Jaxon Smith-Njigba or Justin Jefferson?
Jaxon Smith-Njigba or Justin Jefferson? Both are WRs. Here is what each man's 2025 season was actually built on, updated Aug 1, 2026. Jaxon Smith-Njigba leads on share of his team's air yards and receiving yards, and also on receiving yards per pass snap — one side of that is opportunity, the other is efficiency, and they have not historically travelled together. Justin Jefferson leads on share of his team's offensive snaps — the inputs that have historically carried from one season to the next. Figures are 2025 verified play-by-play (nflverse); scored Half-PPR. Repeatability is measured from year-over-year persistence across 2016 to 2025, not projected. Muffed publishes no projections, draft grades or start/sit advice.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
WR · Seattle Seahawks
Justin Jefferson
WR · Minnesota Vikings
Jaxon Smith-Njigba vs Justin Jefferson, 2025
| Metric | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Justin Jefferson |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 finish | 2 | 34 |
| Half-PPR/G | 17.7 | 9.4 |
| Games | 17 | 17 |
| Snap share | 78.8%45th | 94.6%12th |
| Availability | 100.0%3rd | 91.8%46th |
| Target share | 35.8% | 30.1% |
| Air yards share | 50.1% | 38.6% |
| Rec yards | 1,7931st | 1,04812th |
| Yds/pass snap | 3.701st | 1.9038th |
A dash means the panel holds no qualifying figure for that player — usually too few games or attempts to clear the metric's floor, not a zero. Ranks are the source's own, against the population shown.
What repeats
Jaxon Smith-Njigba leads on share of his team's air yards and receiving yards, and also on receiving yards per pass snap — one side of that is opportunity, the other is efficiency, and they have not historically travelled together. Justin Jefferson leads on share of his team's offensive snaps — the inputs that have historically carried from one season to the next. Of the two, Justin Jefferson's season rests on the steadier ground. That is a statement about what each man's production was built on, not a running order — and it is a description of 2025, not a forecast of 2026.
“Repeats” is measured year-over-year persistence across 2016 to 2025 — opportunity carries between seasons, scoring rate largely does not. This describes what a 2025 season was built on. It is not a forecast, and Muffed publishes no projections, draft grades or start/sit advice. How we measure it.
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Muffed, “Jaxon Smith-Njigba vs Justin Jefferson, 2025 verified comparison,” muffed.ai/compare/jaxon-smith-njigba-vs-justin-jefferson. Through the 2025 season. Data via nflverse · NFL Next Gen Stats via nflverse; FTN Data via nflverse.
Free to quote and link with credit. The underlying figures are recomputed from public play-by-play — see how we verify every number.