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Travis Kelce or Dalton Kincaid?

Travis Kelce or Dalton Kincaid? Both are TEs. Here is what each man's 2025 season was actually built on, updated Aug 17, 2026.

The file holds Travis Kelce's 2025 season — it just measures too few of these inputs for persistence to say what his was built on, here or against Dalton Kincaid.

The file holds Dalton Kincaid's 2025 season — it just measures too few of these inputs for persistence to say what his was built on, here or against Travis Kelce.

Figures are 2025 verified play-by-play (nflverse); scored Half-PPR. Repeatability is measured from year-over-year persistence across 2016 to 2025, not projected. Muffed publishes no projections, draft grades or start/sit advice.

Who led the NFL in target share in 2026?

Travis Kelce

TE · Kansas City Chiefs

Dalton Kincaid

TE · Buffalo Bills

Travis Kelce vs Dalton Kincaid, 2025

Verified 2025 figures for Travis Kelce and Dalton Kincaid, with each figure's rank in its source population
MetricTravis KelceDalton Kincaid
Half-PPR/G14.012.4
Target share19.8%20.7%
Rec yards23113th2637th

A dash means the panel holds no qualifying figure for that player — usually too few games or attempts to clear the metric's floor, not a zero. Ranks are the source's own, against the population shown. Not shown, because neither player qualified: 2025 finish, Games, Snap share, Availability, Air yards share, Yds/pass snap.

What repeats

Travis Kelce: UNSETTLEDDalton Kincaid: UNSETTLED

The file holds Travis Kelce's 2025 season — it just measures too few of these inputs for persistence to say what his was built on, here or against Dalton Kincaid. The file holds Dalton Kincaid's 2025 season — it just measures too few of these inputs for persistence to say what his was built on, here or against Travis Kelce. The file holds both seasons and still doesn't separate them on durability — neither man leads the inputs that historically repeat. That is a finding, not a gap in the evidence.

“Repeats” is measured year-over-year persistence across 2016 to 2025 — opportunity carries between seasons, scoring rate largely does not. This describes what a 2025 season was built on. It is not a forecast, and Muffed publishes no projections, draft grades or start/sit advice. How we measure it.

Settle it — hear both stories

The same verified data, told as the story of each man's season.

Travis Kelce's episode →Dalton Kincaid's episode →

Related

What is Half-PPR?What is target share?All comparisons

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Cite this

Muffed, “Travis Kelce vs Dalton Kincaid, 2025 verified comparison,” muffed.ai/compare/travis-kelce-vs-dalton-kincaid. Through the 2026 season. Data via nflverse.

Free to quote and link with credit. The underlying figures are recomputed from public play-by-play — see how we verify every number.

Source: Data via nflverse. Updated Aug 17, 2026. How we verify our data.

Scored Half-PPR. Repeatability is measured year-over-year persistence across 2016 to 2025 (nflverse), not a projection.

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