Travis Kelce (TE, Kansas City Chiefs) — 2026 fantasy outlook, updated Sep 28, 2026.
In 2025, Travis Kelce finished TE3 at 9.1 Half-PPR points per game (155.2 total) across 17 games.
Based on verified 2025 play-by-play data (nflverse); Half-PPR scoring.
Kelce caught both of his targets for 59 yards and a touchdown: 48 yards on the first Kansas City snap of the game, and an 11-yard touchdown on third and 6 with 3:01 left that made it 24–10. The two catches were worth plus 6.5 expected points, the most of any player thrown to in the game, and a third catch was erased by a penalty, in a 24–10 win over the Dolphins.
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Where he ranks — 2026
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More episodes
- Week 2
Travis Kelce — Week 2: Nine Catches, a Hundred One Yards
Kelce caught nine of 11 targets for 101 yards, seven first downs and a 13-yard touchdown on second and seven with 4:40 left in the first quarter, two snaps after an interception. His 11 targets and 101 yards both led all players in the game, and 66 of the yards came after the catch, in a 33–30 overtime win over the Colts.
- Week 1
Travis Kelce — Week 1: Fifty-Nine Yards on Third and Six
Kelce caught three of five targets for 71 yards; the 59-yard catch on third and six with 6:09 left in the third quarter was worth plus 5.1 expected points, the most on any Chiefs pass play, and he converted both of his third-down targets. He was not targeted inside the twenty, in a 31–10 win over the Broncos.
- Camp · Aug 31, 2026
Travis Kelce Camp Update — August 31: The Tight End Room Sets at Four
Kelce made the fifty-three without a designation, and the room behind him settled at four with rookie Jake Briningstool taking the last spot over Tre Watson. His preseason closed at two series, exactly where it stood a week ago.
- Camp · Aug 23, 2026
Travis Kelce Camp Update — August 23: Two Series in Tampa
Kelce took his first preseason snaps of the summer, playing the opening two series of Saturday's loss before the reserves took over. At thirty-six, a short healthy cameo is the entire assignment, and he completed it.
- Camp · Aug 16, 2026
Travis Kelce Camp Update — August 16: The Sanctuary Year Starts Quietly
Kelce dressed Saturday, played nothing, and spent the week telling the Associated Press he still has a lot of love for the game. Quiet camp, which at thirty-six is exactly what he needs.
- 2026 Preview
Travis Kelce 2026 Season Preview — what repeats, what doesn't
Kelce finished TE3 across 17 games, averaging 9.1 half-PPR points per game on the back of a role that has kept him available 95.3 percent of the time from 2021 through 2025. That kind of sustained opportunity and availability is exactly the repeatable input the position is built on, and his season reflects it.
Show notes & transcript
The market is pricing Travis Kelce's age. The scoresheet keeps refusing to cooperate. He goes at pick one-oh-three as the tenth tight end — and last season, at 36, on a six-win team, he still out-scored every tight end in football but two.
The season: 17 games — all of them, again — 76 catches, 851 yards, five touchdowns. He led the Chiefs in catches and in receiving yards, every position included. Per game that's 9.1 Half-PPR points, ninth among tight ends. In total points it's third — 155.2, a tenth of a point ahead of Dallas Goedert. Durability is doing work that burst used to do: it's his fewest catches in any of the last 10 seasons, and the total-points rank barely moved. He also caught 70 percent of what came his way and cleared 800 receiving yards for the tenth season in a row — every year of the decade we can verify.
The career arc is honest about the direction. His per-game scoring peaked at 17.4 in 20-20; it's been nine-two and nine-one the last two years. That's roughly half the peak, in a smooth, unmistakable line. Put differently: from 20-16 through 20-22 his floor was 11.3 a game; over the last three years his ceiling is 11-five.
What repeats? For tight ends, targets are identity — year over year they replicate at about point-eight in the current era, across 238 player-seasons — and Kelce still commands 6.4 a game. Efficiency is what doesn't stick for tight ends — yards-per-target replicates at barely point-one-five — and efficiency is exactly what age already took. So the honest read: the volume floor is real, the ceiling is memory, and no pattern in our library forecasts the week a 37-year-old's floor gives way. Nobody's does.
The situation: he's coming back on purpose. After Kansas City's six-and-11 season, he told the front office — quote — I'm not going out like this, per Pro Football Rumors in May, and re-signed in March for one year and 12 million, up to 15 with incentives, per NFL.com; the fourteenth season is the story every outlet led with. Andy Reid still calls the plays, with Eric Bieniemy back as coordinator since January, per ESPN. The targets around him got messier: Rashee Rice returned in late June from a 30-day jail term for a probation violation from his 20-24 crash case, with a league review still open, per NFL.com — and had a knee cleanup in May. Xavier Worthy ran the spring as the top option. Hollywood Brown left for Philadelphia in March.
The price: TE10 at pick one-oh-three asks him to be exactly what the per-game data says he is — a top-10 tight end with a top-three total-points record and a birth certificate the market can't ignore. TE10 in a 12-team room is the last starting slot — the price assumes he's a starter, and the totals say he never stopped being one. Our verdict: no call. The price and 10 years of history agree, and at Muffed that's rarer than it sounds — we checked. The caveat out loud: age cliffs don't send a save-the-date. If the floor cracks, it'll crack mid-season, and no base rate will have warned either of us.
Watch September targets per game — anything at six or above means the identity held — and how Kansas City rotates its tight ends in the red zone. Age shows up in target quality before target quantity — the red-zone looks go first. If he's one of your guys, the whole roster gets this treatment — every player, every week, all season.
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