Caleb Williams

Caleb Williams finished 2025 as the number 5 quarterback in total PPR scoring and the number 8 in points per game. That's a real fantasy asset over a full 17-game slate — and it came inside a Bears team that went 11-and-6, won the NFC North, and reached the Divisional Round before the Rams sent them home in overtime. The identity was dual-threat: rushing floor and touchdown volume carried the fantasy value while traditional passing efficiency lagged. Williams played every game, threw 27 touchdowns against just seven interceptions, added three more on the ground, and even caught one. A high-floor weekly play whose ceiling came from his legs — and from a defense that kept handing him the ball on a league-leading 33 takeaways.

Now let's dig into the numbers, because the gap between Williams the fantasy quarterback and Williams the real-life passer is the whole story. He averaged 18.7 PPR per game on a genuinely boom-or-bust profile. The touchdown volume was elite — 27 passing scores ranked sixth in the league on 568 attempts — and that's the single biggest reason he finished top five. But the efficiency underneath was rough. His 58.1 completion percentage against an expected 65 put him at minus 6.9 over expectation, 36th among qualified passers. His adjusted net yards per attempt of 6.8 ranked 11th — solid, not special. The week-to-week swings tell it: a 38.7 in the Cincinnati shootout and a 29.1 against Dallas, but a 4.7 against the Saints, a 9.5 against the Eagles, and three more weeks under 12. The legs papered over the bad passing weeks — 383 yards on 77 carries at five a clip, plus three rushing scores — but when neither the legs nor the touchdowns showed up, he got muffed.

The play that captures the season came in Cincinnati in Week 9. Bears down 42 to 41, 25 seconds left, first and 10 from their own 42. Williams took the shotgun snap and fired deep middle to rookie tight end Colston Loveland — 58 yards, walk-off touchdown, 47 to 42. That's the Williams fantasy thesis in one snap. The completion percentage will frustrate you. The sacks will frustrate you. But the touchdown equity and the moments where he uncorks one downfield are why he finished as the number 5 quarterback in total scoring.