Minnesota Vikings pass rate over expected, 2026

From the Vikings weekly

Third and five at the Miami ten, two oh seven left, Minnesota up fifteen to ten, and Miami had just spent its last timeout. Kyler Murray threw short left to T.J. Hockenson, and Hockenson got to the Miami two. First down. Murray knelt three times and the game was over; the Dolphins never touched the ball again. By expected points added — what a snap was worth given the down, the distance and the field position, measured against what that situation was already worth — that catch was worth plus two point five, the most of any Minnesota pass or run all day. It was Hockenson's thirteenth catch on thirteen targets. Minnesota beat Miami fifteen to ten at home and is four and oh, and it got there without an offensive touchdown: ten possessions, five Will Reichard field goals, from forty-seven, fifty, thirty-three, forty-one and twenty-nine yards, four punts, and the kneel-down.