2021 season · Quarterbacks, 36+ dropbacks through Week 3, 35 qualifiers

Quarterback EPA per Dropback Leaders

Quarterback EPA per Dropback — 2021 NFL leaders, updated Sep 29, 2026. Aaron Rodgers (GB) led the league in expected points added per dropback at 0.24, ahead of 34 other qualifying players. Based on verified 2021 play-by-play data (nflverse); Half-PPR scoring. Through the 2021 season.

Expected points added per dropback asks what each pass attempt was worth; success rate asks how often the attempt simply worked, with no credit for the size of the gain. Read them together. A quarterback high in the first and low in the second lives on explosive plays and disappears for stretches; high in both is the profile of an offense that stays on schedule. The dropback is the honest denominator because it charges a passer for the snaps that never became throws — a sack and a scramble are both quarterback outcomes, and a passer whose per-attempt line looks tidy because he takes the sack instead of testing the coverage is exactly who this separates.

Quarterback EPA per Dropback, 2021 NFL season
#PlayerDBEPA/DBSuccess%Total EPAScr%Listen
1Aaron RodgersGB5760.2451.2%140.22.9%
2Patrick MahomesKC7330.2252.8%157.86.3%
3Matthew StaffordLAR6420.1950.3%121.71.3%
4Tom BradyTB7500.1951.2%141.11.3%
5Dak PrescottDAL6510.1750.2%112.23.1%
6Joe BurrowCIN5910.1748.9%101.33.4%
7Justin HerbertLAC7450.1750.3%127.64.8%
8Josh AllenBUF7210.1751.2%120.86.4%
9Jimmy GaroppoloSF4750.1648.8%76.61.3%
10Kyler MurrayARI5430.1450.3%74.85.3%
11Teddy BridgewaterDEN4750.1247.8%56.73.2%
12Kirk CousinsMIN6020.1145.4%66.02.5%
13Jalen HurtsPHI5090.0845.8%43.19.8%
14Mac JonesNE5650.0748.7%38.32.6%
15Tua TagovailoaMIA4270.0649.0%27.14.2%
16Ryan TannehillTEN5970.0649.6%35.93.2%
17Lamar JacksonBAL4700.0648.9%26.810.4%
18Derek CarrLV6830.0446.4%27.12.5%
19Russell WilsonSEA4580.0344.1%15.15.0%
20Carson WentzIND5780.0244.8%13.74.5%
21Baker MayfieldCLE487-0.0243.1%-8.15.1%
22Daniel JonesNYG406-0.0342.4%-11.85.7%
23Matt RyanATL618-0.0346.0%-20.52.8%
24Trevor SiemianNO204-0.0541.2%-9.51.5%
25Taylor HeinickeWAS572-0.0544.6%-29.87.0%
26Jared GoffDET540-0.0645.4%-32.52.0%
27Tyler HuntleyBAL230-0.0742.6%-15.810.9%
28Ben RoethlisbergerPIT649-0.0739.6%-45.00.5%
29Jacoby BrissettMIA257-0.0842.8%-21.55.1%
30Trevor LawrenceJAX668-0.0944.3%-59.94.8%
31Andy DaltonCHI268-0.1043.3%-27.74.5%
32Justin FieldsCHI349-0.1242.4%-43.012.9%
33Davis MillsHOU434-0.1342.6%-55.02.3%
34Sam DarnoldCAR465-0.1541.7%-69.35.0%
35Zach WilsonNYJ445-0.1936.9%-86.13.6%

New to this stat? What expected points added per dropback means.

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