Quarterback EPA per Dropback Leaders
Quarterback EPA per Dropback — 2022 NFL leaders, updated Nov 12, 2026. Patrick Mahomes (KC) led the league in expected points added per dropback at 0.29, ahead of 34 other qualifying players. Based on verified 2022 play-by-play data (nflverse); Half-PPR scoring. Through the 2022 season.
Expected points added per dropback asks what each pass attempt was worth; success rate asks how often the attempt simply worked, with no credit for the size of the gain. Read them together. A quarterback high in the first and low in the second lives on explosive plays and disappears for stretches; high in both is the profile of an offense that stays on schedule. The dropback is the honest denominator because it charges a passer for the snaps that never became throws — a sack and a scramble are both quarterback outcomes, and a passer whose per-attempt line looks tidy because he takes the sack instead of testing the coverage is exactly who this separates.
| # | Player | DB | EPA/DB | Success% | Total EPA | Scr% | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patrick Mahomes | 723 | 0.29 | 53.4% | 210.5 | 6.4% | Read |
| 2 | Tua Tagovailoa | 431 | 0.22 | 49.2% | 93.8 | 2.3% | Read |
| 3 | Josh Allen | 651 | 0.22 | 52.2% | 141.6 | 7.8% | Read |
| 4 | Jimmy Garoppolo | 329 | 0.19 | 49.9% | 61.5 | 0.9% | |
| 5 | Jared Goff | 625 | 0.16 | 48.3% | 97.9 | 2.4% | Read |
| 6 | Joe Burrow | 678 | 0.15 | 50.3% | 101.1 | 4.0% | Read |
| 7 | Trevor Lawrence | 639 | 0.14 | 50.4% | 92.5 | 3.8% | Read |
| 8 | Jalen Hurts | 542 | 0.12 | 46.5% | 67.6 | 7.9% | Read |
| 9 | Dak Prescott | 429 | 0.08 | 49.6% | 34.0 | 3.5% | Read |
| 10 | Jacoby Brissett | 414 | 0.08 | 45.4% | 31.4 | 5.6% | Read |
| 11 | Ryan Tannehill | 371 | 0.07 | 46.4% | 25.2 | 3.5% | |
| 12 | Daniel Jones | 568 | 0.06 | 48.2% | 34.5 | 9.5% | Read |
| 13 | Lamar Jackson | 378 | 0.05 | 45.8% | 18.9 | 6.9% | Read |
| 14 | Tom Brady | 762 | 0.05 | 47.2% | 36.9 | 0.5% | |
| 15 | Kirk Cousins | 702 | 0.04 | 47.9% | 28.7 | 1.7% | Read |
| 16 | Geno Smith | 652 | 0.04 | 49.1% | 25.1 | 5.1% | Read |
| 17 | Derek Carr | 546 | 0.03 | 41.6% | 16.7 | 2.6% | |
| 18 | Justin Herbert | 758 | 0.03 | 45.9% | 20.5 | 2.9% | Read |
| 19 | Andy Dalton | 415 | 0.02 | 49.2% | 7.7 | 2.6% | |
| 20 | Marcus Mariota | 353 | 0.00 | 47.0% | 0.8 | 7.7% | |
| 21 | Kenny Pickett | 445 | -0.00 | 44.5% | -0.9 | 6.3% | |
| 22 | Kyler Murray | 443 | -0.00 | 43.1% | -1.9 | 5.6% | Read |
| 23 | Aaron Rodgers | 588 | -0.01 | 45.1% | -3.7 | 2.2% | Read |
| 24 | Taylor Heinicke | 289 | -0.04 | 43.9% | -11.7 | 4.5% | |
| 25 | Mac Jones | 498 | -0.07 | 39.8% | -34.4 | 4.0% | |
| 26 | Justin Fields | 443 | -0.07 | 40.9% | -32.0 | 14.9% | |
| 27 | Russell Wilson | 566 | -0.08 | 37.8% | -42.6 | 5.0% | |
| 28 | Matthew Stafford | 337 | -0.08 | 46.9% | -27.9 | 1.5% | Read |
| 29 | Matt Ryan | 512 | -0.09 | 43.5% | -43.5 | 1.9% | |
| 30 | Deshaun Watson | 200 | -0.10 | 42.0% | -20.5 | 6.0% | Read |
| 31 | Zach Wilson | 278 | -0.10 | 38.5% | -28.9 | 4.7% | |
| 32 | Carson Wentz | 321 | -0.11 | 39.6% | -35.1 | 3.7% | |
| 33 | Davis Mills | 528 | -0.13 | 37.5% | -70.2 | 3.2% | |
| 34 | Baker Mayfield | 386 | -0.14 | 36.0% | -54.5 | 3.9% | Read |
| 35 | Joe Flacco | 202 | -0.14 | 39.6% | -28.7 | 0.5% |
Other seasons
Choosing between two of these players?
Both men's 2025 production side by side, and which of them rests on inputs that historically repeat.
More leaderboards
- Rushing Yards Over Expected
- Target Share
- Running Back Receiving Efficiency
- Completion Percentage Over Expected
- Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt
- Defensive Blitz Rate
- Pass Rate Over Expected
- Team Expected Points Added
- QB Composite Rating
- Air Yards Share
- Stacked Box Rate
- Weighted Opportunity Rating
- Tight End Receiving Efficiency
- Tight End Average Depth of Target
- Play-Action Rate
- Pre-Snap Motion Rate
- Drop Rate
- Contested Catch Rate
- Interception-Worthy Throw Rate
- Quarterback-Fault Sack Rate
- Quarterback Intended Air Yards
- Team Air Yards and Passing Volume
- Receiver Separation and Cushion
- Wide Receiver Receiving Efficiency
- Team Success Rate and Explosive Play Rate
- Goal-Line Usage
- Quarterback Deep Ball
- Team Pace
- Screen Pass Rate
- No-Huddle Rate
- RPO Rate
- Light Box Rate
- Quarterbacks vs the Blitz
- Throwaway Rate
- Catchable Throw Rate
- Out-of-Pocket Rate
- Time to Throw
- Aggressiveness
Follow the football you care about. Players, teams, stat boards — press Follow on any of them, and that is what your weekly email is made of. Nothing you didn't ask for.
Use Muffed in your AI
Ask Claude or ChatGPT football questions and get these verified figures back, with sources. Add https://muffed.ai/api/mcp — free, no account, no API key.