Puka Nacua (WR, Los Angeles Rams) — 2026 fantasy outlook, updated Sep 11, 2026.

In 2025, Puka Nacua finished WR1 at 19.4 Half-PPR points per game (310.5 total) across 16 games.

Based on verified 2025 play-by-play data (nflverse); Half-PPR scoring.

Week 1 — The Take

Nacua was thrown to nine times Thursday — a third of the Rams' pass plays — and caught five for seventy-four yards, sixty-four of them on two throws: forty-one yards deep right to the San Francisco eight in the first quarter, and twenty-three deep middle to the nineteen in the third. The catch after that, third and two from the two, was stopped at the one, and the fourth-down play that followed ended the Rams' last drive inside the ten in a 27–7 loss in Melbourne.

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2026 — through Week 1
Scored Half-PPR
Pos. rank
Half-PPR / game
19.4
Last game
2025
WR1
19.4/g

Where he ranks2025

13 leaderboards

What these mean: receiving efficiency · contested catch rate · receiving yards per pass snap · target share · weighted opportunity rating · air yards share · pass-snap share · snap share · drop rate · average separation · availability rate

Compared with

Side-by-side verified 2025 production, and which side rests on inputs that repeat.

Rams backfield and handcuffs — the depth chart behind him, refreshed daily.

More episodes

  • Camp · Aug 31, 2026Aug 31, 2026

    Puka Nacua Camp Update — August 31: Back on the Practice Field

    Nacua returned to Rams practice on Sunday, August thirtieth, his first practice since the core and hip-flexor injury pulled him out on August eleventh, and Rams Wire describes him as on track to play the Week One opener in Melbourne. No report says whether the session was full or limited, and he made the initial fifty-three among seven receivers.

  • Camp · Aug 23, 2026Aug 23, 2026

    Puka Nacua Camp Update — August 23: The Return Slid to Next Week Again

    Nacua went the entire week without a practice, though he got in a side workout during Thursday's joint session and the team calls it good progress. The return McVay expected this week is now expected next week, and Melbourne keeps getting closer.

  • Camp · Aug 16, 2026Aug 17, 2026

    Puka Nacua Camp Update — August 16: The Core Muscle Testing the One Thing That Matters

    Nacua left Tuesday's practice with core-muscle soreness, missed Thursday, and now the word "jeopardize" has entered the Week 1 Melbourne conversation. The June read said availability was the only question left — and availability just blinked.

  • 2026 PreviewJun 13, 2026

    Puka Nacua 2026 Season Preview — the WR1 priced like a WR2

    Nacua finished as a WR1 across 16 games, averaging 19.4 half-PPR points per game — a season built on consistent availability and role rather than efficiency spikes. His 86.3% availability rate over the past five years suggests the injury concern from 2024 was the exception, and the volume that powered this output is the kind of input that tends to carry forward.

    0:003:24

    Your episode · 3:24

    Show notes & transcript

    The number one wide receiver in fantasy last season — total AND per game — is the second receiver off the board this summer. That's the whole setup. Puka Nacua, the Muffed 2026 preview: what the market knows that the leaderboard doesn't, and whether it should.

    The season was a monster with a steady pulse. A hundred 29 catches — the most in football, nobody else caught more — for 17 15, second-most in yards, +10 receiving scores and change on the ground. 19.4 points a game. The texture matters more than the totals: 22-plus points in 11 of 16 games, one true dud all year. And the signature: Week 16 in Seattle, overtime, tied — Stafford hits him deep middle, 19 in the air, 22 more after the catch, 41-yard touchdown, part of a 12-catch, two-25, 46 point night. 666 of his yards came after the catch. He doesn't just get open; he gets going.

    The arc: three seasons, no down years — 14-five as a rookie, 15-two in an injury-shortened year two, 19-four in year three. WR7, WR5, WR1 per game. The only blemish on the resume is the 11-game 20 24, which is exactly why the games-played column is the one thing worth watching.

