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Bijan Robinson or Jonathan Taylor?

Bijan Robinson or Jonathan Taylor? Both are RBs. Here is what each man's 2025 season was actually built on, updated Aug 17, 2026.

Bijan Robinson leads on rushing attempts, and also on rushing yards over expected and rushing yards over expected per attempt — one side of that is opportunity, the other is efficiency, and they have not historically travelled together.

Jonathan Taylor's edge sits in receiving expected points added — efficiency rather than opportunity, and the file measures that as the less repeatable half.

Figures are 2025 verified play-by-play (nflverse); scored Half-PPR. Repeatability is measured from year-over-year persistence across 2016 to 2025, not projected. Muffed publishes no projections, draft grades or start/sit advice.

Who led the NFL in rushing yards over expected in 2026?

Bijan Robinson

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Jonathan Taylor

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Bijan Robinson vs Jonathan Taylor, 2025

Verified 2025 figures for Bijan Robinson and Jonathan Taylor, with each figure's rank in its source population
MetricBijan RobinsonJonathan Taylor
Half-PPR/G22.418.2
RYOE161.22nd of 42-25.030th of 42
RYOE/att1.683rd of 42-0.2527th of 42
Carries102101
Rec EPA-8.742nd of 44-3.836th of 44

A dash means the panel holds no qualifying figure for that player — usually too few games or attempts to clear the metric's floor, not a zero. Ranks are the source's own, against the population shown. Not shown, because neither player qualified: 2025 finish, Games, Snap share, Availability.

What repeats

Bijan Robinson: MIXEDJonathan Taylor: VOLATILE

Bijan Robinson leads on rushing attempts, and also on rushing yards over expected and rushing yards over expected per attempt — one side of that is opportunity, the other is efficiency, and they have not historically travelled together. Jonathan Taylor's edge sits in receiving expected points added — efficiency rather than opportunity, and the file measures that as the less repeatable half. Of the two, Bijan Robinson's season rests on the steadier ground. That is a statement about what each man's production was built on, not a running order — and it is a description of 2025, not a forecast of 2026.

“Repeats” is measured year-over-year persistence across 2016 to 2025 — opportunity carries between seasons, scoring rate largely does not. This describes what a 2025 season was built on. It is not a forecast, and Muffed publishes no projections, draft grades or start/sit advice. How we measure it.

Settle it — hear both stories

The same verified data, told as the story of each man's season.

Bijan Robinson's episode →Jonathan Taylor's episode →

Related

Atlanta Falcons backfield depthIndianapolis Colts backfield depthWhat is Half-PPR?What is RYOE?What is EPA?All comparisons

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Cite this

Muffed, “Bijan Robinson vs Jonathan Taylor, 2025 verified comparison,” muffed.ai/compare/bijan-robinson-vs-jonathan-taylor. Through the 2026 season. Data via nflverse; NFL Next Gen Stats via nflverse.

Free to quote and link with credit. The underlying figures are recomputed from public play-by-play — see how we verify every number.

Source: Data via nflverse; NFL Next Gen Stats via nflverse. Updated Aug 17, 2026. How we verify our data.

Scored Half-PPR. Repeatability is measured year-over-year persistence across 2016 to 2025 (nflverse), not a projection.

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