2026 season · Pass Rate Over Expected

Tennessee Titans pass rate over expected, 2026

-9.1

30th of 32 in the NFL

League median
-1.0
Sample
On 63 neutral-script plays through Week 3

Do the Titans pass more than expected?

The Titans have a pass rate over expected of -9.1 through Week 3, 30th in the NFL — above zero means they throw more often than the game situation calls for.

Week by week

Season to date after each week — the pass rate over expected and rank as the board stood once that week was filed, not the single week’s own figure.

Tennessee Titans pass rate over expected after each week of 2026
ThroughPROERank
Week 1+5.82nd
Week 2-7.427th
Week 3-9.130th

Last season

Down from -3.2 in 2025, which ranked 21st of 32.

From the Titans weekly

First and goal at the Giants seven, twenty-four seconds left, Tennessee down twelve to seven. Cam Ward threw short left for Elic Ayomanor, and Jevon Holland intercepted it in the end zone. Before that snap the win probability model — its read on each team's chance of winning at that moment — gave the Titans forty-nine percent. The interception took forty-six points of it away, more than three times any other snap in the game. By expected points added, which measures what a snap was worth given the down, the distance and the field position against what that situation was already worth, it was minus four and a half. Moments before, on fourth and one at the Giants twenty-four, a Giants encroachment penalty had handed Tennessee a first down. The Titans lost twelve to seven at the Giants on Sunday, never led at any point, and are oh and three.

Read the Week 3 note →

Which teams pass the most over expected in 2026?

Pittsburgh Steelers (+5.2), Dallas Cowboys (+5.1), then San Francisco 49ers (+4.8) lead the league. All 32 teams on the Pass Rate Over Expected board.

More on this team: the Tennessee Titans page.

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