    What repeats: the profile is built almost entirely of sticky materials. A 30 percent target share on the league's second-best offense — and targets repeat at point seven-nine. The after-catch production is a skill signature, not a bounce. And the touchdown share — 17-six percent — sits comfortably below the fade line: no luck to give back, room for more. We ran this profile against every pattern in the library and nothing fires. Like Amon-Ra, he's what the safe half of the first round looks like in the data.

    The situation has two halves now, and honesty requires both. The football half is the good kind of loud: Matthew Stafford won MVP and is back for an eighteenth season, and the connection produced the top per-game receiver season in football. The other half is off the field, and we'll say it plainly and carefully: per reporting this spring, Nacua entered a treatment program in March, and a civil lawsuit was filed against him in late March; he returned for the offseason program in April, and the league has said the matter is under review. Those are allegations and a process, not conclusions — but a league review is an availability question, and availability is the one input a price can't survive without. We don't predict discipline. We also don't pretend it isn't pending.

    The price: pick four, WR2. Verdict: NO CALL — and the texture matters. He produced above this price last year, and the one-slot discount versus his finish is the market charging for three real things: the quarterback's birthday, the 11-game year two, and now the open question of the review. All fair charges. Nothing in the data argues the price is wrong in either direction. The counter to the sunshine, both barrels: if Stafford misses time, this profile has never run on a backup — and if the review lands badly, availability, not talent, becomes the whole ballgame. Neither is modelable. Both are why the discount exists.

    Watch before September, not in it: the league's review, full stop. Then Stafford's arm and the offense's tempo — on the field, the receiver is solved. If he's one of your guys, this show exists for your whole roster — every player, every week, all season.

  • 2025 ReviewMay 11, 2026

    Puka Nacua 2025 Season in Review

    0:003:02

    Your episode · 3:02

    Show notes & transcript

    Puka Nacua finished 2025 as the number 1 wide receiver in total PPR scoring AND in PPR per game. That's the headline — and it's not close to a fluke. Across 16 games, Nacua was the undisputed engine of a Rams offense that finished second in the league in total offensive expected points added, catching everything thrown his way and moonlighting as a gadget back whenever the staff wanted a free explosive play. He smashed. Full stop. A true alpha workhorse season on a 12-and-5 team that rode Matthew Stafford and Nacua all the way to the conference championship game.

    Now let's get into the numbers. The volume was absurd: 166 targets, 129 catches, 1,715 yards, and 10 receiving touchdowns, plus 10 carries for 105 yards at 10.5 a pop and another score on the ground. His average target share was 30 percent and his average air yards share was 34 percent — both elite alpha-receiver marks — and he piled up 666 yards after the catch, which is how you build a receiving line that big without a sky-high yards-per-target. The Stafford connection mattered too: Stafford finished second among qualified starters in adjusted net yards per attempt at 8.3 and led the league with 46 touchdown passes, and Nacua was the primary beneficiary. This was a steady-floor profile dressed up with ceiling spikes — he cleared 22 PPR in 11 of his 16 games, posted four games above 30, and only got truly muffed once all year, the Week 6 Baltimore game where he was held to 2 catches for 28 yards. Even his down weeks were 13 to 17 PPR. That's the consistency baseline fantasy managers dream about.

    The play that captures the year came in Week 16 at Seattle — a wild overtime loss where Nacua went for 12 catches, 225 yards, two touchdowns, and a season-high 46.5 PPR. The signature snap: overtime, second and 9 from the Seattle 41, game tied 30 to 30. Stafford hit him on a deep middle throw with 19 air yards, and Nacua tacked on 22 more after the catch to finish a 41-yard touchdown. Air yards plus yards after the catch, in a tied playoff-implication game, against a division rival. That's the whole season in one play: every-down volume, downfield trust, and the after-the-catch juice that turned a great Rams offense into the number 1 fantasy wide receiver year in football.

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