Joe Burrow

Bengals · QB

Where he ranks — 2026

14 leaderboards

What these mean: catchable throw rate · deep-ball expected points added per attempt · average time to throw · QB composite rating · completion percentage over expected · adjusted net yards per attempt · expected points added per dropback · intended air yards · quarterback-fault sack rate · interception-worthy throw rate · aggressiveness · blitz rate faced · throwaway rate · out-of-pocket rate

2026 — through Week 7
Scored Half-PPR
Pos. rank
—
Half-PPR / game
16.8
Last game
—
2025
QB29
16.8/g

Compared with

Side-by-side verified figures, and which side rests on inputs that repeat.

Bengals backfield and handcuffs — the depth chart behind him, refreshed daily.

Week 7Oct 26, 2026

Joe Burrow — Week 7: 16 of 18 After Halftime

Burrow completed 22 of 30 passes for 292 yards and four touchdowns without an interception against the Ravens, 16 of 18 for 249 yards and all four scores after halftime, in Cincinnati's 35-13 win at Baltimore.

Read the full episode →

More episodes

  • Week 5Oct 12, 2026

    Joe Burrow — Week 5: Four Touchdown Passes, No Sacks

    Burrow completed 23 of 32 passes for 190 yards and 4 touchdowns, with no interceptions and no sacks, against the Dolphins in a 31-24 win in Miami.

  • Week 4Oct 6, 2026

    Joe Burrow — Week 4: 428 Yards and Two Interceptions

    Burrow completed 39 of 54 for 428 yards, all season highs, with a touchdown pass and a 1-yard touchdown run, but threw two interceptions worth minus 11.2 expected points: one returned 45 yards to set up a Jacksonville touchdown, one at the Jacksonville 10 to open the fourth quarter, in a 22-17 loss to the Jaguars.

  • Week 3Sep 28, 2026

    Joe Burrow — Week 3: Three Touchdowns, Then the Fumble

    Burrow completed 28 of 37 throws for 282 yards and three touchdowns with no interceptions, and both of his fourth-down throws converted, one of them Mike Gesicki's 25-yard go-ahead score. Down three with 53 seconds left at the Pittsburgh 38, he was sacked and fumbled and Pittsburgh recovered, in a 30–27 loss to the Steelers.

  • Week 2Sep 21, 2026

    Joe Burrow — Week 2: Two Touchdowns, Five Sacks

    Burrow completed 20 of 31 throws for 207 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions and was sacked five times for 25 yards. After four punts to open the game he converted third and eight and third and four to Tee Higgins and hit Ja'Marr Chase for 32 yards and the first points on the next snap. Chase and Higgins accounted for 170 of the 207 yards in a 20–6 win over the Texans.

  • Week 1Sep 14, 2026

    Joe Burrow — Week 1: A Pick-Six, Then Third and Ten to Gesicki

    Burrow completed twenty-five of thirty-five throws for two hundred fifty-four yards, one touchdown and one interception — the interception returned thirty-eight yards for a touchdown by Josiah Trotter with two twenty-four left in the third to cut a fourteen-point lead to seven. On the next possession, third and ten at his own twenty-two, he hit Mike Gesicki deep left for twenty-four, the biggest win-probability gain of any Cincinnati offensive play, and the Bengals kicked a fifty-eight-yard field goal on their way to a 33–27 win over the Buccaneers.

  • Camp · Aug 31, 2026Aug 31, 2026

    Joe Burrow Camp Update — August 31: Two Quarterbacks on the Fifty-Three

    Cincinnati kept only two quarterbacks, Joe Burrow and Joe Flacco, releasing Josh Johnson despite a ninety point six preseason passer rating. Burrow sat the finale, so the joint practice against the Bears was his last live work of the preseason. The foot went unmentioned in the week's reporting.

  • Camp · Aug 23, 2026Aug 23, 2026

    Joe Burrow Camp Update — August 23: Sixteen of Twenty-Five on the Foot

    Joe Burrow's workload grew on schedule — sixteen of twenty-five with two red-zone touchdowns in a full joint practice against the Bears' starters, the most work the surgically repaired foot has taken all summer, with no reported issues. He sat Saturday's game.

  • Camp · Aug 16, 2026Aug 17, 2026

    Joe Burrow Camp Update — August 16: Thirteen Snaps, No Limp, No Answer Yet

    Joe Burrow started the preseason opener, went five of six on thirteen snaps, and the foot that ended his 2025 never came up. Encouraging, real, and thirteen snaps into a seventeen-game question.

  • 2026 PreviewJun 15, 2026

    Joe Burrow 2026 Season Preview — elite when healthy, and that's the whole bet

    Burrow played just 8 games in 2025, finishing QB29 overall with 16.8 half-PPR points per game — numbers that reflect a season defined almost entirely by availability rather than per-game production. His 79.8% availability rate across 2021-25 means missed games are a recurring feature of his profile, and that input is exactly the kind that tends to repeat.

    Read the full preview ▾

    Joe Burrow is the third quarterback off the board — and he's played eight games, 10 games, and 10 games in three of the last six seasons. When he's healthy he's one of the best fantasy quarterbacks alive. The price assumes he's healthy. The base rate is the problem. The Muffed 2026 preview.

