Trevor Lawrence

More episodes

• Camp · Aug 23, 2026Aug 23, 2026

  Trevor Lawrence Camp Update — August 23: Clean Red Zone on Carolina's Starters

  Trevor Lawrence threw three consecutive red-zone touchdowns against Carolina's starting defense in Wednesday's joint practice, and John Shipley wrote that he did not come close to missing in the entire period. The line in front of him got two starters back the same day and lost Patrick Mekari to back surgery in the same week.

• Camp · Aug 16, 2026Aug 17, 2026

  Trevor Lawrence Camp Update — August 16: Four Touchdowns Behind a Collapsing Pocket

  Trevor Lawrence opened Thursday's joint practice with an interception, took roughly a half-dozen would-be sacks behind a rotating line, and then threw four red-zone touchdowns. The quarterback looks fine; the pocket in front of him is the new question.

• 2026 PreviewJun 15, 2026

  Trevor Lawrence 2026 Season Preview — an MVP finalist at QB9

  Lawrence finished as the QB4 in 2025, averaging 19.9 half-PPR points across all 17 games in year one of the Coen system. His 90.6% availability rate from 2021–25 shows the kind of durable role that tends to carry between seasons, making his workload one of the more stable inputs behind that finish.

  ▾

  0:002:51

  1x

  1515

  Your episode · 2:51

  Show notes & transcript

  Trevor Lawrence was an MVP finalist last season — the number-four fantasy quarterback in total points, QB1 on a per-game basis down the stretch. He's the ninth quarterback off the board. That's a steep discount on a career year. The Muffed 2026 preview.

  The 2025 season was the breakout the draft slot always promised: 19-nine a game, QB5 per game and QB4 in total, on 4000 passing yards, 29 touchdowns, 12 picks, +359 rushing yards and nine rushing scores in Liam Coen's first year. The signature was a five-touchdown, 44 point eruption against the Jets in Week 15. Down the second-half stretch he was the QB1, period.

  The arc is a player finally arriving: 11-seven, 17-four, 16-four, 14-five — and then a career-best 19-nine. The Coen system unlocked him, and the comfort should only grow in year two.

  Now the honest accounting, because we don't oversell. His rushing share, 27 percent, puts him in the rushing-floor tier — the profile our research says repeats top-six at 61 percent versus 24 for pocket passers — which is the structural reason the floor is real. But two cautions: nine rushing touchdowns is a number that regresses, and his accuracy was actually mediocre, a completion percentage over expected near the bottom of the league. So this wasn't an efficiency masterpiece; it was a volume-and-rushing-driven QB4 finish. The point is, even granting both caveats, a QB4 finish with a rushing floor priced at QB9 is too cheap.

  The situation, per the reports, is the bull case with hardware attached: Lawrence was an MVP finalist and Comeback Player of the Year finalist on a 13-four division winner, it's year two in Coen's system, and Coen's line — "there's so much room to continue to improve" — now reads like a threat to the league rather than a coach covering for his guy. The June color backs it: the team site counted fewer than five interceptions across the entire offseason program. The one soft spot in the supporting cast is Travis Hunter's knee, which cost him the spring. Quarterback and scheme continuity is exactly what carries a breakout forward.

  The price: pick 81, the ninth quarterback. Verdict: LEAN — underpriced. He finished QB4 in total with a genuine rushing floor and an ascending offense, and he's priced QB9. The counter: the nine rushing scores regress, the accuracy needs to catch up to the production, and you can wait on quarterback. But the gap between a QB4 finish and a QB9 price is the value, and the floor underneath it is the safe kind.

  September watch: the rushing volume — the floor; and whether the accuracy climbs in year two of the system, the thing that would make him elite rather than merely underpriced. Your whole roster gets this treatment every week — that's the show.

• 2025 ReviewMay 11, 2026

  Trevor Lawrence 2025 Season in Review

  ▾

  0:003:00

  1x

  1515

  Your episode · 3:00

  Show notes & transcript

  Trevor Lawrence finished 2025 as the number 4 quarterback in total PPR scoring and the number 5 quarterback in PPR per game. And the way he got there is the fun part. This wasn't the year Lawrence morphed into a pure pocket passer carving up defenses through the air — this was a dual-threat year on a 13-and-4 team that leaned on him to make plays with his legs in the red zone and stay efficient enough between the twenties to let an elite defense and a workhorse run game do the rest. He played all 17 games, the Jaguars won the AFC South as the three seed, and the rushing production was the difference between good and genuinely smashing.

  Now let's dig into the numbers, because they tell a specific story. Lawrence threw for 4,007 yards on 560 attempts with 29 passing touchdowns — fifth-most in the league — and 12 interceptions. Add 359 rushing yards and 9 rushing scores on 82 carries, eleventh among all players in rushing touchdowns, and you've got the engine of a 19.9 PPR per game average. But the real-football efficiency was middling. His adjusted net yards per attempt was 6.3, seventeenth among qualified passers, and his completion percentage over expected was minus 2.7, thirtieth — meaning he completed passes at a lower rate than the average quarterback would have on his same throws. The consistency profile was steady floor with a ceiling on top: Lawrence cleared 15 PPR points in 12 of 17 games, with the volatility living on the high end — a 44.3-point explosion against the Jets in Week 15 and a 31.2-point game at Denver in Week 16. The floor games existed — 7.8 against the Texans in Week 3, 9.8 in the rematch in Week 10 — but they were the exception. Managers got a reliable mid-to-high teens floor with monster weeks baked in whenever the rushing scores hit.

  The play that captures the Lawrence fantasy season isn't a 50-yard bomb — it's third and 13 from the 15-yard line against the Jets in Week 15, first quarter, Jaguars up 7 to nothing. Lawrence drops back in shotgun, the pocket gives him a window, he takes off left and scrambles 15 yards into the end zone. That's the season in one play: a third-and-long that should be a punt becomes six points because Lawrence is a rushing touchdown threat from anywhere inside the 20. Nine rushing scores don't happen by accident. They happen because the offense trusts him to convert with his legs — and managers who drafted him cashed in on every one.