Justin Jefferson — Week 9: 11 Targets, 3 Catches
2026 NFL Season · Half-PPR Scoring · Tuesday, Nov 10
Jefferson caught 3 of 11 targets for 58 yards against the Bills, his most targets this season, and a third-quarter interception came on a throw for him, in Minnesota's 23-6 home loss.
When Justin Jefferson's week moves the numbers, you'll know — every episode, in one weekly email.
The full read
Justin Jefferson drew more targets against the Bills than in any game this season and turned few of them into gains: 3 catches on 11 targets for 58 yards in a 23-6 loss. Those targets were worth -12.1 expected points added (EPA), what a play was worth given down, distance and field position, -1.10 a target, with an interception counted against them.
His best stretch was the last 44 seconds of the first half, down 10-3 from the Minnesota 20. Carson Wentz found him deep middle for 24 yards and, after a false start, short left for 15 to the Buffalo 34, +0.8 EPA each, and Will Reichard kicked a 53-yard field goal. On third and fourth down, all four throws for him fell incomplete, the last two down 20-6 with 5:47 left, third and 4 and fourth and 4 at the Minnesota 42. Down 13-6 late in the third, second and 5 at the Buffalo 47, Terrel Bernard intercepted a short throw for him at the 34, -4.9 EPA and 10.6 points of win probability, the estimate of each side's chance to win.
Per target it was far below his season. Through Week 8 he had 28 catches on 40 targets for 335 yards, 4 touchdowns and +21.8 EPA, +0.54 a target. The 138 air yards thrown his way were his most in a game this season.
Follow Justin Jefferson on Muffed, and every episode lands in your weekly email.
_Data via nflverse._
When Justin Jefferson's week moves the numbers, you'll know — every episode, in one weekly email.
Keep going