Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts won a Super Bowl, lost his number-one receiver this offseason, and is priced as the seventh quarterback off the board. The passing might dip; the part of his game that drives fantasy value won't. The Muffed 2026 preview.

The 2025 season was a step down from his peak but still QB7: sixteen games, eighteen-eight a game, on thirty-two hundred passing yards, twenty-five touchdowns, just six interceptions, plus four hundred twenty-one rushing yards and eight rushing scores. The signature was a thirty-one point game against Dallas — one passing touchdown, two on the ground — the exact shape of his value. Accurate, too: his completion percentage over expected ranked tenth.

The arc is a strong run with a recent ceiling: a twenty-five-a-game MVP-level peak in 2022, then twenty-one, twenty-one, and eighteen-eight. The passing volume has drifted down, but the floor has stayed remarkably firm.

Here's why the floor holds, and it's the pattern that matters most at the position. Quarterbacks who get a quarter or more of their fantasy points from rushing repeat as top-six at sixty-one percent, versus twenty-four for pocket passers — and Hurts, with a thirty-percent rushing share and eight rushing touchdowns, lives in that safe tier. The goal-line rushing role is the stickiest, most defense-proof source of points in fantasy. The passing can fluctuate; the legs and the tush push don't.

The situation, per the reports, is real churn: A.J. Brown was traded to New England on June first, DeVonta Smith becomes the clear number one, and new coordinator Sean Mannion — the former Packers quarterbacks coach — is installing a McVay-tree scheme with the most under-center play of Hurts' career. The depth got rebuilt on the fly: Marquise Brown signed, Dontayvion Wicks traded for, and Philadelphia moved up in round one for receiver Makai Lemon. There's a business subtext, too — reporting frames 2026 as something of an audition year, with the Eagles making no move to adjust his contract. Losing Brown caps the passing ceiling; none of it touches the rushing floor that anchors his value.

The price: pick sixty-seven, QB7. Verdict: NO CALL — the most defense-proof floor outside the very top of the position, priced right around where it should be. The counter that keeps it from a buy: losing Brown and changing schemes adds real downside to the passing, and at quarterback you can get most of this production later. The counter that keeps it from a fade: the rushing floor is genuinely elite, and that's what you're paying QB7 for. Pay it for the floor, not the ceiling.

September watch: the rushing and goal-line volume — the engine; and the passing efficiency without Brown in the new Mannion scheme. If he's one of your guys, Muffed builds this show for your whole roster — every player, every week, all season.