Zay Flowers or DeVonta Smith?
Zay Flowers or DeVonta Smith? Both are WRs. Here is what each man's 2025 season was actually built on, updated Aug 1, 2026. Zay Flowers leads on share of his team's offensive snaps, share of his team's air yards and receiving yards, and also on receiving yards per pass snap — one side of that is opportunity, the other is efficiency, and they have not historically travelled together. DeVonta Smith doesn't have enough verified 2025 coverage in the file to say what his season was built on. Figures are 2025 verified play-by-play (nflverse); scored Half-PPR. Repeatability is measured from year-over-year persistence across 2016 to 2025, not projected. Muffed publishes no projections, draft grades or start/sit advice.
Zay Flowers
WR · Baltimore Ravens
DeVonta Smith
WR · Philadelphia Eagles
Zay Flowers vs DeVonta Smith, 2025
| Metric | Zay Flowers | DeVonta Smith |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 finish | 14 | 30 |
| Half-PPR/G | 11.8 | 9.6 |
| Games | 17 | 17 |
| Snap share | 87.3%24th | 85.4%29th |
| Availability | 98.0%6th | 94.1%32nd |
| Target share | 29.0% | 24.4% |
| Air yards share | 35.7% | 32.2% |
| Rec yards | 1,2117th | 1,00817th |
| Yds/pass snap | 2.5310th | 1.9434th |
A dash means the panel holds no qualifying figure for that player — usually too few games or attempts to clear the metric's floor, not a zero. Ranks are the source's own, against the population shown.
What repeats
Zay Flowers leads on share of his team's offensive snaps, share of his team's air yards and receiving yards, and also on receiving yards per pass snap — one side of that is opportunity, the other is efficiency, and they have not historically travelled together. DeVonta Smith doesn't have enough verified 2025 coverage in the file to say what his season was built on. Of the two, DeVonta Smith's season rests on the steadier ground. That is a statement about what each man's production was built on, not a running order — and it is a description of 2025, not a forecast of 2026.
“Repeats” is measured year-over-year persistence across 2016 to 2025 — opportunity carries between seasons, scoring rate largely does not. This describes what a 2025 season was built on. It is not a forecast, and Muffed publishes no projections, draft grades or start/sit advice. How we measure it.
Settle it — hear both stories
The same verified data, told as the story of each man's season.
Related
Get the story behind the numbers
The same AI that built these tables reads every play of every game and tells you what actually happened — as pages you can read and shows you can listen to, from this same verified data.
Get the weekly. The verified read on the NFL, every Tuesday of the season — and if you build a show, yours arrives with it.
Free. First edition lands Week 1 — Sept 9.
In a Sleeper league? One link gets every team its own show — free, no signup.
Set up your league →Cite this
Muffed, “Zay Flowers vs DeVonta Smith, 2025 verified comparison,” muffed.ai/compare/zay-flowers-vs-devonta-smith. Through the 2025 season. Data via nflverse · NFL Next Gen Stats via nflverse; FTN Data via nflverse.
Free to quote and link with credit. The underlying figures are recomputed from public play-by-play — see how we verify every number.