2023 season · Quarterbacks, 200+ dropbacks, 39 qualifiers

Quarterback EPA per Dropback Leaders

Quarterback EPA per Dropback — 2023 NFL leaders, updated Aug 13, 2026. Brock Purdy (SF) led the league in expected points added per dropback at 0.31, ahead of 38 other qualifying players. Based on verified 2023 play-by-play data (nflverse); Half-PPR scoring. Through the 2023 season.

Expected points added per dropback asks what each pass attempt was worth; success rate asks how often the attempt simply worked, with no credit for the size of the gain. Read them together. A quarterback high in the first and low in the second lives on explosive plays and disappears for stretches; high in both is the profile of an offense that stays on schedule. The dropback is the honest denominator because it charges a passer for the snaps that never became throws — a sack and a scramble are both quarterback outcomes, and a passer whose per-attempt line looks tidy because he takes the sack instead of testing the coverage is exactly who this separates.

Quarterback EPA per Dropback, 2023 NFL season
#PlayerDBEPA/DBSuccess%Total EPAScr%
1Brock PurdyQB · SF4860.3154.7%151.43.5%
2Dak PrescottQB · DAL6580.2150.6%136.24.1%
3Tua TagovailoaQB · MIA6050.1749.8%105.42.6%
4Josh AllenQB · BUF6520.1750.8%108.77.4%
5Jordan LoveQB · GB6330.1346.3%83.53.8%
6Jake BrowningQB · CIN2840.1247.9%33.95.6%
7C.J. StroudQB · HOU5570.1146.7%60.34.1%
8Jared GoffQB · DET6430.1049.1%67.21.1%
9Lamar JacksonQB · BAL5600.1048.9%58.111.8%
10Patrick MahomesQB · KC6720.1048.4%64.37.4%
11Jalen HurtsQB · PHI6230.1046.4%59.47.7%
12Matthew StaffordQB · LAR5650.0945.8%52.32.5%
13Geno SmithQB · SEA5480.0848.4%42.33.6%
14Baker MayfieldQB · TB6390.0744.4%46.54.7%
15Kirk CousinsQB · MIN3290.0745.6%22.10.9%
16Justin HerbertQB · LAC5170.0546.0%26.66.0%
17Derek CarrQB · NO5900.0545.8%30.11.5%
18Tyrod TaylorQB · NYG2180.0143.6%2.711.9%
19Joe BurrowQB · CIN4020.0147.3%3.53.5%
20Gardner MinshewQB · IND548-0.0042.3%-0.63.8%
21Trevor LawrenceQB · JAX643-0.0146.7%-6.56.4%
22Kyler MurrayQB · ARI305-0.0142.3%-4.55.3%
23Will LevisQB · TEN291-0.0240.9%-5.53.1%
24Justin FieldsQB · CHI459-0.0439.9%-18.39.4%
25Russell WilsonQB · DEN527-0.0543.3%-23.86.8%
26Joe FlaccoQB · CLE213-0.0542.7%-10.70.0%
27Aidan O'ConnellQB · LV367-0.0641.7%-22.10.0%
28Desmond RidderQB · ATL439-0.0746.7%-29.24.3%
29Ryan TannehillQB · TEN268-0.0740.3%-19.53.0%
30Deshaun WatsonQB · CLE204-0.1040.7%-19.68.3%
31Joshua DobbsQB · ARI484-0.1240.7%-55.87.0%
32Kenny PickettQB · PIT361-0.1240.7%-42.83.9%
33Sam HowellQB · WAS711-0.1341.5%-94.34.5%
34Mac JonesQB · NE380-0.1742.6%-65.23.2%
35Tommy DeVitoQB · NYG237-0.2233.3%-52.29.3%
36Bryce YoungQB · CAR620-0.2337.1%-141.55.0%
37Zach WilsonQB · NYJ438-0.2537.4%-108.65.7%
38Daniel JonesQB · NYG211-0.2539.3%-52.59.5%
39Bailey ZappeQB · NE246-0.3333.7%-80.34.1%

New to this stat? What expected points added per dropback means.

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