Malik Willis (QB, Miami Dolphins) — 2026 fantasy outlook, updated Sep 28, 2026.

In 2025, Malik Willis finished QB43 at 12.8 Half-PPR points per game (51.2 total) across 4 games.

Based on verified 2025 play-by-play data (nflverse); Half-PPR scoring.

Week 3 — The Take

Willis completed 20 of 36 throws for 210 yards with no touchdown and one interception, was not sacked, and ran 9 times for 56 yards. He lost a fumble at the Kansas City 25 in the second quarter on a play the Chiefs won on challenge, the largest win-probability swing on any pass or run in the game, and one of his 10 throws of 20-plus air yards was caught, in a 24–10 loss to the Chiefs.

When Malik Willis's week moves the numbers, you'll know — every episode, in one weekly email.

One email a week, in season. Free, unsubscribe anytime.

Play fantasy? There's a version of this about your whole roster — follow your guys, free →

2026 — through Week 3
Scored Half-PPR
Pos. rank
—
Half-PPR / game
12.8
Last game
—
2025
QB43
12.8/g

Where he ranks — 2026

9 leaderboards

What these mean: quarterback-fault sack rate · intended air yards · interception-worthy throw rate · deep-ball expected points added per attempt · completion percentage over expected · adjusted net yards per attempt · expected points added per dropback · QB composite rating

Dolphins backfield and handcuffs — the depth chart behind him, refreshed daily.

More episodes

  • Week 2Sep 21, 2026

    Malik Willis — Week 2: Four Sacks, Two in the Red Zone

    Willis completed 14 of 23 throws for 197 yards and a touchdown with no interception and took four sacks, two of them on back-to-back snaps after first and goal at the San Francisco 6. Seventy-seven of the yards and the touchdown came on one throw to Ryan Miller with 2:41 left and Miami down 35–6, in a 35–13 loss to the 49ers.

  • Week 1Sep 14, 2026

    Malik Willis — Week 1: Five Sacks and a Touchdown Scramble

    Willis completed fifteen of twenty-seven throws for two hundred twenty yards with no touchdowns and one interception, was sacked five times for thirty-five yards, and ran six times for thirty-nine yards and Miami's only touchdown, a fourteen-yard scramble in the third quarter. Miami's thirty-two pass plays came out at minus nine point two expected points, in a 27–13 loss to the Raiders.

  • Camp · Aug 31, 2026Aug 31, 2026

    Malik Willis Camp Update — August 31: The Room Behind Him Rebuilt Twice

    Malik Willis made the initial fifty-three-man roster Miami announced Sunday, and everything behind him changed in forty-eight hours: Quinn Ewers traded to Jacksonville, two quarterbacks waived, Kyle McCord acquired from Green Bay, and Brady Cook claimed off waivers Monday. Miami answered its backup problem by getting younger, twice.

  • Camp · Aug 23, 2026Aug 23, 2026

    Malik Willis Camp Update — August 23: Seven Sacks in the Giants Practice

    Malik Willis went twelve of twenty and took seven sacks in Thursday's joint practice against the Giants, threw an interception that might have been an eighty-yard pick-six, and then sat out Saturday's twenty-six to three loss entirely. The roughest charted day of his camp is also the most informative one.

  • Camp · Aug 16, 2026Aug 17, 2026

    Malik Willis Camp Update — August 16: Fourteen Plays, One Touchdown, One Clean Drive

    Malik Willis's first start as a Dolphin was a fourteen-play touchdown march: four of five passing, two live scrambles, and a head coach calling the operation very, very clean. The tiny Green Bay sample just got its first live answer.

  • 2026 PreviewJul 3, 2026

    Malik Willis 2026 Season Preview — what repeats, what doesn't

    Four games, 12.8 half-PPR points per game, and a QB43 finish tell the story of a season too small to read clearly. With only four appearances, there is no established volume or role to measure — the inputs that tend to carry between seasons simply weren't there long enough to evaluate.

