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Justin Herbert or Dak Prescott?

Justin Herbert or Dak Prescott? Both are QBs. Here is what each man's 2025 season was actually built on, updated Aug 17, 2026.

The file holds Justin Herbert's 2025 season — it just measures too few of these inputs for persistence to say what his was built on, here or against Dak Prescott.

The file holds Dak Prescott's 2025 season — it just measures too few of these inputs for persistence to say what his was built on, here or against Justin Herbert.

Figures are 2025 verified play-by-play (nflverse); scored Half-PPR. Repeatability is measured from year-over-year persistence across 2016 to 2025, not projected. Muffed publishes no projections, draft grades or start/sit advice.

Who led the NFL in completion percentage over expected in 2026?Who led the NFL in adjusted net yards per attempt in 2026?

Justin Herbert

QB · Los Angeles Chargers

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Justin Herbert vs Dak Prescott, 2025

Verified 2025 figures for Justin Herbert and Dak Prescott, with each figure's rank in its source population
MetricJustin HerbertDak Prescott
Half-PPR/G11.321.0
CPOE-3.828th+5.97th
ANY/A4.8729th7.4310th

A dash means the panel holds no qualifying figure for that player — usually too few games or attempts to clear the metric's floor, not a zero. Ranks are the source's own, against the population shown. Not shown, because neither player qualified: 2025 finish, Games, Snap share, Availability, EPA/dropback, Sack rate.

What repeats

Justin Herbert: UNSETTLEDDak Prescott: UNSETTLED

The file holds Justin Herbert's 2025 season — it just measures too few of these inputs for persistence to say what his was built on, here or against Dak Prescott. The file holds Dak Prescott's 2025 season — it just measures too few of these inputs for persistence to say what his was built on, here or against Justin Herbert. The file holds both seasons and still doesn't separate them on durability — neither man leads the inputs that historically repeat. That is a finding, not a gap in the evidence.

“Repeats” is measured year-over-year persistence across 2016 to 2025 — opportunity carries between seasons, scoring rate largely does not. This describes what a 2025 season was built on. It is not a forecast, and Muffed publishes no projections, draft grades or start/sit advice. How we measure it.

Settle it — hear both stories

The same verified data, told as the story of each man's season.

Justin Herbert's episode →Dak Prescott's episode →

Related

What is Half-PPR?What is CPOE?What is ANY/A?All comparisons

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Cite this

Muffed, “Justin Herbert vs Dak Prescott, 2025 verified comparison,” muffed.ai/compare/justin-herbert-vs-dak-prescott. Through the 2026 season. Data via nflverse; NFL Next Gen Stats via nflverse.

Free to quote and link with credit. The underlying figures are recomputed from public play-by-play — see how we verify every number.

Source: Data via nflverse; NFL Next Gen Stats via nflverse. Updated Aug 17, 2026. How we verify our data.

Scored Half-PPR. Repeatability is measured year-over-year persistence across 2016 to 2025 (nflverse), not a projection.

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