Jalen Hurts (QB, Philadelphia Eagles) — 2026 fantasy outlook, updated Jun 15, 2026.

In 2025, Jalen Hurts finished QB8 at 18.8 Half-PPR points per game (301.1 total) across 16 games.

Muffed's 2026 take on Jalen Hurts: Losing A.J. Brown caps the passing, but the rushing floor is what you're paying for.

Based on verified 2025 play-by-play data (nflverse); Half-PPR scoring.

The Muffed Take
2025: QB8 · 18.8/g

Losing A.J. Brown caps the passing, but the rushing floor is what you're paying for.

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Camp · Aug 31, 2026Aug 31, 2026

Jalen Hurts Camp Update — August 31: No Backup Named Behind Him

0:002:38

Your episode · 2:38

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2025 by the numbers
Scored Half-PPR
Finish
QB8
Half-PPR / game
18.8
Total Half-PPR
301.1
Games
16

2025: 3,224 passing yards, 25 passing TDs, 6 INTs; 421 rushing yards on 105 carries, 8 rushing TDs (16 games)

Where he ranks2025

14 leaderboards

What these mean: QB composite rating · intended air yards · deep-ball expected points added per attempt · completion percentage over expected · man and zone coverage splits · adjusted net yards per attempt · quarterback-fault sack rate · Clean-Core Rating · pressure rate · interception-worthy throw rate · availability rate

Compared with

Side-by-side verified 2025 production, and which side rests on inputs that repeat.

Eagles backfield and handcuffs — the depth chart behind him, refreshed daily.

More episodes

  • Camp · Aug 23, 2026Aug 23, 2026

    Jalen Hurts Camp Update — August 23: Five Picks in Two Days in Foxborough

    Jalen Hurts threw five interceptions across two joint practices with the Patriots, the new offense's first work against a defense that wasn't its own, then sat Saturday's preseason loss. The designed runs stayed in the plan all week. The passing produced its roughest stretch of the summer.

  • Camp · Aug 16, 2026Aug 17, 2026

    Jalen Hurts Camp Update — August 16: The Floor Doesn't Need Preseason Reps

    Jalen Hurts sat the preseason opener while the backups managed a hundred fifty-nine yards, and threw two red-zone touchdowns in Wednesday's practice. The June case rested on his rushing floor, and nothing in August can touch it.

  • 2026 PreviewJun 15, 2026

    Jalen Hurts 2026 Season Preview — the floor is the tush push, fairly priced

    NO CALL — a QB7 finish anchored by a 30 percent rushing share and eight rushing scores, priced QB7. Losing A.J. Brown caps the passing, but the rushing floor is what you're paying for.

    0:002:48

    Your episode · 2:48

    Show notes & transcript

    Jalen Hurts won a Super Bowl, lost his number-one receiver this offseason, and is priced as the seventh quarterback off the board. The passing might dip; the part of his game that drives fantasy value won't. The Muffed 2026 preview.

    The 2025 season was a step down from his peak but still QB7: 16 games, 18-eight a game, on 3200 passing yards, 25 touchdowns, just six interceptions, +421 rushing yards and eight rushing scores. The signature was a 31 point game against Dallas — one passing touchdown, two on the ground — the exact shape of his value. Accurate, too: his completion percentage over expected ranked tenth.

    The arc is a strong run with a recent ceiling: a 25-a-game MVP-level peak in 2022, then 21, 21, and 18-eight. The passing volume has drifted down, but the floor has stayed remarkably firm.

    Here's why the floor holds, and it's the pattern that matters most at the position. Quarterbacks who get a quarter or more of their fantasy points from rushing repeat as top-six at 61 percent, versus 24 for pocket passers — and Hurts, with a 30-percent rushing share and eight rushing touchdowns, lives in that safe tier. The goal-line rushing role is the stickiest, most defense-proof source of points in fantasy. The passing can fluctuate; the legs and the tush push don't.

    The situation, per the reports, is real churn: A.J. Brown was traded to New England on June first, DeVonta Smith becomes the clear number one, and new coordinator Sean Mannion — the former Packers quarterbacks coach — is installing a McVay-tree scheme with the most under-center play of Hurts' career. The depth got rebuilt on the fly: Marquise Brown signed, Dontayvion Wicks traded for, and Philadelphia moved up in round one for receiver Makai Lemon. There's a business subtext, too — reporting frames 2026 as something of an audition year, with the Eagles making no move to adjust his contract. Losing Brown caps the passing ceiling; none of it touches the rushing floor that anchors his value.

    The price: pick 67, QB7. Verdict: NO CALL — the most defense-proof floor outside the very top of the position, priced right around where it should be. The counter that keeps it from a buy: losing Brown and changing schemes adds real downside to the passing, and at quarterback you can get most of this production later. The counter that keeps it from a fade: the rushing floor is genuinely elite, and that's what you're paying QB7 for. Pay it for the floor, not the ceiling.

    September watch: the rushing and goal-line volume — the engine; and the passing efficiency without Brown in the new Mannion scheme. If he's one of your guys, Muffed builds this show for your whole roster — every player, every week, all season.

  • 2025 ReviewMay 11, 2026

    Jalen Hurts 2025 Season in Review

    0:002:54

    Your episode · 2:54

    Show notes & transcript

    Jalen Hurts finished 2025 as the number 8 quarterback in total fantasy points and the number 7 in points per game. That ranking tells you exactly what kind of year this was — quietly productive, dual-threat as always, but never the league-winning ceiling the true difference-makers delivered. Hurts played all 16 games, the Eagles went 11 and 6 and won the NFC East, and he was on the field for every meaningful snap. But the rushing touchdowns carried the fantasy weight, the passing volume stayed modest, and one disastrous afternoon dragged the average down in a way the elite quarterbacks just didn't have on their ledger.

    Now let's dig into the numbers. Hurts threw for 3,224 yards on 454 attempts with 25 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and added 421 rushing yards on 105 carries with 8 rushing scores. That rushing touchdown total ranked sixteenth in the league among all players — and it's the engine of his fantasy value. Without those 8 ground scores he's a mid-range starter; with them, a top-10 quarterback. The efficiency was genuinely good: completion percentage over expectation of plus 3.1, tenth among qualified passers, and adjusted net yards per attempt of 6.7, twelfth. He averaged 18.8 points per game with a steady floor most weeks — 11 of his 16 games landed between 14 and 31 fantasy points. But the boom weeks were rare and the floor cracked twice: 8.9 against the Bills in Week 17, and a brutal 2.4-point disaster at the Chargers in Week 14 where he threw four interceptions. Pull that Chargers game out and the profile looks much steadier. You can't pull it out. Variance is variance.

    The play that captures the season came in Week 7 against the Vikings — third quarter, second and 5 from his own 21, Eagles up 14 to 9. Hurts dropped back and hit DeVonta Smith down the middle for a 79-yard touchdown. 49 air yards, one throw, game flipped. That play alone added more than six expected points, and it's the version of Hurts the data keeps hinting at: when the protection holds and the deep shot is there, he hits it at an above-expectation rate. The problem for fantasy was those moments didn't come often enough to push him into the top tier. The volume and the touchdown distribution made him a reliable starter — not a weekly cheat code.

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