Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert finished 2025 as the number 10 quarterback in total PPR scoring and the number 11 quarterback per game. Solid mid-range starter territory — not elite, but firmly in the every-week conversation. The identity of the year? Herbert was a high-volume, high-pressure passer carrying an offense that couldn't get out of its own way, and he made up real fantasy ground with his legs. The Chargers went 11 and 6 and grabbed a wild card, but the offense as a whole graded as a bottom-ten unit by expected points added — Herbert was the reason they scored, not a passenger on a humming machine. He took 54 sacks in 16 games behind a bottom-third pass-protection unit and still pushed the ball downfield for top-ten touchdown volume.

Now let's dig into the numbers. Herbert threw for 3,727 yards on 512 attempts with 26 touchdowns and 13 interceptions — that touchdown total tied for eighth in the league. He completed 66.4 percent against an expected completion rate of 63.1, putting his completion percentage over expectation at plus 3.3 — eighth among qualified passers, which tells you the accuracy was genuinely above the bar for the difficulty of his throws. The rushing profile is what separates him from a replacement-level passer: 83 carries, 498 yards at 6.0 a pop, plus 2 scores on the ground. But the efficiency drag is real. His adjusted net yards per attempt was 5.9, 24th among qualified starters — that's the sack tax showing up. And the week-to-week was boom-or-bust underneath a 17.9 PPR average: four games of 25-plus, but also six games under 15, including a 3.3-point disaster against the Jaguars and back-to-back single-digit weeks midseason. The ceiling weeks tilted leagues. The floor weeks were unstartable.

The defining stat for Herbert's fantasy year isn't a single play — it's the gap between his individual numbers and his team's offensive context. The Chargers ranked 30th in red-zone touchdown rate at 52.2 percent, bottom ten at turning trips inside the 20 into six. For a quarterback ranked eighth in passing touchdowns inside that environment, the takeaway is clear: Herbert was creating scores on volume and downfield connections, not easy red-zone layups. The 60-yard touchdown bomb to Quentin Johnston against the Raiders in Week 2 was the template — explosive plays were the engine. When they hit, Herbert smashed your weekly score. When they didn't, the offense bogged down and he got muffed.