Dak Prescott (QB, Dallas Cowboys) — 2026 fantasy outlook, updated Jun 15, 2026.
In 2025, Dak Prescott finished QB6 at 18.5 Half-PPR points per game (313.8 total) across 17 games.
Based on verified 2025 play-by-play data (nflverse); Half-PPR scoring.
The initial fifty-three keeps Dak Prescott, Sam Howell and Joe Milton with no backup announced, per Nick Eatman at the team's website, after Howell's finale — twelve of eighteen for a hundred fifty-five yards, two touchdowns and an interception — flipped the race. Dallas also traded for tackle Broderick Jones the day before cutting down.
When Dak Prescott's week moves the numbers, you'll know — every episode, in one weekly email.
Dak Prescott Camp Update — August 31: No Backup Named Behind Him
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2025: 4,552 passing yards, 30 passing TDs, 10 INTs; 177 rushing yards on 53 carries, 2 rushing TDs (17 games)
Where he ranks — 2025
- #3Completion Percentage Over Expected
- #3Quarterbacks vs Man and Zone Coverage
- #4Quarterback Intended Air Yards
- #5Quarterback Deep Ball
- #6Quarterback EPA per Dropback
- #8Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt
- #9Quarterback-Fault Sack Rate
- #11Clean-Core Rating
- #17Interception-Worthy Throw Rate
- #20Quarterback Pressure Rate
- #33QB Composite Rating
- #107Usage vs Production
- #124Availability
- #150Goal-Line Usage
Compared with
Side-by-side verified 2025 production, and which side rests on inputs that repeat.
Cowboys backfield and handcuffs — the depth chart behind him, refreshed daily.
More episodes
- Camp · Aug 23, 2026
Dak Prescott Camp Update — August 23: Three Red-Zone Scores on Six Snaps
Dak Prescott threw three red-zone touchdowns on six snaps against the Saints' defense in Tuesday's joint practice, with one interception on the day, then sat the preseason win in Arizona as planned while Joe Milton and Sam Howell argued over the job behind him.
- Camp · Aug 16, 2026
Dak Prescott Camp Update — August 16: Four Red-Zone Touchdowns in One Practice
Prescott threw four red-zone touchdowns in the joint practice against the Rams, then watched the preseason opener from the sideline while Sam Howell and Joe Milton handled Seattle. The accuracy case from June is doing fine without game reps.
- 2026 Preview
Dak Prescott 2026 Season Preview — a top-3 accuracy QB at QB8
Prescott finished as the QB6 across 17 games, averaging 18.5 half-PPR points per game on the back of a full season of availability in a pass-heavy Dallas offense. His 82.4% availability rate over 2021–25 reflects the persistent health risk that shadows an otherwise consistent role, and a quarterback's usage and scheme fit are the inputs most likely to carry forward.
Show notes & transcript
Dak Prescott threw for 4500 yards and 30 touchdowns, graded as a top-three accurate passer, and finished as the number-six quarterback in total points. He's the eighth quarterback off the board. The Muffed 2026 preview on a quiet value at the position.
The 2025 season was a strong bounce from an injury-shortened 2024: 17 games, 18-five a game, QB9 per game but QB6 in total, on 45 52 passing yards, 30 touchdowns, 10 interceptions. The signature was a three-touchdown, 319-yard game against Green Bay in Week 4. And the efficiency backs it: his completion percentage over expected ranked third in the league, his adjusted net yards per attempt eighth. This wasn't empty volume — he was genuinely accurate and efficient.
The arc shows the ceiling is real: a 27-a-game monster in 2020, several strong years since, an injury dip in 2024, and now back to a QB6 total finish. When healthy, he's a high-end fantasy quarterback.
What the data says, honestly on the risk side: he's a pure pocket passer — under 10 percent of his points come from rushing — so he sits in the profile our research says repeats top-six only about a quarter of the time, with no rushing floor to catch a down year. And he's entering his age-33 season. Those are the reasons to be careful. But the accuracy, the volume, and the weapons are the reasons the price is too low.
The situation, per the reports, is a tailwind with one honest asterisk: Dallas locked in the two-alpha receiving corps — Pickens signed his 27-million-dollar tag in April, and Stephen Jones says there'll be no extension talks, so he's playing 2026 next to CeeDee Lamb with everything to prove. The asterisk is the defense: it allowed the most points in the league last year — the worst in franchise history — and the front office gutted and rebuilt it, a new coordinator in Christian Parker, nine new defensive players including Quinnen Williams and Kenny Clark, and rookie safety Caleb Downs. The shootout scripts that inflated the pass volume were real; if the rebuild works, some of that volume goes away. That's the fair charge against the profile — and it's the only one.
The price: pick 72, QB8. Verdict: LEAN — underpriced. He finished QB6 in total on top-three accuracy with two alpha receivers, and he's priced QB8. The counter: he's a pocket passer turning 33 with no rushing floor, and a fixed defense would trim the attempts that fed the finish — but the efficiency and the weapons say the production was earned, and the price doesn't reflect it.
September watch: the pass volume against the rebuilt defense — that's the new swing factor; and the Lamb-and-Pickens target split, the engine of the offense. He's one of your guys? This show covers your whole roster — every player, every week, all season.
- 2025 Review
Dak Prescott 2025 Season in Review
Show notes & transcript
Dak Prescott finished 2025 as the number 6 quarterback in total fantasy scoring and the number 9 quarterback in per-game scoring — and honestly, that undersells the football. This was full-volume, full-season Prescott: 17 games, 600 dropbacks, and a Cowboys offense leaning on his right arm because the defense couldn't get off the field. Dallas finished seven and nine and one and missed the playoffs, but the passing game wasn't the problem. Prescott was throwing into shootouts almost every week, and the box score shows it — 4552 yards, 30 touchdowns, only 10 picks. The fantasy rank trails the real-football rank for one reason: Prescott does nothing as a rusher, and at quarterback, legs are what separate the top five from everyone else.
Now let's get into the numbers, because Prescott's efficiency was genuinely elite. His completion percentage over expected, per Next Gen Stats, was plus 4.4 percent — third among qualified passers. His adjusted net yards per attempt came in at 7.1, eighth in the league, and he ranked fourth in the NFL with 30 passing touchdowns. That's a top-five real-football season. The volume backed it up — 600 attempts is workhorse territory, and George Pickens repaid him with 93 catches for 1429 yards. The fantasy shape is high floor with trapdoors: 20-plus points in 10 of 17 games, but five games under 13, including a seven-point dud in the opener at Philadelphia and a brutal 0.7 finale at the Giants. Boom weeks when the touchdowns came in bunches, no-shows when they didn't. And the rushing line tells the rest of the story — 53 carries, 177 yards, two scores. That's it. No designed-run upside, no scramble cushion when the touchdowns dry up.
The play that captures the season came in Week 7 against Washington — third and 11 from the Cowboys' own 14, up 11 in the second quarter. Prescott took the shotgun snap, climbed the pocket, and dropped a deep middle ball 40 yards in the air to KaVontae Turpin, who took it the rest of the way for an 86-yard touchdown. One throw, almost eight expected points added, third-and-long flipped into six. That's the Prescott bet in a single snap: accurate enough to bail out long down-and-distance, explosive enough to turn any drive into a touchdown drive. When Dallas gave him volume in a shootout, he delivered. When the game script went sideways and they couldn't run or stop anyone, he still had to throw it 60 times — and sometimes the picks came with it.
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