Trevor Lawrence

Jaguars · QBPPR ADP #82

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2025 · Player Season Review
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Show notes

Trevor Lawrence finished 2025 as the number 4 quarterback in total PPR scoring and the number 5 quarterback in PPR per game. And the way he got there is the fun part. This wasn't the year Lawrence morphed into a pure pocket passer carving up defenses through the air — this was a dual-threat year on a 13-and-4 team that leaned on him to make plays with his legs in the red zone and stay efficient enough between the twenties to let an elite defense and a workhorse run game do the rest. He played all 17 games, the Jaguars won the AFC South as the three seed, and the rushing production was the difference between good and genuinely smashing.

Now let's dig into the numbers, because they tell a specific story. Lawrence threw for 4,007 yards on 560 attempts with 29 passing touchdowns — fifth-most in the league — and 12 interceptions. Add 359 rushing yards and 9 rushing scores on 82 carries, eleventh among all players in rushing touchdowns, and you've got the engine of a 19.9 PPR per game average. But the real-football efficiency was middling. His adjusted net yards per attempt was 6.3, seventeenth among qualified passers, and his completion percentage over expected was minus 2.7, thirtieth — meaning he completed passes at a lower rate than the average quarterback would have on his same throws. The consistency profile was steady floor with a ceiling on top: Lawrence cleared 15 PPR points in twelve of seventeen games, with the volatility living on the high end — a 44.3-point explosion against the Jets in Week 15 and a 31.2-point game at Denver in Week 16. The floor games existed — 7.8 against the Texans in Week 3, 9.8 in the rematch in Week 10 — but they were the exception. Managers got a reliable mid-to-high teens floor with monster weeks baked in whenever the rushing scores hit.

The play that captures the Lawrence fantasy season isn't a 50-yard bomb — it's third and 13 from the 15-yard line against the Jets in Week 15, first quarter, Jaguars up 7 to nothing. Lawrence drops back in shotgun, the pocket gives him a window, he takes off left and scrambles 15 yards into the end zone. That's the season in one play: a third-and-long that should be a punt becomes six points because Lawrence is a rushing touchdown threat from anywhere inside the 20. Nine rushing scores don't happen by accident. They happen because the offense trusts him to convert with his legs — and managers who drafted him cashed in on every one.

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