Lamar Jackson

Ravens · QBPPR ADP #51

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2025 · Player Season Review
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Show notes

Lamar Jackson finished 2025 as the number 20 quarterback in total fantasy points and the number 16 in points per game. That gap tells the headline story: this was a thirteen-game season, not a seventeen-game season, and that missing month is the difference between a top-five fantasy finish and a guy outside the top fifteen overall. When Jackson played, he was productive in the ways that have always defined him — efficient passing, big-play touchdowns, just enough rushing to keep the floor honest. But the Ravens went 8-9 and missed the playoffs, and a chunk of that collapse traces back to weeks where Jackson either wasn't on the field or wasn't himself. The per-game number is the real fantasy signal — and even that came with more turbulence than you'd expect from a former most valuable player.

Now let's dig into the numbers. Jackson averaged 16.5 fantasy points across his thirteen appearances, and the efficiency story is genuinely good — an adjusted net yards per attempt of 7.1, seventh among qualified passers, and 21 touchdowns against just 7 interceptions on 302 attempts. The rushing line stayed alive: 67 carries, 349 yards, 2 scores, a healthy 5.2 a pop. But the weekly profile was wildly boom-or-bust. His completion percentage over expected, per Next Gen Stats, was minus 2.2 percent — twenty-ninth among qualified passers, a bottom-five accuracy mark relative to expectation. Jackson smashed 25 fantasy points four times, including a 29.4 against Buffalo and a 27.0 against Detroit. He also muffed four games under 8 points: a 4.7 against Cleveland with two picks, a 6.5 dud at home against the Bengals, and a 4.7 against the Patriots on just 101 passing yards. Behind a pass protection unit in the thirteenth percentile league-wide, he took 36 sacks — which suppressed his ceiling on the weeks the explosives didn't hit.

When Jackson was on, the season's identity showed up in a single throw: third and one from the Pittsburgh 36, fourth quarter, Ravens down three. Jackson dropped a 64-yard touchdown to Zay Flowers down the left sideline. That's the Lamar Jackson fantasy proposition in one snap — manageable down and distance, defense crowding the box for the run, and he unloads six. The problem? 2025 didn't deliver enough of those snaps. Thirteen games, a bottom-five accuracy mark relative to expectation, and four single-digit outings — a profile that frustrated managers all year, even when the ceiling was real.

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