    ▾
    0:003:41

    Your episode · 3:41

    Show notes & transcript

    Miami guaranteed Malik Willis 45 million dollars and the starting job this March. The NFL record behind that bet: 19 games across four seasons, never more than seven in any of them, six career starts. Quarterback 21, pick one-31, is the market pricing a job — because there is almost nothing else to price.

    The 20-25 sample, all of it: four games in relief for Green Bay. 30 of 35 passing — an 86 percent completion rate — for 422 yards, three touchdowns, no picks, plus a hundred 23 rushing yards and two more scores on the ground. On quarterback scoring — the standard four-point-passing convention we use, identical to Half-PPR for quarterbacks — that's 12.8 points a game in the games he played. We will not hang a positional rank on four games, and neither should anyone selling you one.

    The career is a stack of these slivers: seven games as a Tennessee rookie, two the next year, six after the trade to Green Bay, four last season. What the slivers agree on: the legs are the profile. Nearly half of last season's fantasy production came from rushing — on a sample too small to lean on, but it's the same shape every stop.

    Which is why the pattern beat here is short and mostly a warning about what we can't do. Our rushing-quarterback rule — top-six seasons built on 25-percent-plus rushing production repeat at 61 percent versus 24 for pocket passers — conditions on full seasons that exist. He has never played one. No pattern in our library conditions on a coaching staff's conviction, and conviction is the entire case.

    So here is the conviction, dated. Miami released Tua Tagovailoa in March — eating a record dead-money charge, per ESPN — and signed Willis days later: three years, 67 and a half million, 45 fully guaranteed, per NFL.com. ESPN's signing story said it plainly: the deal makes him the starter for 20-26. The architects know him — head coach Jeff Hafley and the new general manager both arrived from Green Bay — and the offense belongs to coordinator Bobby Slowik, with Nathaniel Hackett coaching the room. The supporting cast was stripped to the studs: Jaylen Waddle traded to Denver in March for a package headlined by the thirtieth pick, Tyreek Hill released off a knee injury, per NFL.com — leaving Malik Washington, Jalen Tolbert, Tutu Atwell, and a rookie. The line got the twelfth pick, tackle Kadyn Proctor. June minicamp was honest work: a few interceptions across the sessions, per ESPN, and a head coach praising his growing command of the huddle. Quinn Ewers runs second.

    The price: QB21 at pick one-31 buys a declared starter on a seven-and-10 roster in year one of a rebuild, with 19 games of evidence. Our verdict: watchlist. We can't underwrite a record that doesn't exist, and we won't fade 45 million guaranteed and a handed job either — that combination is exactly what our library has no cohort for. The caveat, spoken both ways: a rushing quarterback with a locked job has the highest fantasy floor per unit of talent in this game, and if the efficiency of those four games survives contact with 17, QB21 is theft. If it doesn't, you drafted a preseason narrative.

    Watch two things in August: whether the designed-run rate follows him from the Green Bay cameos, and how the young receiver room separates — somebody has to catch it. Four games of 86 percent says the arm caught up to the legs; camp says whether that was a sample or a mirage. If he's on your roster, this show covers all of it — every player, every week, all season.

Who else are you watching?

Follow every guy you care about — across all your leagues — and they all land in one email each week. Free.

Every Dolphins game, storied weekly.

The Muffed Dolphins Show — free, in your podcast app.

More about the show →

In a Sleeper league? One link sets up everyone in it →

Ask this data a question

Every figure on this page comes out of Muffed's verified panel — and you can query the whole thing in plain English. No account, no key. Ask the data →

Use Muffed in your AI

Ask Claude or ChatGPT football questions and get these verified figures back, with sources. Add https://muffed.ai/api/mcp — free, no account, no API key.

Add to Claude · Set up in ChatGPT · How it works →

Every figure on this page is recomputed from public play-by-play, not copied from a box score — how we verify every number.