2025 season · Receivers and tight ends, 73 qualifiers

Drop Rate

Name: Drop Rate — 2025 NFL
Creator: Muffed
License: https://muffed.ai/methodology

Drop Rate — 2025 NFL rankings, updated Aug 13, 2026. Elic Ayomanor (TEN) dropped a higher share of his catchable targets than any other pass catcher, at 17.0% across 73 qualifying players. Based on verified 2025 play-by-play data (nflverse); Half-PPR scoring.

A drop here is a pass a charter judged catchable that the receiver did not catch, and the denominator is catchable targets rather than every target thrown his way. That is the difference between this number and the drop rate quoted almost everywhere else: a ball thrown at a receiver's ankles never enters it, so what is left is much closer to a measure of hands than of quarterback accuracy. Topping this list is not an achievement.

Drop Rate, 2025 NFL season
#	Player	Drop%	Drops	Catchable
1	Elic AyomanorWR · TEN	17.0%	9	53
2	Mason TaylorTE · NYJ	14.8%	8	54
3	Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAX	14.7%	10	68
4	Theo JohnsonTE · NYG	14.3%	8	56
5	Jameson WilliamsWR · DET	13.2%	10	76
6	Rome OdunzeWR · CHI	12.3%	7	57
7	Zach ErtzTE · WAS	11.9%	7	59
8	Jerry JeudyWR · CLE	11.5%	7	61
9	Luther Burden IIIWR · CHI	11.1%	6	54
10	Jordan AddisonWR · MIN	9.6%	5	52
11	CeeDee LambWR · DAL	9.5%	8	84
12	Zay FlowersWR · BAL	9.4%	9	96
13	Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · WAS	9.0%	7	78
14	Evan EngramTE · DEN	8.8%	5	57
15	T.J. HockensonTE · MIN	8.8%	5	57
16	Tre TuckerWR · LV	8.8%	6	68
17	Emeka EgbukaWR · TB	8.1%	6	74
18	Juwan JohnsonTE · NO	8.1%	7	86
19	Brenton StrangeTE · JAX	8.0%	4	50
20	Oronde Gadsden IITE · LAC	7.5%	4	53
21	Travis KelceTE · KC	7.1%	6	84
22	Chig OkonkwoTE · TEN	6.5%	4	62
23	Rashee RiceWR · KC	6.5%	4	62
24	Josh DownsWR · IND	6.3%	4	63
25	Tetairoa McMillanWR · CAR	6.3%	5	79
26	Parker WashingtonWR · JAX	6.2%	4	64
27	DK MetcalfWR · PIT	6.0%	4	67
28	Jauan JenningsWR · SF	6.0%	4	67
29	Courtland SuttonWR · DEN	5.9%	5	85
30	Jaylen WaddleWR · MIA	5.9%	4	68
31	DeVonta SmithWR · PHI	5.8%	5	86
32	A.J. BrownWR · PHI	5.6%	5	89
33	Quentin JohnstonWR · LAC	5.6%	3	54
34	Michael PittmanWR · IND	5.5%	5	91
35	Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET	5.4%	7	129
36	Justin JeffersonWR · MIN	5.3%	5	95
37	George KittleTE · SF	4.9%	3	61
38	George PickensWR · DAL	4.8%	5	104
39	Romeo DoubsWR · GB	4.8%	3	62
40	Cade OttonTE · TB	4.5%	3	66
41	Hunter HenryTE · NE	4.5%	3	66
42	Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN	4.3%	6	140
43	Troy FranklinWR · DEN	4.2%	3	72
44	Chimere DikeWR · TEN	4.0%	2	50
45	Marquise BrownWR · KC	4.0%	2	50
46	Cooper KuppWR · SEA	3.8%	2	53
47	Jakobi MeyersWR · JAX	3.8%	3	79
48	Khalil ShakirWR · BUF	3.8%	3	78
49	AJ BarnerTE · SEA	3.7%	2	54
50	Chris OlaveWR · NO	3.7%	4	109
51	Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLE	3.7%	3	81
52	Mark AndrewsTE · BAL	3.7%	2	54
53	Dalton SchultzTE · HOU	3.4%	3	87
54	Dallas GoedertTE · PHI	3.2%	2	62
55	Keenan AllenWR · LAC	3.2%	3	93
56	Kyle PittsTE · ATL	3.1%	3	96
57	Brock BowersTE · LV	2.9%	2	69
58	Davante AdamsWR · LAR	2.9%	2	70
59	Puka NacuaWR · LAR	2.9%	4	137
60	Tee HigginsWR · CIN	2.9%	2	68
61	Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · NYG	2.9%	3	102
62	Ladd McConkeyWR · LAC	2.8%	2	71
63	Nico CollinsWR · HOU	2.6%	2	76
64	Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA	2.4%	3	123
65	Tyler WarrenTE · IND	2.4%	2	82
66	Stefon DiggsWR · NE	2.3%	2	87
67	Trey McBrideTE · ARI	2.2%	3	135
68	DJ MooreWR · CHI	1.8%	1	55
69	Colston LovelandTE · CHI	1.7%	1	60
70	Rashid ShaheedWR · SEA	1.6%	1	63
71	Drake LondonWR · ATL	1.3%	1	79
72	Jake FergusonTE · DAL	1.2%	1	86
73	Michael WilsonWR · ARI	1.2%	1	80

The denominator is catchable targets, not all targets, so a badly thrown ball never counts against the receiver. That makes this rate higher than the drop rate quoted from box-score data, and not comparable to it.

New to this stat? What drop rate means.

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