Baker Mayfield

Buccaneers · QBPPR ADP #114

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2025 · Player Season Review
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Show notes

Baker Mayfield finished 2025 as the number 12 quarterback in total PPR scoring — but only the number 19 quarterback in points per game. That gap tells you his fantasy year in one number. He played all seventeen games and stacked counting stats with a healthy touchdown total, but week-to-week he was closer to a streamer than a set-and-forget starter. The Buccaneers went eight and nine and missed the playoffs, and Mayfield's season mirrored that — competent, occasionally explosive, never efficient enough to separate from the pack. A volume-and-touchdown quarterback in a passing offense that, by the underlying numbers, never quite clicked.

Now let's dig into the numbers. Mayfield threw for 3,693 yards and 26 touchdowns against 11 interceptions on 543 attempts — and that touchdown total is the headline, ranking seventh in the league. But the efficiency underneath capped the fantasy ceiling. His adjusted net yards per attempt sat at 6.0, ranking 23rd among qualified passers, and his completion percentage over expected, per Next Gen Stats, came in at minus 1.6 — 24th at the position. In plain English: he completed passes at a slightly lower rate than an average quarterback would have on the same throws. He averaged sixteen PPR points per game, but the ride was bumpy — boom-or-bust, not steady floor. He cleared 22 points four times, including a 26.7-point smash against the Seahawks in Week 5, but turned in single-digit outings against the Saints and Rams and dipped below 13 points in five separate weeks. That's why his per-game rank lagged his total rank by seven spots. And the offense wasn't bailing him out: Tampa's passing expected points added finished at minus 16, 22nd in the league.

The play that captured Mayfield's season wasn't one of his touchdown bombs — it was the pick-six in Week 12 at the Rams. Second and 13, late in the first quarter, already down seven, Mayfield threw a short right intended for Cade Otton. Cobie Durant jumped it and took it 50 yards the other way. Tampa lost 34 to 7, and Mayfield finished with 41 passing yards, one touchdown, two interceptions, and 3.5 PPR points. That game — and the handful like it — is what kept him out of the top tier. The touchdowns were there. The volume was there. The floor wasn't.

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