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Jaxon Smith-Njigba or Justin Jefferson?

Jaxon Smith-Njigba or Justin Jefferson? Both are WRs. Here is what each man's 2025 season was actually built on, updated Aug 17, 2026.

The file holds Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 2025 season — it just measures too few of these inputs for persistence to say what his was built on, here or against Justin Jefferson.

The file holds Justin Jefferson's 2025 season — it just measures too few of these inputs for persistence to say what his was built on, here or against Jaxon Smith-Njigba.

Figures are 2025 verified play-by-play (nflverse); scored Half-PPR. Repeatability is measured from year-over-year persistence across 2016 to 2025, not projected. Muffed publishes no projections, draft grades or start/sit advice.

Who led the NFL in target share in 2026?

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Justin Jefferson

WR · Minnesota Vikings

Jaxon Smith-Njigba vs Justin Jefferson, 2025

Verified 2025 figures for Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Justin Jefferson, with each figure's rank in its source population
MetricJaxon Smith-NjigbaJustin Jefferson
Half-PPR/G24.213.6
Target share35.2%18.6%
Rec yards5831st25834th

A dash means the panel holds no qualifying figure for that player — usually too few games or attempts to clear the metric's floor, not a zero. Ranks are the source's own, against the population shown. Not shown, because neither player qualified: 2025 finish, Games, Snap share, Availability, Air yards share, Yds/pass snap.

What repeats

Jaxon Smith-Njigba: UNSETTLEDJustin Jefferson: UNSETTLED

The file holds Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 2025 season — it just measures too few of these inputs for persistence to say what his was built on, here or against Justin Jefferson. The file holds Justin Jefferson's 2025 season — it just measures too few of these inputs for persistence to say what his was built on, here or against Jaxon Smith-Njigba. The file holds both seasons and still doesn't separate them on durability — neither man leads the inputs that historically repeat. That is a finding, not a gap in the evidence.

“Repeats” is measured year-over-year persistence across 2016 to 2025 — opportunity carries between seasons, scoring rate largely does not. This describes what a 2025 season was built on. It is not a forecast, and Muffed publishes no projections, draft grades or start/sit advice. How we measure it.

Settle it — hear both stories

The same verified data, told as the story of each man's season.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's episode →Justin Jefferson's episode →

Related

What is Half-PPR?What is target share?All comparisons

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Cite this

Muffed, “Jaxon Smith-Njigba vs Justin Jefferson, 2025 verified comparison,” muffed.ai/compare/jaxon-smith-njigba-vs-justin-jefferson. Through the 2026 season. Data via nflverse.

Free to quote and link with credit. The underlying figures are recomputed from public play-by-play — see how we verify every number.

Source: Data via nflverse. Updated Aug 17, 2026. How we verify our data.

Scored Half-PPR. Repeatability is measured year-over-year persistence across 2016 to 2025 (nflverse), not a projection.

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