2026 season · Top 30 pass catchers

Weighted Opportunity Rating Leaders

Through Week 5 · Sunday, Sunday night and Monday night pending

Weighted Opportunity Rating — 2026 NFL leaders, updated Oct 10, 2026. Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) led the league in weighted opportunity rating at 0.90, ahead of 29 other qualifying players. Based on verified 2026 play-by-play data (nflverse); Half-PPR scoring. Through Week 5 of the 2026 season, with Sunday, Sunday night and Monday night still to come.

Weighted opportunity rating folds target share and air yards share into a single number, weighting each so that volume and downfield role both count. It is the cleanest one-number answer to how central a receiver is to his passing game, and it holds up year to year far better than receiving yards, because opportunity is a decision the offense keeps making.

Weighted Opportunity Rating, 2026 NFL season
#PlayerΔ WKGWOPRTgt ShareAY ShareTgtRead
1Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEANo change40.9036.5%49.9%42Read
2Carnell TateWR · TENNo change40.8129.6%52.4%32Read
3Michael WilsonWR · ARIUp 1 place, from 440.7629.7%44.7%44Read
4Chris OlaveWR · NOUp 1 place, from 540.7428.1%45.1%48Read
5Garrett WilsonWR · NYJUp 1 place, from 640.7128.2%40.9%31Read
6Tee HigginsWR · CINUp 1 place, from 740.7025.2%46.2%39Read
7Parker WashingtonWR · JAXUp 1 place, from 840.7026.3%43.7%26Read
8Drake LondonWR · ATLUp 1 place, from 940.6926.9%40.5%25Read
9CeeDee LambWR · DALDown 6 places, from 350.6827.4%38.0%51Read
10Trey McBrideTE · ARINo change40.6631.1%27.0%46Read
11Davante AdamsWR · LARNo change40.6524.4%40.6%38Read
12Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DETNo change40.6528.9%30.5%46Read
13Denzel BostonWR · CLENo change40.6519.1%51.1%22Read
14Matthew GoldenWR · GBNo change40.6424.7%39.1%37Read
15DeVonta SmithWR · PHINo change40.6425.5%36.7%27Read
16Isaiah LikelyTE · BALNo change40.6431.5%23.6%35Read
17Tetairoa McMillanWR · CARNo change; did not play this week40.6326.5%33.1%39Read
18Malik WashingtonWR · MIANo change40.6327.5%30.8%28Read
19DK MetcalfWR · PITNo change40.6122.9%37.7%33Read
20Josh DownsWR · INDNo change40.6022.8%37.1%28Read
21Jordan AddisonWR · MINNo change40.5922.0%37.4%22Read
22Mike EvansWR · SFNo change40.5821.8%36.4%24Read
23Jaylen WaddleWR · MIANo change40.5720.8%36.9%26Read
24George PickensWR · DALUp 4 places, from 2850.5722.0%33.7%41Read
25T.J. HockensonTE · MINDown 1 place, from 2440.5626.0%24.2%26Read
26Emeka EgbukaWR · TBBack on this board50.5622.6%31.1%33Read
27Luther Burden IIIWR · CHIDown 2 places, from 2540.5624.0%28.2%29Read
28Malik NabersWR · NYGDown 2 places, from 2640.5523.4%28.7%26Read
29KC ConcepcionWR · CLEDown 2 places, from 2740.5324.3%23.1%28Read
30Stefon DiggsWR · NEDown 1 place, from 2940.5124.0%21.8%31Read

New to this stat? What weighted opportunity rating means.

The read — Week 4

Jaxon Smith-Njigba is still first through four weeks at a 0.90 weighted opportunity rating (WOPR), a blend of a receiver's share of his team's targets and of its air yards: 36.5% of the Seahawks' targets and 49.9% of their air yards. Carnell Tate went from 10th to second at 0.81 after 12 targets and 70% of the Titans' air yards against the Ravens. CeeDee Lamb went from 12th to third at 0.80 on 21 targets against the Texans, and Tee Higgins from 11th to seventh on 16 against the Jaguars. Isaiah Likely went from 28th to 16th on 12 targets against the Cardinals. DeVonta Smith went from second to 15th without a target against the Rams, and Parker Washington from third to eighth on three targets against the Bengals. The floor is 12 targets now: 30 receivers clear it, 25 were ranked both weeks, Mike Evans, T.J. Hockenson and Rome Odunze are new, Tetairoa McMillan and Stefon Diggs are back, and Justin Jefferson is one of five who no longer qualify. Six of last week's top ten are still in it: the leader looks settled, and one game still moves a receiver eight places or more.

Updated Oct 7, 2026

Earlier weeks on this board — 2026(2 weeks)

Week 3

Jaxon Smith-Njigba is still first through three weeks at a 0.93 weighted opportunity rating, on 38 percent of the Seahawks' targets and 52 percent of their air yards after 14 targets against the Commanders. Michael Wilson went from 24th to eighth at 0.71 on 17 targets against the 49ers, and Josh Downs from 26th to ninth at 0.70 on 62 percent of the Colts' air yards against the Texans. Drake London enters at 14th on 60 percent of the Falcons' air yards against the Packers; Justin Jefferson went from third to 20th on two targets against the Buccaneers. DeVonta Smith went from fourth to second at 0.83 after eight targets against the Bears on Monday night, and Davante Adams from 10th to sixth on 13 targets against the Broncos. The table is 30 deep at a floor of nine targets: 23 were ranked both weeks, 7 are new and 7 are gone, Adonai Mitchell, sixth a week ago, among them. Six of last week's top ten are still in it: the leader looks settled, the order under him does not.

Week 2

Jaxon Smith-Njigba is still first through two weeks at a 1.02 weighted opportunity rating, on 44 percent of the Seahawks' targets and 52 percent of their air yards. Parker Washington went from tenth to second at 0.93 and DeVonta Smith from 20th to fourth at 0.87, both on an air-yards share above 50 percent. Amon-Ra St. Brown is fifth at 0.81 with 27 targets, the most on the board through two weeks. Adonai Mitchell enters at sixth on 58 percent of the Jets' air yards, the highest air-yards share on the board through two weeks, and Davante Adams enters at tenth after Monday night against the Giants. Trey McBride, the only tight end in the top ten, is seventh at 0.78. The board is thirty deep at a floor of six targets and only 19 were ranked both weeks: 11 entered, 11 are gone, among them Puka Nacua, Emeka Egbuka and Jameson Williams, third, fifth and sixth a week ago. Four of last week's top ten are still in it — the shares are real, the order is not yet.

Choosing between two of these players?

Both men's 2025 production side by side, and which of them rests on inputs that historically repeat.

All comparisons →

More leaderboards

Follow Weighted Opportunity Rating. When this board moves, you'll know — what changed, with our read on it.

One email a week, in season. Free, unsubscribe anytime.

Use Muffed in your AI

Ask Claude or ChatGPT football questions and get these verified figures back, with sources. Add https://muffed.ai/api/mcp — free, no account, no API key.

Add to Claude · Set up in ChatGPT · How it works →