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Javonte Williams or Breece Hall?

Javonte Williams or Breece Hall? Both are RBs. Here is what each man's 2025 season was actually built on, updated Aug 17, 2026.

Javonte Williams's edge sits in rushing yards over expected and rushing yards over expected per attempt — efficiency rather than opportunity, and the file measures that as the less repeatable half.

Breece Hall leads on rushing attempts, and also on receiving expected points added — one side of that is opportunity, the other is efficiency, and they have not historically travelled together.

Figures are 2025 verified play-by-play (nflverse); scored Half-PPR. Repeatability is measured from year-over-year persistence across 2016 to 2025, not projected. Muffed publishes no projections, draft grades or start/sit advice.

Who led the NFL in rushing yards over expected in 2026?

Javonte Williams

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Breece Hall

RB · New York Jets

Javonte Williams vs Breece Hall, 2025

Verified 2025 figures for Javonte Williams and Breece Hall, with each figure's rank in its source population
Metric	Javonte Williams	Breece Hall
Half-PPR/G	15.2	12.5
RYOE	12.815th of 45	-7.727th of 45
RYOE/att	0.3015th of 45	-0.1523rd of 45
Carries	43	51
Rec EPA	2.67th of 44	8.53rd of 44

A dash means the panel holds no qualifying figure for that player — usually too few games or attempts to clear the metric's floor, not a zero. Ranks are the source's own, against the population shown. Not shown, because neither player qualified: 2025 finish, Games, Snap share, Availability.

What repeats

Javonte Williams: VOLATILEBreece Hall: MIXED

Javonte Williams's edge sits in rushing yards over expected and rushing yards over expected per attempt — efficiency rather than opportunity, and the file measures that as the less repeatable half. Breece Hall leads on rushing attempts, and also on receiving expected points added — one side of that is opportunity, the other is efficiency, and they have not historically travelled together. Of the two, Breece Hall's season rests on the steadier ground. That is a statement about what each man's production was built on, not a running order — and it is a description of 2025, not a forecast of 2026.

“Repeats” is measured year-over-year persistence across 2016 to 2025 — opportunity carries between seasons, scoring rate largely does not. This describes what a 2025 season was built on. It is not a forecast, and Muffed publishes no projections, draft grades or start/sit advice. How we measure it.

Settle it — hear both stories

The same verified data, told as the story of each man's season.

Javonte Williams's episode →Breece Hall's episode →

Dallas Cowboys backfield depth New York Jets backfield depth What is Half-PPR?What is RYOE?What is EPA?All comparisons

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Cite this

Muffed, “Javonte Williams vs Breece Hall, 2025 verified comparison,” muffed.ai/compare/javonte-williams-vs-breece-hall. Through the 2026 season. Data via nflverse; NFL Next Gen Stats via nflverse.

Free to quote and link with credit. The underlying figures are recomputed from public play-by-play — see how we verify every number.

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