Davante Adams

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• Week 5Oct 13, 2026

  Davante Adams — Week 5: Two TDs, One That Tied It

  Adams caught 5 of 7 targets for 51 yards and 2 touchdowns against the Bills, the second tying the game 27-27 midway through the fourth quarter, in a 37-34 Rams overtime loss.

• Week 4Oct 6, 2026

  Davante Adams — Week 4: Four Catches, Thirty-Two Yards

  Adams caught 4 of 9 targets for 32 yards and two third-down conversions against the Eagles, a week after 137 yards in Denver. Two deep throws his way in the first quarter and two straight throws early in the third went incomplete, and his last target, from the Philadelphia 19 with 1:37 left, was incomplete before the Rams won 24–20.

• Week 3Sep 28, 2026

  Davante Adams — Week 3: Thirteen Targets, One Thirty-Seven

  Adams caught 7 of 13 targets for 137 yards and four first downs, including a 49-yarder from the Los Angeles 9 with 7:03 left that put the Rams at the Denver 42, up 19–16. His 13 targets led the team, and the last throw of the game, deep right from the Denver 19 with two seconds left, was intended for him and intercepted, in a 30–26 loss to the Broncos.

• Week 2Sep 22, 2026

  Davante Adams — Week 2: One Ninety-Five and Two Touchdowns

  Adams caught eight of 10 targets for 195 yards and two touchdowns — the most receiving yards of any player in the NFL in Week 2, and 40 more than the next man. His 64-yard catch on third and ten with 12:50 left in the half was worth 5.4 expected points and 9.3 points of win probability, the biggest play of the game, in a 28–6 win over the Giants.

• Week 1Sep 11, 2026

  Davante Adams — Week 1: Three Deep Balls, None Caught

  Adams was thrown to six times Thursday and caught three, for thirteen, three and ten yards. The other three were deep — twenty, seventeen and nineteen yards in the air — and all three fell incomplete, two of them on third down. Six targets for twenty-six yards and minus one point seven expected points, second on the Rams in targets behind Puka Nacua's nine, in a 27–7 loss in Melbourne.

• Camp · Aug 31, 2026Aug 31, 2026

  Davante Adams Camp Update — August 31: No Preseason Snaps With Stafford

  Adams was rested with the regular starters in the preseason finale and enters the Melbourne opener without a preseason game snap alongside Matthew Stafford. The better news for his target math is Puka Nacua's return to practice on Sunday, which points the target tree back toward full strength.

• Camp · Aug 23, 2026Aug 23, 2026

  Davante Adams Camp Update — August 23: The Stafford Deep Ball Is Already Live

  Adams caught a deep ball from Matthew Stafford early in the joint practice against the Saints and kept connecting all morning, with Sean McVay calling it a really good day against tight coverage. The chemistry that has to carry his season looks real; the touchdown question it feeds is still untested.

• Camp · Aug 16, 2026Aug 17, 2026

  Davante Adams Camp Update — August 16: Quiet Week, Daily Battles With McDuffie

  A quiet week for Adams, and at thirty-three that is the good version. The June claim that his fourteen touchdowns were rented has met no new evidence either way, and the daily battles with Trent McDuffie are the story of his August.

• 2026 PreviewJun 13, 2026

  Davante Adams 2026 Season Preview — fourteen touchdowns at thirty-three

  Adams finished WR8 across 14 games with 13.8 half-PPR points per game, but the old summary's core warning still applies: this was a touchdown-dependent season built on scoring rate rather than the kind of volume and role that tends to repeat. Availability has been a genuine strength — 91.8% over the last five seasons — but efficiency-driven finishes carry far less certainty into the next year than target share or air-yards role would.

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  Davante Adams scored 14 touchdowns last year on a profile that gave him no yardage floor — and he turns 33 this season. The instinct is to fade the touchdowns and the age. But here's the thing the instinct misses: he still finished a top-eight receiver, and the market has already dropped him to receiver 26 — well below where he landed. The question isn't whether the scoring regresses. It's whether there's any edge left once you account for a price that already did. The Muffed 2026 preview.

  The season looked strong on the surface, and the per-game number backs it up: WR8, 13-eight a game, 14 touchdowns. But the texture is the worry. 60 catches, 789 yards — and the scores came on one-, two-, four-, seven-, and 10-yard routes. He was the clear number two behind Puka Nacua, riding Matthew Stafford's league-leading 46 touchdown passes. Strip the touchdowns and the line is a complementary receiver with no floor: a stretch of games at nine, seven-nine, seven-one, six-nine.

