Dak Prescott

Cowboys · QBPPR ADP #79

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2025 · Player Season Review
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Show notes

Dak Prescott finished 2025 as the number 6 quarterback in total fantasy scoring and the number 9 quarterback in per-game scoring — and honestly, that undersells the football. This was full-volume, full-season Prescott: seventeen games, six hundred dropbacks, and a Cowboys offense leaning on his right arm because the defense couldn't get off the field. Dallas finished seven and nine and one and missed the playoffs, but the passing game wasn't the problem. Prescott was throwing into shootouts almost every week, and the box score shows it — four thousand five hundred and fifty-two yards, thirty touchdowns, only ten picks. The fantasy rank trails the real-football rank for one reason: Prescott does nothing as a rusher, and at quarterback, legs are what separate the top five from everyone else.

Now let's get into the numbers, because Prescott's efficiency was genuinely elite. His completion percentage over expected, per Next Gen Stats, was plus 4.4 percent — third among qualified passers. His adjusted net yards per attempt came in at 7.1, eighth in the league, and he ranked fourth in the NFL with thirty passing touchdowns. That's a top-five real-football season. The volume backed it up — six hundred attempts is workhorse territory, and George Pickens repaid him with ninety-three catches for fourteen hundred and twenty-nine yards. The fantasy shape is high floor with trapdoors: twenty-plus points in ten of seventeen games, but five games under thirteen, including a seven-point dud in the opener at Philadelphia and a brutal zero-point-seven finale at the Giants. Boom weeks when the touchdowns came in bunches, no-shows when they didn't. And the rushing line tells the rest of the story — fifty-three carries, one hundred and seventy-seven yards, two scores. That's it. No designed-run upside, no scramble cushion when the touchdowns dry up.

The play that captures the season came in Week 7 against Washington — third and eleven from the Cowboys' own fourteen, up eleven in the second quarter. Prescott took the shotgun snap, climbed the pocket, and dropped a deep middle ball forty yards in the air to KaVontae Turpin, who took it the rest of the way for an eighty-six-yard touchdown. One throw, almost eight expected points added, third-and-long flipped into six. That's the Prescott bet in a single snap: accurate enough to bail out long down-and-distance, explosive enough to turn any drive into a touchdown drive. When Dallas gave him volume in a shootout, he delivered. When the game script went sideways and they couldn't run or stop anyone, he still had to throw it sixty times — and sometimes the picks came with it.

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