Jacoby Brissett

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• 2026 PreviewJul 3, 2026

  Jacoby Brissett 2026 Season Preview — what repeats, what doesn't

  Brissett finished as QB16 in 2025, averaging 16.2 half-PPR points across 14 games. That production level is real, but his career availability of 55.3% since 2021 is the central fact about him — the per-game output has shown up when he plays, but staying on the field has been the persistent challenge. A season built heavily on per-game rate rather than sustained volume sits on a shaky foundation given that history.

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  Show notes & transcript

  Jacoby Brissett was the seventeenth-best quarterback in football per game last season. He is priced as the 20-ninth, at pick one-74 — the widest gap in this batch between what a player produced and what his slot implies. Gaps like that always have a reason. This one's reason is sitting in a contract file in Tempe, unsigned.

  The season, on quarterback scoring — the standard four-point-passing convention, identical to Half-PPR for quarterbacks: 14 games after Kyler Murray's foot ended his year in week five. 315 of 485 — 65 percent — for 3366 yards, 23 touchdowns, eight interceptions, a hundred 68 rushing yards, and 43 sacks behind a three-and-14 roster. 16.2 points a game, seventeenth among quarterbacks per game, sixteenth in total. 10 percent of the points came on the ground — a floor garnish, not a profile. And the sack line deserves its own sentence: 43 of them in 14 games, and the 16-two survived anyway.

  The career makes that season remarkable: this is a 10-year journeyman whose window reads 12-nine, 14-four, 12-oh across his previous best stops — and then, in Arizona, the best per-game season of his career. Backup quarterbacks aren't supposed to peak in year 10. The library notes it; the library also can't explain it.

  The pattern beat, briefly: no quarterback pattern reaches him. The rushing-floor rule needs 25 percent rushing production; he's at 10. There's no touchdown inflation — 23 eight is clean — and no aging cohort exists for quarterbacks in our library. What the library prices is jobs, and that's precisely what he doesn't securely have.

  The situation is a standoff wearing a depth chart. Arizona released Murray in March — informed him on the third, official on the eleventh — and he signed in Minnesota, per ESPN; the job, by every June account, is Brissett's to start. But: he wants his deal reworked to starter money, the sides were reported significantly far apart in May, per PFR, and he skipped the voluntary program — Marvin Harrison Jr.'s summary was support laced with frustration: can't build chemistry with a holdout, per PFT. He reported to June minicamp, avoiding a six-figure fine, per CBS, with ESPN's late-June read still "not close." The friction point is almost poetic: backup Gardner Minshew signed in March with more guaranteed money than Brissett's 20-26 deal carries, per ESPN. Above it all, a new staff — Mike LaFleur calling plays, Nathaniel Hackett coordinating — and a third-round rookie, Carson Beck, drafted with the first pick of round three. The weapons are the good news: Harrison, Michael Wilson, Trey McBride, and the third overall pick spent on Jeremiyah Love.

  The price: QB29 at pick one-74 for the per-game QB17 — the slot implies 11.8 a game; he produced 16-two. Our verdict: watchlist. We can't underwrite a job the team itself is negotiating against, and we won't fade the best per-game quarterback season available at this price either. The market is pricing the room — the dispute, the rookie, the bridge label. The rows priced the player. Both are real; neither is complete. The caveat, spoken: bridge quarterbacks on rebuilt rosters lose jobs to draft capital in November regardless of stats — and 16-two a game with a full offseason of these weapons is what QB1-streaming dreams are made of at pick one-74.

  Watch the contract file before camp — a reworked deal is the all-clear; a lingering standoff is the countdown — and Beck's preseason usage, because the order of the second-half reps is Arizona telling you the plan. The production said starter. The paycheck still says bridge. If he's one of your guys, this show exists for your whole roster — every player, every week, all season.