Joe Burrow — Week 7: 16 of 18 After Halftime

Joe Burrow turned a 13-0 halftime deficit into a rout against the Ravens: 22 of 30 for 292 yards, four touchdowns and no interceptions, sacked once, in a 35-13 win at Baltimore. Over 32 dropbacks, the sack and one scramble included, he was worth +18.9 expected points added (EPA), what a play was worth given down, distance and field position, +0.59 per dropback. His completion percentage over expected (CPOE), how often he completed passes against what their difficulty predicted, was +15.5.

The halves were two different games. Before the break he went 6 of 12 for 43 yards and Cincinnati punted three times. After it he went 16 of 18 for 249 yards and threw touchdowns to Mike Gesicki, Tee Higgins, Ja'Marr Chase and Drew Sample. The throw that broke it came up 14-13 early in the fourth quarter, the drive after the defense stopped Baltimore on fourth and 2. Second and 6 at his own 33, he went deep middle to Higgins for 44 yards, +3.2 EPA and 14.0 points of win probability, the estimate of each side's chance to win, and Samaje Perine finished the drive from the 1. On the next drive he hit Chase for 30 and Higgins deep right for 43 to the Baltimore 6, and Chase caught the 2-yard touchdown on third and 2.

It was well above his season rate. Through Week 5 he had +30.0 EPA on 204 dropbacks, +0.15 per dropback, with a CPOE of +6.0. The four touchdowns matched his Week 5 total against Miami, and the 292 yards were his second-most, after 428 against Jacksonville in Week 4.

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_Data via nflverse._