2018 season · Quarterbacks, 36+ dropbacks through Week 3, 37 qualifiers

Quarterback EPA per Dropback Leaders

Quarterback EPA per Dropback — 2018 NFL leaders, updated Sep 29, 2026. Patrick Mahomes (KC) led the league in expected points added per dropback at 0.36, ahead of 36 other qualifying players. Based on verified 2018 play-by-play data (nflverse); Half-PPR scoring. Through the 2018 season.

Expected points added per dropback asks what each pass attempt was worth; success rate asks how often the attempt simply worked, with no credit for the size of the gain. Read them together. A quarterback high in the first and low in the second lives on explosive plays and disappears for stretches; high in both is the profile of an offense that stays on schedule. The dropback is the honest denominator because it charges a passer for the snaps that never became throws — a sack and a scramble are both quarterback outcomes, and a passer whose per-attempt line looks tidy because he takes the sack instead of testing the coverage is exactly who this separates.

Quarterback EPA per Dropback, 2018 NFL season
#PlayerDBEPA/DBSuccess%Total EPAScr%Listen
1Patrick MahomesKC6340.3652.2%226.64.4%
2Drew BreesNO5120.2855.9%143.80.8%
3Philip RiversLAC5520.2350.9%125.10.9%
4Jared GoffLAR6150.2051.1%121.53.3%
5Ben RoethlisbergerPIT7130.1950.1%135.61.7%
6Russell WilsonSEA5000.1747.4%86.75.8%
7Matt RyanATL6720.1751.0%116.32.5%
8Ryan FitzpatrickTB2840.1750.3%48.18.1%
9Mitchell TrubiskyCHI4970.1549.3%75.87.2%
10Tom BradyNE5950.1551.3%88.90.8%
11Andrew LuckIND6790.1450.7%96.23.1%
12Jameis WinstonTB4430.1349.7%59.38.1%
13Aaron RodgersGB6800.1146.6%76.74.9%
14Deshaun WatsonHOU6200.1148.9%69.39.3%
15Nick MullensSF2890.1146.7%31.80.4%
16Carson WentzPHI4470.0950.1%40.43.6%
17Nick FolesPHI2050.0844.9%17.11.0%
18Cam NewtonCAR5270.0748.8%36.54.9%
19Andy DaltonCIN3960.0647.5%25.53.0%
20Baker MayfieldCLE5320.0645.7%29.83.2%
21Dak PrescottDAL6110.0545.0%29.94.8%
22Marcus MariotaTEN4080.0446.6%18.48.3%
23Eli ManningNYG6310.0442.8%22.90.6%
24Joe FlaccoBAL3980.0444.7%14.11.3%
25Matthew StaffordDET6100.0043.1%0.72.1%
26Derek CarrLV606-0.0047.7%-0.71.3%
27Lamar JacksonBAL203-0.0146.3%-2.78.4%
28Josh AllenBUF395-0.0241.5%-8.911.9%
29Alex SmithWAS370-0.0244.9%-8.65.7%
30Case KeenumDEN632-0.0343.5%-18.91.9%
31Kirk CousinsMIN665-0.0347.8%-21.52.6%
32Jeff DriskelCIN206-0.0439.3%-7.35.8%
33Sam DarnoldNYJ459-0.0542.0%-23.13.3%
34Blake BortlesJAX475-0.0742.3%-35.48.2%
35C.J. BeathardSF200-0.1445.0%-28.45.5%
36Ryan TannehillMIA315-0.1741.0%-52.92.2%
37Josh RosenARI452-0.3336.3%-147.43.3%

New to this stat? What expected points added per dropback means.

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