Caleb Williams

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• Camp · Aug 23, 2026Aug 23, 2026

  Caleb Williams Camp Update — August 23: First Live Answers Come Back Choppy

  Williams finally threw against another team, and the week ended sack, sack, interception in the joint-practice two-minute drill, then two of five for twenty-eight yards in one series of a twenty-seven to nine loss. Three straight red-zone touchdowns were the bright spot. The accuracy question got its first live asking.

• Camp · Aug 16, 2026Aug 17, 2026

  Caleb Williams Camp Update — August 16: Head Above Water, Zero Live Snaps

  Caleb Williams sat the preseason opener with most of Chicago's starters, so the accuracy project has no game data yet. His own year-two report: "I'm head above water."

• 2026 PreviewJun 15, 2026

  Caleb Williams 2026 Season Preview — a top-5 finish on bottom-tier accuracy

  Williams finished as QB5 in 2025, averaging 18.7 half-PPR points across all 17 games — a volume-driven result that held up through a full season of starts. The case for that production repeating rests heavily on whether Chicago's offense keeps feeding him the opportunity that drove it, since his accuracy numbers were a known weakness the box score papered over.

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  Caleb Williams finished as a top-five fantasy quarterback in total points last season — and graded as one of the least accurate passers in the league. Both are true, and together they're why his price is almost exactly right. The Muffed 2026 preview.

  The 2025 season was a real step forward in fantasy terms: 17 games, 18-six a game, QB8 per game and QB5 in total, on 39 42 passing yards, 27 touchdowns, seven picks, +383 rushing yards. The signature was a 39 point eruption against Cincinnati in Week 9. Year two under Ben Johnson, and the points went up.

  The arc is encouraging on the surface: 15 a game as a rookie, 18-six in year two. Ascending, with an offensive-minded head coach and a young receiving corps growing up around him.

  But here's the number that holds the call at neutral, and it's the one we trust most. Williams's completion percentage over expected was −6.9 — 30-sixth in the league, near the very bottom. His QB8 fantasy finish was built on volume, scrambling, and scheme, not on accurate passing. His adjusted net yards per attempt was better, around eleventh, so it isn't all bleak — but a quarterback completing nearly seven percent below expectation is not yet efficient, and that's the engine that has to improve for the points to hold.

  The situation, per the reports, is the bull case for why the accuracy could come — and the team has put a number on it: it's year two in Ben Johnson's system, and Johnson has publicly set a 70-percent completion goal for a quarterback who completed 58 percent last season — the staff is literally tracking accuracy daily at OTAs, citing "80 or 90 throws on tape that could have been completions." Williams calls year one "drowning" and year two "starting what we finished." The young weapons — Odunze, Burden, Loveland — are a year better, even with DJ Moore traded away. Continuity, scheme, and a stated accuracy project are exactly what a developing quarterback needs.

  The price: pick 66, the sixth quarterback. Verdict: NO CALL — he finished QB5 in total points and he's priced QB6, and that one-spot gap is the market fairly pricing an ascending quarterback whose underlying accuracy still says "prove it." The counter cuts both ways: if the Johnson scheme fixes the accuracy, QB6 is cheap; if the −7 CPOE is who he is, the fantasy points regress and the price is right, maybe a touch high. A fair number on a fascinating, unfinished player — pay it knowing the accuracy is the swing.

  September watch: the completion percentage over expected — the entire question of whether the QB5 finish is real; and the rushing volume, the points that travel regardless. He's one of your guys? This show covers your whole roster — every player, every week, all season.

• 2025 ReviewMay 11, 2026

  Caleb Williams 2025 Season in Review

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  Caleb Williams finished 2025 as the number 5 quarterback in total PPR scoring and the number 8 in points per game. That's a real fantasy asset over a full 17-game slate — and it came inside a Bears team that went 11-and-6, won the NFC North, and reached the Divisional Round before the Rams sent them home in overtime. The identity was dual-threat: rushing floor and touchdown volume carried the fantasy value while traditional passing efficiency lagged. Williams played every game, threw 27 touchdowns against just seven interceptions, added three more on the ground, and even caught one. A high-floor weekly play whose ceiling came from his legs — and from a defense that kept handing him the ball on a league-leading 33 takeaways.

  Now let's dig into the numbers, because the gap between Williams the fantasy quarterback and Williams the real-life passer is the whole story. He averaged 18.7 PPR per game on a genuinely boom-or-bust profile. The touchdown volume was elite — 27 passing scores ranked sixth in the league on 568 attempts — and that's the single biggest reason he finished top five. But the efficiency underneath was rough. His 58.1 completion percentage against an expected 65 put him at minus 6.9 over expectation, 36th among qualified passers. His adjusted net yards per attempt of 6.8 ranked 11th — solid, not special. The week-to-week swings tell it: a 38.7 in the Cincinnati shootout and a 29.1 against Dallas, but a 4.7 against the Saints, a 9.5 against the Eagles, and three more weeks under 12. The legs papered over the bad passing weeks — 383 yards on 77 carries at five a clip, +3 rushing scores — but when neither the legs nor the touchdowns showed up, he got muffed.

  The play that captures the season came in Cincinnati in Week 9. Bears down 42 to 41, 25 seconds left, first and 10 from their own 42. Williams took the shotgun snap and fired deep middle to rookie tight end Colston Loveland — 58 yards, walk-off touchdown, 47 to 42. That's the Williams fantasy thesis in one snap. The completion percentage will frustrate you. The sacks will frustrate you. But the touchdown equity and the moments where he uncorks one downfield are why he finished as the number 5 quarterback in total scoring.