Bijan Robinson — Week 5: 86 Yards, One 38-Yard Burst
2026 NFL Season · Half-PPR Scoring · Monday, Oct 12
Robinson ran 17 times for 86 yards and caught 4 of 7 targets for 32 yards against the Ravens, but two runs carried most of his day in a 30-23 overtime loss in Atlanta.
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The full read
Bijan Robinson's ground game stalled against the Ravens: 17 carries, 86 yards, no touchdowns, and -1.9 expected points added (EPA) on the ground. EPA is what a play was worth given down, distance and field position, so a negative number means his runs cost Atlanta expected points.
The run that defined his day opened the third quarter. Up 14-9, first and 10 at the Baltimore 41 with 11:33 left, he went off left tackle for 38 yards to the Baltimore 3: +2.7 EPA and +6.5 points of win probability. On the next snap he lost 2 yards on first and goal from the 3, and the drive ended in a field goal for 17-9.
Take away the 38 and a 20-yarder in the first quarter, and he had 28 yards on 15 carries. Only 29% of his runs gained positive EPA, against 54% in Weeks 1 through 4, when he put up +11.2 EPA on 85 carries. As a receiver he caught 4 of 7 targets for 32 yards, including a 14-yard catch with 19 seconds left in regulation at 23-23, and two third-down throws to him fell incomplete.
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_Data via nflverse._
When Bijan Robinson's week moves the numbers, you'll know — every episode, in one weekly email.
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