  The arc is a future Hall of Famer easing down: 12-six, 14-two, 13-eight — productive, but increasingly propped up by touchdown volume as the yardage softened.

  Here's why the regression doesn't make a call. His touchdown share is 37.7 percent — the highest of any receiver we cover, far into the quartile our fade rule docks by nearly two points a game. 14 touchdowns on 60 catches is a rate that does not repeat, and the age — 33, deep into a receiver's decline band — is a real worry the market knows about. But run the math the rule allows: the touchdown fade pulls a top-quartile receiver down about a tier. Apply that to a WR8 finisher and you land him in the back half of the WR2 tier — still comfortably above a receiver-26 price. The pattern that's actually validated can't drop him below what you're paying. And the rest of the bear case — the age — is context, not a pattern we can underwrite a call on; there's no validated receiver-age fade in our toolkit. The fade is real; it just doesn't clear the gap.

  The situation, per the reports, cuts both ways: the Rams nearly traded him this offseason — reportedly while chasing A.J. Brown — but kept him, and paying his six-million-dollar roster bonus in March is the clearest signal they're not moving him for 2026. The subtext is Puka Nacua's next contract: he's entering the final year of his rookie deal and reportedly in line for a massive extension, and the trade chatter around Adams was at least partly about creating room to pay it. A 33-year-old number-two receiver is a genuine question — but he's also a future Hall of Famer catching from an elite quarterback, and the price already reflects the doubt.

  The price: pick 55, the 20-sixth receiver. Verdict: NO CALL — and the math is why. The touchdowns regress and the age is real, so this isn't a value to chase. But he finished WR8 and he's priced WR26 — the regression you'd be fading is already in the number, and the one validated pattern can't push him below it. There's no gap to sell. The counter, in both directions: Stafford is elite and the touchdown ceiling is real, so WR26 isn't a trap; but the no-yardage-floor profile at 33, on a team that just shopped him, means it isn't a steal either. The market got this one about right — buy the touchdown upside or pass on the floor, but there's no edge to call.

  September watch: the touchdown rate, the swing factor; and the target share with a healthy Nacua — and with Nacua's next contract likely to headline the offseason before this one's over. If he's one of your guys, Muffed builds this show for your whole roster — every player, every week, all season.

• 2025 ReviewMay 11, 2026

  Davante Adams 2025 Season in Review

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  Davante Adams finished 2025 as the number 9 wide receiver in total points per reception scoring — and the number 9 wide receiver in points per reception per game. Same rank, two different lenses. That tells you everything: Adams didn't pile up empty volume, and he didn't miss enough time to torpedo his total. He landed in the same neighborhood whether you measured the whole pie or sliced it per appearance. In his first full year catching passes from Matthew Stafford, Adams settled into a role as the touchdown-scoring complement to Puka Nacua's volume monster in a Rams offense that finished second in the league in total offensive expected points added at plus 152.9. Efficient, opportunistic, and tethered to a passing attack that ranked second in the league in passing expected points added at plus 137.9.

  Now let's dig into the numbers, because the touchdowns are the whole story. Adams averaged 15.9 points per reception per game across 14 games — 222.9 total. He was the clear secondary option: Nacua ran away with the targets, catching 129 balls for 1,715 yards. Adams still cleared the top 10 because Stafford led the league with 46 passing touchdowns, and Adams was the guy Stafford hunted when the field shrunk. The Rams scored a touchdown on 68.5 percent of red zone trips, sixth-best in football, and ended 75.3 percent of their scoring drives in the end zone — second in the league. Adams cashed in. But the week-to-week profile was boom over steady: three games above 22 points per reception, offset by a 9.1, a 7.9, a 7.1, a 6.9, and an 11.1. Roughly a third of his appearances came in under 12. When the touchdowns hit, he smashed. When they didn't, the yardage floor wasn't there to save him — the trade-off baked into being a touchdown-dependent number-two option on a high-scoring offense.

  The play that captures the season isn't the longest — it's the red zone design in miniature. Second quarter against Indianapolis in Week 4: second and 10 from the 10-yard line, 11 seconds left in the half, Rams trailing 10 to 6. Stafford goes shotgun, finds Adams on a short throw to the left, 10-yard touchdown, nearly four expected points added. That's the Adams role in one snap — Stafford trusts him inside the 20, the ball gets there, six points. Adams scored on a 1-yard route, a 2-yard route, a 4-yard route, a 7-yard route, and a 10-yard route this year. The touchdowns weren't accidents. They were the design. That's how a secondary receiver finishes as the number 9 wide receiver without leading his own team in catches or yards.