2026 season · Receivers and tight ends, 83 qualifiers

Drop Rate

Through Week 3 (complete)

Drop Rate — 2026 NFL rankings, updated Sep 29, 2026. DK Metcalf (PIT) dropped a higher share of his catchable targets than any other pass catcher, at 21.4% across 83 qualifying players. Based on verified play-level charting from FTN Data via nflverse, regular season only. Through Week 3 of the 2026 season.

A drop here is a pass a charter judged catchable that the receiver did not catch, and the denominator is catchable targets rather than every target thrown his way. That is the difference between this number and the drop rate quoted almost everywhere else: a ball thrown at a receiver's ankles never enters it, so what is left is much closer to a measure of hands than of quarterback accuracy. Topping this list is not an achievement.

Drop Rate, 2026 NFL season
#PlayerΔ WKGDrop%DropsCatchableListen
1DK MetcalfWR · PITNo change321.4%314
2Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAXUp 1 place, from 3320.0%210
3Terrance FergusonTE · LARDown 1 place, from 2320.0%210
4Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · SFUp 1 place, from 5318.2%211
5Cade OttonTE · TBUp 8 places, from 13316.7%212
6Matthew GoldenWR · GBUp 18 places, from 24316.7%318
7George PickensWR · DALDown 1 place, from 6315.8%319
8Adonai MitchellWR · NYJUp 3 places, from 11315.4%213
9Tucker KraftTE · GBUp 72 places, from 81315.4%213
10Jameson WilliamsWR · DETDown 6 places, from 4314.3%214
11Terry McLaurinWR · WASDown 1 place, from 10314.3%214
12Tyler WarrenTE · INDDown 5 places, from 7314.3%321
13Jaylen WaddleWR · DENUp 9 places, from 22313.3%215
14Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLEUp 1 place, from 15312.5%216
15Brenton StrangeTE · JAXBack on this board311.1%19
16Dontayvion WicksWR · PHIUp 2 places, from 18311.1%19
17Khalil ShakirWR · BUFDown 1 place, from 16311.1%19
18Antonio WilliamsWR · WASUp 15 places, from 33310.0%110
19Christian WatsonWR · GBDown 7 places, from 1239.1%222
20Zay FlowersWR · BALBack on this board39.1%111
21Darren WallerTE · CARFirst appearance on this board38.3%112
22Ryan FlournoyWR · DALDown 2 places, from 2038.3%112
23Denzel BostonWR · CLEDown 6 places, from 1737.7%113
24Kendrick BourneWR · ARIUp 36 places, from 6037.7%113
25Kenyon SadiqTE · NYJBack on this board37.7%113
26Mike EvansWR · SFDown 7 places, from 1937.7%113
27Roman WilsonWR · PITUp 48 places, from 7537.7%113
28Mark AndrewsTE · BALDown 5 places, from 2337.1%114
29Dalton KincaidTE · BUFUp 8 places, from 3736.7%115
30Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEADown 2 places, from 2836.7%230
31Stefon DiggsWR · WASDown 10 places, from 2136.7%115
32Travis KelceTE · KCDown 5 places, from 2736.7%115
33Isaiah LikelyTE · NYGUp 16 places, from 4935.9%117
34Tee HigginsWR · CINDown 9 places, from 2535.9%117
35Devaughn VeleWR · NODown 9 places, from 2635.6%118
36Davante AdamsWR · LARUp 3 places, from 3935.3%119
37Chris OlaveWR · NODown 8 places, from 2933.4%129
38Trey McBrideTE · ARIDown 8 places, from 3033.4%129
39AJ BarnerTE · SEAFirst appearance on this board30.0%010
40Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DETDown 8 places, from 3230.0%024
41Brock BowersTE · LVFirst appearance on this board30.0%010
42Carnell TateWR · TENDown 8 places, from 3430.0%013
43CeeDee LambWR · DALDown 8 places, from 3530.0%023
44Chris Godwin Jr.WR · TBFirst appearance on this board30.0%010
45Cooper KuppWR · SEAFirst appearance on this board30.0%09
46Dalton SchultzTE · HOUDown 8 places, from 3830.0%019
47DeMario DouglasWR · NEFirst appearance on this board30.0%09
48DeVonta SmithWR · PHIDown 6 places, from 4230.0%013
49DJ MooreWR · BUFBack on this board30.0%011
50Drake LondonWR · ATLDown 7 places, from 4330.0%015
51Emeka EgbukaWR · TBDown 7 places, from 4430.0%013
52Garrett WilsonWR · NYJDown 7 places, from 4530.0%023
53George KittleTE · SFDown 7 places, from 4630.0%013
54Greg DulcichTE · MIAFirst appearance on this board30.0%09
55Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CINDown 4 places, from 5130.0%020
56Jake FergusonTE · DALDown 4 places, from 5230.0%09
57Jakobi MeyersWR · JAXFirst appearance on this board30.0%010
58Jalen CokerWR · CARDown 5 places, from 5330.0%018
59Josh DownsWR · INDDown 5 places, from 5430.0%014
60Justin JeffersonWR · MINDown 5 places, from 5530.0%014
61Juwan JohnsonTE · NODown 5 places, from 5630.0%016
62Kalif RaymondWR · CHIDown 5 places, from 5730.0%014
63KC ConcepcionWR · CLEDown 5 places, from 5830.0%012
64Keenan AllenWR · INDDown 5 places, from 5930.0%014
65Ladd McConkeyWR · LACDown 3 places, from 6230.0%013
66Mack HollinsWR · NEDown 2 places, from 6430.0%011
67Malik NabersWR · NYGDown 2 places, from 6530.0%012
68Malik WashingtonWR · MIADown 2 places, from 6630.0%014
69Michael MayerTE · LVDown 2 places, from 6730.0%012
70Michael WilsonWR · ARIDown 2 places, from 6830.0%020
71Noah FantTE · NOBack on this board30.0%09
72Parker WashingtonWR · JAXDown 2 places, from 7030.0%015
73Pat FreiermuthTE · PITDown 2 places, from 7130.0%012
74Rashee RiceWR · KCDown 1 place, from 7330.0%014
75Rashod BatemanWR · BALDown 1 place, from 7430.0%09
76Sam LaPortaTE · DETNo change30.0%015
77Ted Hurst IIIWR · TBUp 1 place, from 7830.0%09
78Tetairoa McMillanWR · CARUp 1 place, from 7930.0%011
79Tre HarrisWR · LACBack on this board30.0%012
80Tre TuckerWR · LVNo change30.0%011
81Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · TENUp 1 place, from 8230.0%015
82Xavier HutchinsonWR · HOUUp 1 place, from 8330.0%011
83Xavier WorthyWR · KCUp 1 place, from 8430.0%012

The denominator is catchable targets, not all targets, so a badly thrown ball never counts against the receiver. That makes this rate higher than the drop rate quoted from box-score data, and not comparable to it.

New to this stat? What drop rate means.

Other seasons

Choosing between two of these players?

Both men's 2025 production side by side, and which of them rests on inputs that historically repeat.

All comparisons →

More leaderboards

Follow Drop Rate. When this board moves, you'll know — what changed, week over week.

One email a week, in season. Free, unsubscribe anytime.

Use Muffed in your AI

Ask Claude or ChatGPT football questions and get these verified figures back, with sources. Add https://muffed.ai/api/mcp — free, no account, no API key.

Add to Claude · Set up in ChatGPT · How it works →