2025 season · Top 30 pass catchers

Weighted Opportunity Rating Leaders

Name: Weighted Opportunity Rating — 2025 NFL Leaders
Creator: Muffed
License: https://muffed.ai/methodology

Weighted Opportunity Rating — 2025 NFL leaders, updated Jul 26, 2026. Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) led the league in weighted opportunity rating at 0.89, ahead of 29 other qualifying players. Based on verified 2025 play-by-play data (nflverse); Half-PPR scoring.

Weighted opportunity rating folds target share and air yards share into a single number, weighting each so that volume and downfield role both count. It is the cleanest one-number answer to how central a receiver is to his passing game, and it holds up year to year far better than receiving yards, because opportunity is a decision the offense keeps making.

Weighted Opportunity Rating, 2025 NFL season
#	Player	WOPR	Tgt Share	AY Share	Tgt
1	Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA	0.89	35.8%	50.1%	163
2	Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET	0.73	31.3%	37.8%	172
3	Justin JeffersonWR · MIN	0.72	30.1%	38.6%	141
4	Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN	0.70	30.4%	34.4%	185
5	Chris OlaveWR · NO	0.69	27.6%	39.4%	156
6	Zay FlowersWR · BAL	0.69	29.0%	35.7%	118
7	Tetairoa McMillanWR · CAR	0.68	25.4%	43.3%	122
8	Puka NacuaWR · LAR	0.64	28.6%	29.6%	166
9	A.J. BrownWR · PHI	0.63	26.1%	33.8%	121
10	Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · NYG	0.61	27.8%	27.5%	140
11	Emeka EgbukaWR · TB	0.61	23.5%	36.2%	127
12	Jaylen WaddleWR · MIA	0.60	21.6%	39.6%	100
13	DeVonta SmithWR · PHI	0.59	24.4%	32.2%	113
14	Trey McBrideTE · ARI	0.59	27.4%	25.3%	169
15	Courtland SuttonWR · DEN	0.56	21.2%	35.2%	124
16	George PickensWR · DAL	0.56	22.6%	31.4%	137
17	Nico CollinsWR · HOU	0.56	21.7%	33.3%	120
18	Jerry JeudyWR · CLE	0.56	20.3%	35.9%	106
19	Michael WilsonWR · ARI	0.54	20.4%	33.8%	126
20	Drake LondonWR · ATL	0.53	21.6%	29.2%	112
21	Jameson WilliamsWR · DET	0.52	18.5%	35.1%	102
22	DK MetcalfWR · PIT	0.52	19.0%	33.0%	99
23	Keenan AllenWR · LAC	0.50	22.4%	23.3%	122
24	Alec PierceWR · IND	0.50	15.8%	37.3%	84
25	CeeDee LambWR · DAL	0.49	19.3%	28.5%	117
26	Kyle PittsTE · ATL	0.49	22.7%	20.8%	118
27	Davante AdamsWR · LAR	0.48	19.6%	27.3%	114
28	Tre TuckerWR · LV	0.48	18.6%	29.2%	92
29	Troy FranklinWR · DEN	0.48	17.8%	30.2%	104
30	Romeo DoubsWR · GB	0.46	18.5%	26.5%	85

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