Isaiah Likely — Week 6: 99 Yards and the Last Throw

2026 NFL Season · Half-PPR Scoring · Monday, Oct 19

Likely caught 6 of 11 targets for 99 yards and a 24-yard touchdown against the Saints, and was the target on the final fourth-and-1 incompletion, in a 34-27 loss at home.

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The full read

Isaiah Likely put up his most yards of the season against the Saints and was the target on the play that ended it: 11 targets, 6 catches, 99 yards, 1 touchdown, but -1.4 expected points added (EPA) on his targets. EPA is what a play was worth given down, distance and field position.

The last drive ran through him. Down 34-27 with 40 seconds left, second and 10 at the Saints' 43, J.J. McCarthy hit him deep to the right for 20 yards to the 23, +6.3 points of win probability. With 12 seconds left, fourth and 1 at the Saints' 14, McCarthy's short pass to him on the left fell incomplete: -2.6 EPA and -9.2 points of win probability.

His touchdown came with 5:11 left, down 34-18: second and 10 at the Saints' 24, a deep ball to the left for 24 yards, +3.1 EPA. He also caught the two-point try that made it 34-18. The interception weighed most: down 27-10, Jameis Winston's deep pass for him over the middle was intercepted by Julian Blackmon and returned 21 yards to the Giants' 21, -5.6 EPA. In the first quarter, at 0-0, his 24-yard catch to the Saints' 21 (+7.8 points of win probability) set up Tyrone Tracy Jr.'s touchdown.

Through Week 5 he had 48 targets, 33 catches, 284 yards, 4 touchdowns and +16.1 EPA, with 94 yards in Week 5.

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_Data via nflverse._

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