first extended look at another defense went to the defense — Minnesota's blitzes won both joint practice days, took the closing two-minute drills, and stopped his scrambles, per the Banner and Russell Street Report. He sat Saturday's game.

• Camp · Aug 16, 2026Aug 17, 2026

  Lamar Jackson Camp Update — August 16: Eleven of Twelve and the Legs Look Like Legs

  Lamar Jackson had one of his best practices of camp on Thursday, eleven of twelve in team drills with a forty-yard strike and several chunk scrambles. The healthy version of him is the bet June made.

• 2026 PreviewJun 15, 2026

  Lamar Jackson 2026 Season Preview — a two-time MVP, a quiet-legs year

  Jackson's 2025 season ended at QB20 overall across 13 games, averaging 16.5 half-PPR points per game in what was a below-baseline year shaped more by availability than role erosion. His 82.4% availability rate over 2021–25 is the honest context here — the inputs that make him elite are tied to a body of work that has repeatedly bent under missed time, making durability the real variable behind his season-to-season floor.

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  Show notes & transcript

  Lamar Jackson is the second quarterback off the board — pick 43 — and he's coming off the lowest-scoring season of his prime: 13 games, a QB-16 finish, the quietest his legs have been in years. The market is paying for a bounce-back. Two MVPs and a decade of data say that's the right bet — and there's exactly one number in his profile that should make you pause before you pay it. The Muffed 2026 preview.

  Let's be honest about the year, because it wasn't his standard. Lamar played 13 games and finished QB-16 per game, QB-20 in total — 16 and a half points a night, 21 touchdown passes against seven picks for 25 49 through the air. He was banged up all season: a hamstring that cost him three games, with knee, ankle, and toe issues stacked on top. And here's the tell that the injuries mattered — when he was on the field, his efficiency was still excellent. His adjusted net yards per attempt ranked seventh in the league. The arm was fine. What disappeared were the legs.

  Because this is who Lamar Jackson normally is. The two-time MVP has finished as a top-two fantasy quarterback in essentially every healthy season he's played. In his first MVP year he averaged 27 and a half a game with 36 touchdown passes and 1200 rushing yards. Two years ago he posted his biggest passing season yet — 25 and a half a game, 41 touchdowns against four interceptions. His points-per-game line by season reads like a star's: 27, 20, 21, 25 — and then this year's 16-five, the clear outlier, sitting right on top of the injuries that caused it.

  Now the part that decides the call. We studied which top-six quarterback seasons actually repeat, and the answer is structural: the ones built on rushing — a quarter or more of their fantasy points coming from the ground — repeat as top-six at 61 percent. Pocket passers repeat at 24. Running is the stickiest source of quarterback points there is, and Lamar's career is the best example of it — in his healthy years, something like 35 to 40 percent of his points come from his legs. That's why his floor, when he's right, is the safest at the position. But here's the number that should give you pause. This year his rushing share fell to 22 percent and his rushing yards collapsed to 349 — by far the lowest full season of his career, less than half his norm. The honest question the data can't settle for you: was that the injuries suppressing the running — almost certainly most of it — or is a 29-year-old in year eight losing a step on the trait his whole value is built on? His accuracy dipped too; his completion percentage over expected ranked 20-ninth. One hurt year isn't enough to call it age. But it's the thing you're actually betting on.

  The situation, per the reports, is built for the bounce: he's healthy this offseason, he's added boxing to his training specifically to improve durability, and a fully healthy Lamar is by every read a return-to-form candidate with triple-digit carries back on the table. The one variable is a new voice — Baltimore's new coordinator and play-caller is Declan Doyle, hired in February, and Lamar's already in the building installing the offense, praising it directly: "It's smooth. I love it." A new system always carries a little noise; this one's being built around the most dangerous dual-threat of his generation, with its own architect getting a public thumbs-up from the guy running it.

  The price: pick 43, the second quarterback off the board. Verdict: no call — and that's the read, not a dodge. The market is paying a top-two price for a two-time MVP coming off an injury year, betting the floor returns, and the data agrees: that floor sits on the league's stickiest trait, and the down year has an injury-shaped explanation. The price is right — not a steal, not a trap. The honest caveat is two-fold: in a one-quarterback league you can get 80 percent of a quarterback's points several rounds later, so paying up at all is a choice; and the rushing decline has to be the injury, not the odometer. Pay it for the floor with your eyes open.

  September watch: the rushing volume, first and last — if he's back near triple-digit-carry, five-rushing-touchdown pace, the floor is intact and nothing else matters; then his health, the thing that's quietly become the question; and the tempo of the new Doyle offense, which he's already endorsing. Your whole roster gets this treatment every week — that's the show.

• 2025 ReviewMay 11, 2026

  Lamar Jackson 2025 Season in Review

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  Show notes & transcript

  Lamar Jackson finished 2025 as the number 20 quarterback in total fantasy points and the number 16 in points per game. That gap tells the headline story: this was a 13-game season, not a 17-game season, and that missing month is the difference between a top-five fantasy finish and a guy outside the top 15 overall. When Jackson played, he was productive in the ways that have always defined him — efficient passing, big-play touchdowns, just enough rushing to keep the floor honest. But the Ravens went 8-9 and missed the playoffs, and a chunk of that collapse traces back to weeks where Jackson either wasn't on the field or wasn't himself. The per-game number is the real fantasy signal — and even that came with more turbulence than you'd expect from a former most valuable player.

  Now let's dig into the numbers. Jackson averaged 16.5 fantasy points across his 13 appearances, and the efficiency story is genuinely good — an adjusted net yards per attempt of 7.1, seventh among qualified passers, and 21 touchdowns against just 7 interceptions on 302 attempts. The rushing line stayed alive: 67 carries, 349 yards, 2 scores, a healthy 5.2 a pop. But the weekly profile was wildly boom-or-bust. His completion percentage over expected, per Next Gen Stats, was minus 2.2 percent — 20-ninth among qualified passers, a bottom-five accuracy mark relative to expectation. Jackson smashed 25 fantasy points four times, including a 29.4 against Buffalo and a 27.0 against Detroit. He also muffed four games under 8 points: a 4.7 against Cleveland with two picks, a 6.5 dud at home against the Bengals, and a 4.7 against the Patriots on just 101 passing yards. Behind a pass protection unit in the thirteenth percentile league-wide, he took 36 sacks — which suppressed his ceiling on the weeks the explosives didn't hit.

  When Jackson was on, the season's identity showed up in a single throw: third and one from the Pittsburgh 36, fourth quarter, Ravens down three. Jackson dropped a 64-yard touchdown to Zay Flowers down the left sideline. That's the Lamar Jackson fantasy proposition in one snap — manageable down and distance, defense crowding the box for the run, and he unloads six. The problem? 2025 didn't deliver enough of those snaps. 13 games, a bottom-five accuracy mark relative to expectation, and four single-digit outings — a profile that frustrated managers all year, even when the ceiling was real.