Brock Purdy — Week 9: 232 Yards and a Scramble Score

Brock Purdy came out of the bye with his best game since Week 3 against the Raiders: 17 of 25 for 232 yards, two touchdowns and an interception, sacked once, plus 7 runs for 40 yards and a touchdown. Over 30 dropbacks he was worth +13.0 expected points added (EPA), what a play was worth given down, distance and field position, +0.43 per dropback.

The run that mattered most came up 7-0 in the first quarter, two snaps after his own intentional grounding penalty. Third and 15 at the Las Vegas 36, he scrambled left for 18 yards to the 18, +3.1 EPA and 6.7 points of win probability, the estimate of each side's chance to win, and the drive ended in his 1-yard touchdown scramble on second and 1. His four scrambles gained 36 yards.

Through the air, up 28-17 with 44 seconds left in the third, third and 3 at the Las Vegas 37, he went deep over the middle to Jordan Watkins for the touchdown, +4.2 EPA. His first touchdown pass went 12 yards to Christian McCaffrey on third and 3. The miss came earlier in the third: first and 10 at his own 38, deep right for George Kittle, intercepted by Treydan Stukes and returned to the San Francisco 31, -6.1 EPA.

It was above his season rate. Through Week 7 he was at +0.29 per dropback, +67.3 EPA on 232 dropbacks, with a completion percentage over expected (CPOE), how often he completed passes against what their difficulty predicted, of +4.3; here it was +10.2. The rushing touchdown was his second of the season.

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_Data via nflverse._