MarShawn Lloyd (RB, Green Bay Packers) — 2026 fantasy outlook, updated Sep 26, 2026.

Based on verified 2025 play-by-play data (nflverse); Half-PPR scoring.

Week 3 — The Take

Lloyd carried 4 times for 11 yards and caught 2 of 3 targets for 7, all of it before the midpoint of the third quarter. His 10-yard catch on first and twenty with 8:21 left in the first, plus 15 more on an unnecessary roughness flag, was the second-largest win-probability gain on any Packers run or pass play. Green Bay ran 9 times for 17 yards, the fewest of any team in a game this season, in a 35–14 loss to the Falcons.

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Week 3Sep 26, 2026

MarShawn Lloyd — Week 3: Four Carries, Eleven Yards

0:002:53

Your episode · 2:53

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2026 — through Week 3
Scored Half-PPR
Pos. rank
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Half-PPR / game
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Last game
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2025
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Where he ranks — 2026

4 leaderboards

What these mean: receiving efficiency · stacked box rate · rushing yards over expected

Packers backfield and handcuffs — the depth chart behind him, refreshed daily.

More episodes

  • Week 2Sep 21, 2026

    MarShawn Lloyd — Week 2: A Touchdown Catch, a Lost Fumble

    Lloyd scored the game's first points on a 6-yard catch on second and six, then lost a fumble at the Green Bay 18 with 12:35 left in the fourth that the Jets turned into a field goal and a 17–7 lead. He carried 6 times for 20 yards and did not touch the ball after the fumble. Thirteen carries in Week 1 became six, behind Kaleb Johnson's eight, in a 20–17 overtime win over the Jets.

  • Week 1Sep 14, 2026

    MarShawn Lloyd — Week 1: Thirteen Carries, Thirty-Seven Yards

    Lloyd led the Packers with thirteen carries and gained thirty-seven yards, seven of the carries and thirty of the yards in the third quarter, with no touchdown and one incomplete target. Green Bay ran twenty-one times for sixty-six yards, in a 39–22 loss to the Vikings.

  • Camp · Aug 31, 2026Aug 31, 2026

    MarShawn Lloyd Camp Update — August 31: Expected to Get the First Shot

    MarShawn Lloyd is expected to get the first shot at filling Josh Jacobs' role when Green Bay opens at Minnesota, per the Los Angeles Times, after a healthy camp and first-team work while Jacobs was slowed by a groin injury. The counterweight: Green Bay traded for another back within hours of the exempt-list placement.

  • Camp · Aug 23, 2026Aug 23, 2026

    MarShawn Lloyd Camp Update — August 23: His First NFL Touchdown

    MarShawn Lloyd caught an eleven-yard touchdown from Jordan Love in Denver — the first score of his NFL career — and converted a short-yardage run on the same drive. Two straight healthy game weeks, which is the entire project.

  • Camp · Aug 16, 2026Aug 17, 2026

    MarShawn Lloyd Camp Update — August 16: First Game Action in a Calendar Year

    MarShawn Lloyd played real football Thursday night for the first time in a calendar year and came out with no reported setback. Availability was the only question, and it just passed its first live test.

  • 2026 PreviewJul 3, 2026

    MarShawn Lloyd 2026 Season Preview — what repeats, what doesn't

    WATCHLIST — the only defensible call on RB64 at pick 212 with zero production and a durability record that's all downside. If the burst that made him a third-round pick finally survives a padded camp, there's contingent value behind Jacobs at a last-round price; if the soft-tissue pattern repeats a third straight year, it's a roster spot you'll want back by September. Availability was always the only question.

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    0:003:23

    Your episode · 3:23

    Show notes & transcript

    MarShawn Lloyd has carried an NFL football a handful of times. He was drafted in the third round two years ago, and pick two-12, running back 64, is the market betting on the tape from South Carolina — because there is barely any tape from Green Bay to bet on. This episode is about a talent nobody doubts and a body that has never let anyone see it.

    There is no fantasy production to read, and we will not manufacture one from a handful of carries. The story is the injury ledger: a hamstring in his rookie preseason, then an ankle, then a groin the following summer, then another hamstring, then a calf while rehabbing that — a cascade of soft-tissue setbacks that cost him almost the entirety of two seasons. He has missed something on the order of 30 straight regular-season games. We do not rank a career that adds up to a few snaps; we assess the one thing that changed this spring.

    The career file is a scouting report, not a stat line: a compact, explosive back Green Bay valued highly enough to spend a third-round pick on, with two years of rookie-contract control still attached and, until now, no chance to use it. The traits scouts wrote up — contact balance, a real second gear in the open field — are the reason the pick was spent; none of it has been stress-tested against NFL defenders for more than a series at a time, and a scouting grade is not a stat line.

    The pattern beat has to abstain, and the abstention is the point. Volume stickiness, touchdown regression, aging — every forward-looking tool we trust needs a season of production to condition on, and Lloyd has never given the league one. The library is silent, and pretending otherwise would be exactly the kind of false confidence a two-year injury history should erase.

    The situation carries the only new fact worth pricing: he is healthy, for the first time as a pro. Lloyd completed all nine practices across Green Bay's three weeks of spring work — his first fully healthy extended offseason, per the Packers beat — with the staff deliberately scaling back his intensity to protect against another setback. The depth chart above him is settled: Josh Jacobs is the lead back, signed and featured, and Green Bay re-signed Chris Brooks for the rotation rather than looking outside. Matt LaFleur still runs the offense. The framing around Lloyd all spring has been the same two words — prove it — with the plain subtext that if he cannot stay on the field in 20-26, it is hard to see a 20-27.

    The price: running back 64 at pick two-12, for a player with no line to justify it and a durability record that is all downside. Our verdict: watchlist — the only defensible call on a talent with zero production and a health history this thin. The caveat is the entire bet: if the burst that made him a third-round pick finally survives a padded camp and he wins the change-of-pace role behind Jacobs, there is contingent value here at a last-round price — and if the soft-tissue pattern repeats a third straight year, this pick is a roster spot you will want back by September. We cannot underwrite a body that has not held up, and we will not fade the talent from a distance either.

    Watch one thing above all: whether he takes contact in training camp and stays upright through August. After that, the competition with Chris Brooks for the number-two job, and any passing-down role LaFleur carves out. The talent was never the question. Availability is the only question. He's one of your guys? This show covers your whole roster — every player, every week, all season.

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