Las Vegas Raiders expected points added per play, 2026

From the Raiders weekly

Nineteen to seventeen, Raiders, three thirty-five left in the game, and Kansas City facing third and five at its own forty. At that snap Las Vegas had a sixty-seven percent chance of winning. Patrick Mahomes threw deep left for Tyquan Thornton, and Thornton went fifty-five yards to the Raiders five. A Las Vegas unnecessary-roughness penalty moved the ball to the two, and Kenneth Walker scored on the next snap. The two-point try failed, twenty-three to nineteen. On the kickoff, Dareke Young brought it out to the Las Vegas twenty-two and lost the ball, and the Chiefs recovered there. Walker ran twenty-two yards for a touchdown on the next play. Thirteen Kansas City points in thirty-three seconds of game clock, and the Raiders' chance of winning went from sixty-seven percent to three. Las Vegas answered with a touchdown and a two-point conversion to make it thirty to twenty-seven, watched Kansas City recover the onside kick, and its last drive ended in an interception at the Kansas City thirty-six with ten seconds left. It was the Raiders' first loss.