Aaron Rodgers — Week 5: Three Touchdowns, No Interceptions

2026 NFL Season · Half-PPR Scoring · Monday, Oct 12

Rodgers completed 22 of 31 passes for 235 yards and 3 touchdowns with no interceptions against the Colts, including an 80-yard score to Jaylen Warren, in a 34-22 win in Pittsburgh.

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The full read

Aaron Rodgers was sharp against the Colts: 22 of 31, 235 yards, 3 touchdowns, no interceptions, 1 sack. He was worth +4.5 expected points added (EPA) on 33 dropbacks, +0.14 per dropback. EPA is what a play was worth given down, distance and field position.

The defining throw came early. Down 3-0 with 8:57 left in the first quarter, first and 10 at his own 20, he threw short to the right for Jaylen Warren, who went 80 yards for the touchdown: +5.7 EPA and +20.2 points of win probability, the biggest swing of the game.

The throw that gave Pittsburgh room came with 6:40 left, up 24-22. Third and 6 at the Indianapolis 17, he hit Pat Freiermuth over the middle for the touchdown, +3.3 EPA. Freiermuth had also scored from the 1 in the second quarter to make it 14-6.

His worst snap was a sack by DeForest Buckner on third and 10 late in the third quarter, up 24-19: a 10-yard loss, -2.0 EPA and -7.6 points of win probability.

It was a turn from his first four games. Weeks 1 through 4 brought -22.3 EPA on 168 dropbacks, -0.13 per dropback, with 4 interceptions and 13 sacks. His completion percentage over expected (CPOE), how often he completed passes against what their difficulty predicted, was +2.5, after -3.5 through Week 4. It was his first game without an interception since Week 1.

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