2023 season · Quarterbacks, 36+ dropbacks through Week 3, 39 qualifiers

Quarterback EPA per Dropback Leaders

Quarterback EPA per Dropback — 2023 NFL leaders, updated Sep 29, 2026. Brock Purdy (SF) led the league in expected points added per dropback at 0.31, ahead of 38 other qualifying players. Based on verified 2023 play-by-play data (nflverse); Half-PPR scoring. Through the 2023 season.

Expected points added per dropback asks what each pass attempt was worth; success rate asks how often the attempt simply worked, with no credit for the size of the gain. Read them together. A quarterback high in the first and low in the second lives on explosive plays and disappears for stretches; high in both is the profile of an offense that stays on schedule. The dropback is the honest denominator because it charges a passer for the snaps that never became throws — a sack and a scramble are both quarterback outcomes, and a passer whose per-attempt line looks tidy because he takes the sack instead of testing the coverage is exactly who this separates.

Quarterback EPA per Dropback, 2023 NFL season
#PlayerDBEPA/DBSuccess%Total EPAScr%Listen
1Brock PurdySF4860.3154.7%151.43.5%
2Dak PrescottDAL6580.2150.6%136.24.1%
3Tua TagovailoaMIA6050.1749.8%105.42.6%
4Josh AllenBUF6520.1750.8%108.77.4%
5Jordan LoveGB6330.1346.3%83.53.8%
6Jake BrowningCIN2840.1247.9%33.95.6%
7C.J. StroudHOU5570.1146.7%60.34.1%
8Jared GoffDET6430.1049.1%67.21.1%
9Lamar JacksonBAL5600.1048.9%58.111.8%
10Patrick MahomesKC6720.1048.4%64.37.4%
11Jalen HurtsPHI6230.1046.4%59.47.7%
12Matthew StaffordLAR5650.0945.8%52.32.5%
13Geno SmithSEA5480.0848.4%42.33.6%
14Baker MayfieldTB6390.0744.4%46.54.7%
15Kirk CousinsMIN3290.0745.6%22.10.9%
16Justin HerbertLAC5170.0546.0%26.66.0%
17Derek CarrNO5900.0545.8%30.11.5%
18Tyrod TaylorNYG2180.0143.6%2.711.9%
19Joe BurrowCIN4020.0147.3%3.53.5%
20Gardner MinshewIND548-0.0042.3%-0.63.8%
21Trevor LawrenceJAX643-0.0146.7%-6.56.4%
22Kyler MurrayARI305-0.0142.3%-4.55.3%
23Will LevisTEN291-0.0240.9%-5.53.1%
24Justin FieldsCHI459-0.0439.9%-18.39.4%
25Russell WilsonDEN527-0.0543.3%-23.86.8%
26Joe FlaccoCLE213-0.0542.7%-10.70.0%
27Aidan O'ConnellLV367-0.0641.7%-22.10.0%
28Desmond RidderATL439-0.0746.7%-29.24.3%
29Ryan TannehillTEN268-0.0740.3%-19.53.0%
30Deshaun WatsonCLE204-0.1040.7%-19.68.3%
31Joshua DobbsARI484-0.1240.7%-55.87.0%
32Kenny PickettPIT361-0.1240.7%-42.83.9%
33Sam HowellWAS711-0.1341.5%-94.34.5%
34Mac JonesNE380-0.1742.6%-65.23.2%
35Tommy DeVitoNYG237-0.2233.3%-52.29.3%
36Bryce YoungCAR620-0.2337.1%-141.55.0%
37Zach WilsonNYJ438-0.2537.4%-108.65.7%
38Daniel JonesNYG211-0.2539.3%-52.59.5%
39Bailey ZappeNE246-0.3333.7%-80.34.1%

New to this stat? What expected points added per dropback means.

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