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Zay Flowers or DeVonta Smith?

Zay Flowers or DeVonta Smith? Both are WRs. Here is what each man's 2025 season was actually built on, updated Aug 17, 2026.

Zay Flowers leads on share of his team's offensive snaps, share of his team's air yards and receiving yards, and also on receiving yards per pass snap — one side of that is opportunity, the other is efficiency, and they have not historically travelled together.

DeVonta Smith leads on none of the measured inputs — Zay Flowers holds more of every one the file weighs for persistence.

Figures are 2025 verified play-by-play (nflverse); scored Half-PPR. Repeatability is measured from year-over-year persistence across 2016 to 2025, not projected. Muffed publishes no projections, draft grades or start/sit advice.

Zay Flowers

WR · Baltimore Ravens

DeVonta Smith

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Zay Flowers vs DeVonta Smith, 2025

Verified 2025 figures for Zay Flowers and DeVonta Smith, with each figure's rank in its source population
MetricZay FlowersDeVonta Smith
2025 finish1430
Half-PPR/G11.89.6
Games1717
Snap share87.3%24th85.4%29th
Availability98.0%6th94.1%32nd
Target share29.0%24.4%
Air yards share35.7%32.2%
Rec yards1,2117th1,00817th
Yds/pass snap2.5310th1.9434th

A dash means the panel holds no qualifying figure for that player — usually too few games or attempts to clear the metric's floor, not a zero. Ranks are the source's own, against the population shown.

What repeats

Zay Flowers: MIXEDDeVonta Smith: UNSETTLED

Zay Flowers leads on share of his team's offensive snaps, share of his team's air yards and receiving yards, and also on receiving yards per pass snap — one side of that is opportunity, the other is efficiency, and they have not historically travelled together. DeVonta Smith leads on none of the measured inputs — Zay Flowers holds more of every one the file weighs for persistence. Of the two, DeVonta Smith's season rests on the steadier ground. That is a statement about what each man's production was built on, not a running order — and it is a description of 2025, not a forecast of 2026.

“Repeats” is measured year-over-year persistence across 2016 to 2025 — opportunity carries between seasons, scoring rate largely does not. This describes what a 2025 season was built on. It is not a forecast, and Muffed publishes no projections, draft grades or start/sit advice. How we measure it.

Settle it — hear both stories

The same verified data, told as the story of each man's season.

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Cite this

Muffed, “Zay Flowers vs DeVonta Smith, 2025 verified comparison,” muffed.ai/compare/zay-flowers-vs-devonta-smith. Through the 2025 season. Data via nflverse; FTN Data via nflverse.

Free to quote and link with credit. The underlying figures are recomputed from public play-by-play — see how we verify every number.

Source: Data via nflverse; FTN Data via nflverse. Updated Aug 17, 2026. How we verify our data.

Scored Half-PPR. Repeatability is measured year-over-year persistence across 2016 to 2025 (nflverse), not a projection.

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