    The 2025 season ended where his seasons too often do — on the table. A Grade-three turf-toe injury in Week 2 cost him most of the year; in his eight games he averaged 16-eight a night, QB15 per game, with 17 touchdowns against five picks. The signature was a four-touchdown, 309-yard dismantling of Miami in Week 16, the flash of the MVP-level passer underneath the injury. But eight games is eight games, and in total he finished QB29.

    The arc is the cleanest "elite when healthy" line in football — and the clearest health warning. In his three full seasons he's been a top-tier fantasy quarterback: 19-six, 21-nine, and another 21-nine in 2024 on 43 touchdown passes and nearly 5000 yards. In his three interrupted seasons — a knee, a wrist, and now the toe — he's cratered to the mid-teens on partial samples. The talent isn't the variable. The availability is.

    Here's the pattern that decides the call. We studied which top-six quarterback seasons repeat, and the split is structural: quarterbacks who get a quarter or more of their points from rushing repeat at 61 percent; pocket passers repeat at 24. Burrow is as pure a pocket passer as exists — three percent of his points came from his legs. His fantasy value is entirely passing volume and touchdowns, the less-sticky, higher-variance source — and he has no rushing floor to catch him in a down or injury-shortened year. Pair the most fragile availability profile at the position with the least-cushioned scoring profile, and a top-three price is asking a lot.

    The situation, per the reports, is the optimistic caveat: Burrow is fully healthy this offseason, says it's "the best he's felt in a long time," and Cincinnati kept offensive coordinator Dan Pitcher in place while spending the offseason upgrading a defense that wasted his prime. A healthy Burrow with a real defense is a championship-level fantasy anchor. Both of his top receivers are locked in long-term now too — Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins are signed through the decade — so continuity, not turnover, is the story around him.

    The price: pick 50, the third quarterback. Verdict: LEAN — overpriced. You're paying a top-three price for a pocket passer whose value is volume-dependent and whose availability, by his own recent history, is a coin flip — and at quarterback, where you can get most of the production rounds later, paying up for the fragile one is the bet we'd pass on. The counter, and it's strong: when healthy he's a legitimate QB1 with a Super-Bowl-winning ceiling, and the price already sits below the elite tier. If he plays 17 games, this looks cheap. "If he plays 17" is the whole wager.

    September watch: health, first and only — every snap is the thesis; then the early passing volume, the engine of a pocket passer's value. If he's one of your guys, this show exists for your whole roster — every player, every week, all season.

  • 2025 ReviewMay 11, 2026

    Joe Burrow 2025 Season in Review

    Read the full review ▾

    Joe Burrow finished the 2025 fantasy season as the number 29 quarterback in total PPR scoring and the number 15 quarterback in PPR per game — and the gap between those numbers IS the story. Burrow played eight games. That's it. A September turf toe injury turned what should've been a top-five fantasy quarterback season into a half-season cameo, and Cincinnati cratered to six and 11 without him, Joe Flacco dragging the passing game to the league's second-worst adjusted net yards per attempt. When Burrow was on the field, the per-game scoring told you exactly who he still is. The problem wasn't quality. It was availability.

    Now let's dig into the numbers. Burrow averaged 16.8 PPR points per game across his eight starts — back-end QB1 territory on a rate basis, but boom-or-bust, not steady floor. The efficiency was real: 66.8 percent completions, a completion percentage over expectation of plus 2.1 that ranked thirteenth among qualified passers, and an adjusted net yards per attempt of 6.6 that ranked fifteenth. 17 touchdowns to five interceptions in eight games pencils out to a 34-touchdown pace. His first two games back produced just 8.8 and 7.0 PPR — quiet, low-volume wins. Then he ripped off four straight games of 19-plus, including a 29-point smash against the Dolphins and a four-touchdown, 23-point night in a loss to Buffalo. The floor showed up when game scripts stayed tight and Chase Brown's 4.4 yards a carry took over. The ceiling games came when Burrow had to throw 35-plus times and feed Ja'Marr Chase, who finished with 125 catches for 1,412 yards.

    The defining tension of Burrow's fantasy year showed up in a single throw against Buffalo. Fourth quarter, 2:19 left, third and six from the Bills 25, Cincinnati down 39 to 28. Burrow dropped back and hit Tee Higgins on a deep right shot for a 25-yard touchdown — an explosive third-down conversion worth plus 4.4 in expected points added. That's the version of Burrow who, per game, was the fifteenth-best fantasy quarterback in football. The version managers paid an early-round pick for. Eight games of it just weren't enough to outrun a 17-game schedule.

Browse every player →

In a Sleeper league? One link sets up everyone in it →

Ask this data a question

Every figure on this page comes out of Muffed's verified panel — and you can query the whole thing in plain English. No account, no key. Ask the data →

Use Muffed in your AI

Ask Claude or ChatGPT football questions and get these verified figures back, with sources. Add https://muffed.ai/api/mcp — free, no account, no API key.

Add to Claude · Set up in ChatGPT · How it works →

Every figure on this page is recomputed from public play-by-play, not copied from a box score — how we verify every number.